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TCU

TCU 29 at Oklahoma State 49

OKST
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:22 · Trevone Boykin run for 2 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Home team on offense+25.2Score differential+10.8Pregame prior−2.2Garbage-time factor+7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:37: Jeff Carr 12 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +10.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:57: Marcell Ateman 82 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +9.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:08: J.W. Walsh 1 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +12.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:56: Trevone Boykin 1 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +14.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:19: Kolby Listenbee 32 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +8.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 9TCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 14:27TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:36OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:24TCU 4th & 3 at OKST 6, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:06OKST 4th & 16 at TCU 36, up 5
    Close callPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:50TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 11, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:23TCU 4th & 1 at OKST 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.6%−1.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:54TCU 4th & 3 at OKST 14, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:55TCU 4th & 2 at OKST 44, down 19
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−3.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:13OKST 4th & 11 at TCU 43, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:49TCU 4th & 7 at OKST 31, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:21OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 36, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:54OKST 4th & 6 at TCU 44, up 26
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:36TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 34, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:32OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:22OKST 4th & 14 at OKST 48, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:22TCU 4th & 1 at TCU 45, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:21TCU 4th & 1 at OKST 1, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−3.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:43OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 8, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:25OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:05OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:28TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:02OKST Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:37OKST Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:57OKST Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:08OKST Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:56TCU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:07OKST Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:19TCU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:28TCU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.9%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:44OKST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2366% → 66%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
34.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
34.1%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 14:39
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
34.1%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Aaron GreenSimilar
Q1 14:27
4TH & 10
OWN 12
+1
34.2%
Ethan Perry punt for 49 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 1 yd to the OKSt 13 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4234% → 35%
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
34.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 1 yd to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
34.6%
Raymond Taylor run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-4
34.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Denzel Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
34.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 39 yds, downed at the TCU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:3565% → 65%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
34.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 14 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
34.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 7 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-5
34.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 5 yds to the TCU 42 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+8
35.0%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted Jordan Burton return for 8 yds to the TCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:3736% → 37%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
35.8%
Raymond Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
35.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Austin HaysSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+48
37.0%
James Washington 48 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 4:2663% → 63%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
37.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 8 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
36.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Jarrison StewartSimilar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+16
37.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 16 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
37.2%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+4
37.5%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+5
38.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 5 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
38.1%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+15
38.6%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Listenbee, Kolby (Whitener, Chad), PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Whitener, Chad) 15 yards to the OKLAST27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
38.2%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Doctson, Josh, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Peterson, Kevin) 10 yards to the OKLAST17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
38.3%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+10
38.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 10 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
38.8%
KaVontae Turpin run for 4 yds to the OKSt 1Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.8%
Trevone Boykin 1 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:0939% → 42%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
38.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Austin Hays for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
50
+50
42.0%
James Washington 50 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:2158% → 60%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
41.8%
Trevone Boykin run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 17Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+70
42.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 70 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
41.0%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+2
41.4%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the OKSt 6Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
42.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Ashton LampkinSimilar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
39.8%
Jaden Oberkrom 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:0940% → 41%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.3%
Raymond Taylor run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+23
40.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Hicks) to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
41.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Victor Salako) to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+24
41.3%
Mason Rudolph run for 14 yds to the OKLAST 40 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Torrance Mosley) to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
42.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris CarsonSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
42.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 4 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-10
42.2%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Glidden, David, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Lewis, Paul) 10 yards to the TCU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 16
OPP 36
0
41.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris CarsonSimilar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 16
OPP 36
0
40.5%
Zach Sinor punt for 32 yds, downed at the TCU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0858% → 57%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
41.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+6
42.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 6 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+1
42.9%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the TCU 11Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 3
OWN 11
-6
43.4%
Ethan Perry punt for 44 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 39 Jalen McCleskey fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:0043% → 55%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
42.6%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Zac Veatch for 25 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
43.6%
Chris Carson run for 11 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
44.1%
J.W. Walsh pass incomplete to Austin HaysSimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
44.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Raymond Taylor for 13 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
54.9%
Jeff Carr 12 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11DOWNS
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:3050% → 44%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.5%
Trevorris Johnson run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
50.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 16 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
50.6%
KaVontae Turpin run for 3 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+17
50.1%
KaVontae Turpin run for 17 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
50.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
50.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+9
51.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 9 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+8
50.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
50.0%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Jarrell Owens for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+5
51.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 5 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+12
54.0%
Trevone Boykin run for 12 yds to the OKSt 14Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 3
OPP 14
0
56.1%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:4459% → 69%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
59.2%
Raymond Taylor run for 4 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
58.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Torrance MosleySimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+82
68.5%
Marcell Ateman 82 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:5533% → 34%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
66.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 23 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
65.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
66.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 8 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
65.5%
Trevone Boykin run for no gain to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
66.5%
