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TTU

Texas Tech 26 at West Virginia 31

WVU
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:49 · TEAM run for no gain to the TexTc 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:29: Wendell Smallwood run for 16 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +6.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:35: Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +12.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:40: Rushel Shell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +15.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:28: Skyler Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +15.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:47: DeAndre Washington 17 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — TTU win probability +15.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00WVU 4th & 6 at TTU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:36TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:09WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:04TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:24TTU 4th & 6 at WVU 24, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:37WVU 4th & 13 at TTU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:56WVU 4th & 16 at WVU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:53TTU 4th & 10 at WVU 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:36TTU 4th & 1 at WVU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−2.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−10.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:36TTU 4th & 8 at WVU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−8.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:33TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−3.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56TTU 4th & 10 at WVU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−2.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−12.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:07TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:07TTU 4th & 1 at WVU 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−1.7
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−5.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:45WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:09TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:29WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:35TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:40WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:28WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:47TTU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    19.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.0%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
64.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 11 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
64.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 12 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
64.0%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
64.0%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the TexTc 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+9
64.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 9 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-5
64.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
64.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 40 yds, downed at the TexTc 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
63.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 5
OWN 9
-3
63.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 6Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
64.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+13
64.0%
Michael Barden punt for 43 yds , KJ Dillon returns for 13 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:3964% → 66%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
64.2%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+11
64.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 11 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
64.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 8 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+11
64.3%
Skyler Howard run for 11 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.1%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:2835% → 38%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
65.2%
Jonathan Giles pass complete to Patrick Mahomes for 3 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
65.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 6 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
65.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
65.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 13 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.9%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
64.9%
Justin Stockton run for no gain to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+29
65.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Cameron Batson for 29 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
64.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
64.6%
Patrick Mahomes run for 3 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
64.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (DeAndre Washington) to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
61.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 10 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
63.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
63.5%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
62.8%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
62.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 32 yds, downed at the TexTc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
62.2%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+2
62.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 2 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+10
62.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Keke Coutee for 10 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-1
61.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
62.7%
Michael Barden punt for 49 yds, fair catch by KJ Dillon at the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 3:5863% → 69%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
62.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
62.9%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 19Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
62.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 9 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+30
62.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 30 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
64.3%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
64.2%
Rushel Shell run for 8 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+8
64.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
64.7%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-4
64.6%
Skyler Howard sacked by Demetrius Alston for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+14
63.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 14 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
69.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 16 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
67.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
67.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+25
67.9%
Patrick Mahomes run for 10 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Nick Kwiatkoski) to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
65.8%
Patrick Mahomes run for 10 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
65.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem Grant, broken up by Dravon Askew-HenrySimilar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
65.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive holding (KJ Dillon) to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
64.8%
Justin Stockton run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
65.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for no gain to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+5
66.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 6
OPP 24
0
66.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9MISSED FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:2669% → 70%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
68.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+43
68.4%
Rushel Shell run for 43 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
70.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 18 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
70.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the TexTc 14 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
70.6%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 9
OPP 14
-4
69.9%
Skyler Howard sacked by Breiden Fehoko for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 18Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 13
OPP 18
+35
69.6%
Josh Lambert 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10INT
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:3731% → 33%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
69.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 9 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+11
68.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 11 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
68.2%
Patrick Mahomes run for 6 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+32
67.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Justin Stockton for 32 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
65.7%
Patrick Mahomes run for no gain to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
66.2%
Patrick Mahomes run for 4 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
66.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass intercepted Daryl Worley return for no gain to the WVirg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
70.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+1
69.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the WVirg 6Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+15
69.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Nigel Bethel) to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
70.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
70.3%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-4
69.5%
Skyler Howard sacked by Pete Robertson for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 16
OWN 15
0
68.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:1533% → 47%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
67.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Brad Pearson for 5 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+11
65.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 11 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
65.6%
Patrick Mahomes run for 2 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-10
65.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 18
OPP 30
+16
67.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 16 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+3
66.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
65.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
65.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete, broken up by Nick KwiatkoskiSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
52.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:2862% → 68%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
61.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 17 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
64.2%
Rushel Shell run for 10 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
64.2%
Rushel Shell run for 14 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
65.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+39
68.4%
Josh Lambert 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0038% → 35%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
62.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 7 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+11
61.2%
Patrick Mahomes run for 11 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
61.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+5
61.6%
Justin Stockton run for 5 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-6
61.4%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Edward Muldrow for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
64.6%
Michael Barden punt for 36 yds, downed at the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
65.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+17
65.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 17 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
66.0%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
65.8%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Justis Nelson return for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:2339% → 43%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
61.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+11
60.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 11 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
59.6%
Patrick Mahomes run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
59.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
61.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 7 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
64.1%
Patrick Mahomes run for 2 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
61.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
61.2%
Patrick Mahomes run for 2 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
62.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
56.7%
Clayton Hatfield 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:5662% → 83%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
62.4%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
64.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel ShellSimilar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+14
63.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 14 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
65.7%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+15
65.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tevin Madison) to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
67.2%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
67.0%
Rushel Shell run for 11 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
67.2%
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+2
67.2%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
67.2%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.6%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
76.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 13 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
75.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Cameron Batson for 4 yds to the TexTc 38 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 16
OWN 28
0
76.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to DeAndre WashingtonSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 16
OWN 28
0
76.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+3
77.6%
Patrick Mahomes run for 3 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 13
OWN 31
+1
78.1%
Michael Barden punt for 47 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 32 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the WVirg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
79.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
79.8%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Breiden Fehoko return for no gain to the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20FG
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:3329% → 31%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
71.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
71.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+12
73.4%
Patrick Mahomes run for 12 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
71.5%
Ian Sadler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
71.5%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 5Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
74.1%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 10Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
69.1%
Clayton Hatfield 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:2175% → 90%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
74.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+10
73.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 10 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+10
74.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
75.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 28 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
76.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
76.2%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+4
74.9%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.1%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 4:3611% → 29%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
89.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 10 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
89.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+5
89.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 5 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+11
89.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 11 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
88.0%
Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 9
50
+17
88.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 17 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
86.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
87.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+8
88.0%
Patrick Mahomes run for 8 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+8
87.7%
Patrick Mahomes run for 8 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
86.1%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
70.9%
DeAndre Washington 17 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23END OF GAME
19 plays · 63 yds · 4:5884% → 95%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
84.2%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+13
86.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Branden Jackson) to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
87.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
87.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
87.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
87.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+10
86.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
87.4%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
87.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+12
86.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 12 yds to the TexTc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
87.4%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
94.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.0%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Micah Awe) to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the TexTc 1Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 2Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.8%
TEAM run for no gain to the TexTc 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:40
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q4 11:28
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q4 6:47
DeAndre Washington 17 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com