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KU

Kansas 20 at Texas 59

TEX
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:45 · Michael Dickson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Kans 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior+44.2Home team on offense+4.5Score differential+2.5Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:21: Shakiem Barbel 0 Yd pass from Ryan Willis (Nick Bartolotta Kick) — KU win probability +1.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:58: Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:49: De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK) — KU win probability +2.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:01: D'Onta Foreman run for 93 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +3.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:34: D'Onta Foreman run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 7KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 7 at KU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:06KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:56TEX 4th & 6 at KU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:51KU 4th & 3 at KU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:45TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:09KU 4th & 2 at TEX 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 37, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:24KU 4th & 1 at TEX 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:05TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:39KU 4th & 4 at KU 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:01KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:40TEX 4th & 5 at KU 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:34KU 4th & 8 at TEX 32, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:25KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:07TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 37, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 8KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:06TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:51TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:21KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:58TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:49KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:01TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:34TEX Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:54TEX Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:25TEX Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:49TEX Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:07KU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
97.5%
Taylor Cox run for 3 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+17
97.5%
Ryan Willis run for 17 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.5%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-6
97.5%
Ryan Willis sacked by Peter Jinkens for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+14
97.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Taylor Cox for 14 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-5
97.5%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+1
97.5%
Matthew Wyman punt for 41 yds , Daje Johnson returns for 1 yd to the Texas 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
97.3%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for 84 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
97.2%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
97.3%
Matthew Wyman punt for 37 yds , Daje Johnson returns for 3 yds to the Texas 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:2197% → 97%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.2%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Kirk Johnson, broken up by Dorance Armstrong Jr.Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
97.2%
Kirk Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+37
97.2%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 37 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
97.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
97.2%
Jerrod Heard run for 9 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.2%
Jerrod Heard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
97.2%
Jerrod Heard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+4
97.2%
Jerrod Heard run for 4 yds to the Kans 11 TEXAS Penalty, offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
96.9%
Nick Rose 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5INT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Kent Taylor for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
96.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Austin Moses for 11 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
96.9%
Ryan Willis sacked by Poona Ford for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
96.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+36
96.9%
Ryan Willis pass intercepted Dylan Haines return for 36 yds to the Kans 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3697% → 97%
Q1 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for no gain to the Kans 4Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
97.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.2%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.3%
Matthew Wyman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
97.2%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 38 for a 1ST down to Marcus Johnson for 12 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
97.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 39Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
97.3%
Jerrod Heard run for 4 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
97.3%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Daje JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
97.2%
Michael Dickson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Kans 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:483% → 5%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+32
97.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Darious Crawley for 32 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
97.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 9 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
97.0%
De'Andre Mann run for 5 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
97.0%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-9
97.0%
Ryan Willis sacked by Bryce Cottrell for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 18
OPP 49
+16
97.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Ben Johnson for 16 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+14
97.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 14 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
96.9%
TEXAS Penalty, illegal substitution (5 Yards) to the Texas 14Similar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 5
OPP 14
0
96.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Austin MosesSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
95.5%
Shakiem Barbel 0 Yd pass from Ryan Willis (Nick Bartolotta Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:1496% → 96%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
95.8%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+8
95.8%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 8 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Daje JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 37
-12
95.7%
Michael Dickson punt for 34 yds , Derrick Neal returns for a loss of 12 yards to the Kans 17 Derrick Neal fumbled, recovered by Texas Kirk JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0796% → 98%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
95.9%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+4
95.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+5
95.8%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 5 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
95.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 3:093% → 5%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
96.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Kent Taylor for 5 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
96.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Kent TaylorSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+12
96.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Darious Crawley for 12 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.8%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
96.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+18
96.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Kent Taylor for 18 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.7%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
96.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 6 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+7
96.8%
Ryan Willis run for 7 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
96.7%
Ryan Willis run for 6 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+4
96.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 4 yds to the Texas 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.6%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
95.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+10
95.0%
Jerrod Heard run for 10 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
95.0%
Jerrod Heard run for 3 yds to the Texas 34 TEXAS Penalty, illegal block in back (-10 Yards) to the Texas 24Similar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 17
OWN 24
0
95.0%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Marcus Johnson, broken up by Dorance Armstrong Jr.Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 17
OWN 24
+3
94.9%
Jerrod Heard sacked by D.J. Williams for a loss of 14 yards to the Texas 7 Jerrod Heard fumbled, recovered by Kans Marcquis Roberts , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the Texas 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