Ethan Perry punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:3673% → 78%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
72.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 18 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
73.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 18 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
74.1%
Rennie Childs run for 7 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
74.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 5 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
80.2%
Raymond Taylor run for 3 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-4
79.9%
Jalen McCleskey run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
78.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell Ateman, broken up by Nick OrrSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
77.5%
Zach Sinor punt for 42 yds, downed at the TCU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 3:1526% → 27%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
73.9%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the TCU 3Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+15
75.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 15 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
74.0%
Trevone Boykin run for 17 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
73.3%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
73.8%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+14
74.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 14 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
72.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Desmon WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
73.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 12 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
71.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 3 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
71.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
73.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Shaun NixonSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
73.4%
Jaden Oberkrom 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
87.3%
Mason Rudolph run for 3 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2384% → 86%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
84.2%
Raymond Taylor run for 7 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+6
85.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 6 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
85.1%
Raymond Taylor run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
86.2%
Mason Rudolph run for no gain to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
86.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+2
85.5%
Zach Sinor punt for 47 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 2 yds to the TCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:1019% → 18%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
81.4%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Shaun Nixon) to the TCU 14Similar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+23
82.1%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted Chad Whitener return for 23 yds to the TCU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.8%
J.W. Walsh 1 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:535% → 17%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
94.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 3 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
94.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
94.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 13 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
94.4%
Aaron Green run for 8 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 2
OPP 22
-2
96.4%
KaVontae Turpin run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+12
96.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 12 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
96.8%
Aaron Green run for 7 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
97.0%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.6%
Trevone Boykin 1 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3890% → 97%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
97.0%
James Washington 74 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:212% → 2%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
97.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 18 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.9%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted Tre Flowers return for no gain to the TCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3098% → 98%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
97.7%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Jeff Carr for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 12
50
+6
97.8%
Mason Rudolph run for 6 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
97.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 33 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:072% → 1%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
98.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 4 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+7
98.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 7 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
98.7%
Aaron Green run for 9 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
98.7%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
98.8%
Boykin, Trevone rush for 7 yards to the TCU43, PENALTY TCU holding (Naff, Jamelle) 10 yards to the TCU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+7
98.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 7 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+1
99.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 1 yd to the TCU 34Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Shaun NixonSimilar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Ethan Perry punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5199% → 99%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.7%
Raymond Taylor run for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
98.7%
Raymond Taylor run for 1 yd to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.8%
J.W. Walsh run for no gain to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+23
99.0%
Zach Sinor punt for 53 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 23 yds to the TCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:061% → 9%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
99.4%
Trevorris Johnson run for 16 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.4%
Trevorris Johnson run for 6 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-1
99.4%
Trevorris Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+7
99.4%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Listenbee, Kolby, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Hunter, Michael) 7 yards to the OKLAST36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+32
91.5%
Kolby Listenbee 32 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:4297% → 97%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
96.5%
Rennie Childs run for 7 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-1
96.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeff Carr for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-10
96.8%
Walsh, J.W. rush for 5 yards to the TCU37, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Wilson, Michael) 10 yards to the OKLAST48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 14
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Austin HaysSimilar
Q4 12:22
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
96.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 42 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 28DOWNS
19 plays · 89 yds · 6:525% → 3%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
95.1%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 9Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+5
95.4%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+7
95.5%
Trevone Boykin run for 7 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
95.5%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+1
95.7%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+12
95.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 12 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
95.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 7 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
95.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 2 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
95.9%
Kyle Hicks pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
96.0%
Trevone Boykin run for 2 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
95.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 12 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
95.9%
Aaron Green run for 9 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+13
95.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 13 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
95.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 4 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+11
95.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 11 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
96.2%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the OKSt 2Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 1 yd to the OKSt 1Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.2%
Aaron Green run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.2%
Trevone Boykin run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3098% → 99%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
98.1%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd to the OKSt 2Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+4
98.2%
Mason Rudolph run for 4 yds to the OKSt 6Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+2
98.3%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
98.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 44 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for no gain to the TCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 30TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:082% → 4%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
98.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 19 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
97.6%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Jordan Burton for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+8
97.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 8 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+25
97.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 25 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.3%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:5798% → 99%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
97.6%
Jeff Carr run for 3 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
97.7%
J.W. Walsh run for 3 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-1
97.9%
Jeff Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
98.5%
Zach Sinor punt for 47 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 32INT TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:382% → 0%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
98.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Aaron GreenSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+14
98.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 14 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Tony JamesSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+42
99.8%
Chad Whitener 42 Yd Interception Return (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 33END OF GAME
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:380% → 0%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
Aaron Green run for 8 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
99.7%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
99.8%
Aaron Green run for 10 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:56
Trevone Boykin 1 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
-14.5
TD · Q3 12:08
J.W. Walsh 1 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)
+12.7
TD · Q2 13:37
Jeff Carr 12 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com