94.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Texas 2Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for no gain to the Texas 2Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.5%
Ryan Willis run for 1 yd to the Texas 1Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.7%
De'Andre Mann run for no gain to the Texas 1 De'Andre Mann fumbled, forced by Jason Hall, recovered by Kans Ben JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
94.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+3
94.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 3
OWN 8
-1
94.5%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 7Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
94.4%
Michael Dickson punt for 35 yds , Shakiem Barbel returns for no gain to the Texas 42 Shakiem Barbel fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16MISSED FG
13 plays · 35 yds · 3:576% → 7%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
94.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
94.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-5
94.0%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+12
94.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 12 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
93.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 13 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
93.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 3 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+3
93.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 3 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+5
94.1%
Ryan Willis run for 5 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
93.9%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
93.9%
Ryan Willis sacked by Derick Roberson for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 7Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
93.2%
Nick Bartolotta 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
93.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+5
93.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
93.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+1
93.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+13
93.5%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for 13 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
94.2%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (Patrick Vahe) to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+5
94.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
94.1%
Jerrod Heard run for no gain to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
93.7%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to D'Onta Foreman, broken up by Dorance Armstrong Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
93.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ryan Schadler at the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
93.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+11
93.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 11 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
92.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+8
93.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 8 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
92.7%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Marcquis Roberts, broken up by Naashon HughesSimilar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
93.3%
Matthew Wyman punt for 51 yds, downed at the Texas 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
1 play · 93 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+93
96.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 93 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.4%
Taylor Cox run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
96.3%
Ryan Willis run for 2 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
96.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+14
96.5%
Matthew Wyman punt for 36 yds , Daje Johnson returns for 14 yds to the Texas 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:0697% → 99%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
97.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
97.3%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Ryan Newsome for 8 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.4%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Marcus Johnson, broken up by Marnez OgletreeSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
97.4%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Caleb Bluiett for 5 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
97.3%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Ryan NewsomeSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+9
97.1%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 9 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
97.4%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for 18 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 15 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 5 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-7
98.6%
Ryan Willis sacked by Desmond Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+28
98.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 28 yds Ke'aun Kinner fumbled, forced by Naashon Hughes, recovered by Kans for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
98.4%
Taylor Cox run for 3 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
98.3%
Taylor Cox run for 4 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-5
98.5%
Ryan Willis sacked by Peter Jinkens and Paul Boyette Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 8
OPP 32
0
98.6%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Kent TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.1%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+7
99.1%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 7 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+23
99.1%
Jerrod Heard run for 23 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 40 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Kent Taylor, broken up by Jason HallSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 15 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass intercepted DeShon Elliott return for 5 yds to the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:24100% → 100%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Ryan Newsome for 8 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+44
99.9%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 44 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Keaton Perry pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 1 yd to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Keaton Perry pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Matthew Wyman punt for 58 yds, downed at the Texas 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 27FUMBLE RETURN TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 3:22100% → 100%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+21
99.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 21 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
99.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 21 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-5
99.9%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+15
99.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Andrew Beck for 15 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 9 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+14
99.9%
Kirk Johnson run for 14 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 0
OWN 7
-10
100.0%
Tyrone Swoopes 10 Yd Fumble Return (Nick Rose Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Taylor Cox run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Taylor Cox run for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Taylor Cox run for 4 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Keaton Perry pass intercepted DeShon Elliott return for no gain to the Texas 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Kirk Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
99.9%
Kirk Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-6
99.9%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (Caleb Bluiett) to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Ryan Newsome for 5 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Michael Dickson punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 30TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Ryan Schadler run for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
100.0%
Keaton Perry run for 7 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Ryan Schadler run for 4 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+10
100.0%
Ryan Schadler run for 10 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Keaton Perry pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+8
100.0%
Ryan Schadler run for 8 yds to the TEXAS 44 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
100.0%
Ryan Schadler run for 7 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Keaton Perry pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-5
99.9%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (Keaton Perry) to the Texas 42Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+23
100.0%
Ryan Schadler run for 23 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Darious Crawley 19 Yd pass from Keaton Perry (Two-Point Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 31END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
100.0%
Gaston Davis run for 1 yd to the Texas 15Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+10
100.0%
Trey Holtz run for 10 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Trey Holtz run for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:01
D'Onta Foreman run for 93 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q2 8:49
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)
-2.1
TD · Q2 11:58
Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com