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ISU

Iowa State 16 at Oklahoma 52

OU
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:35 · Joel Lanning pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior+18.6Home team on offense+26.3Score differential+19.5Garbage-time factor+7.4Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:33: Baker Mayfield 17 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:35: Cole Netten 45 Yd Field Goal — ISU win probability +0.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:14: Cole Netten 51 Yd Field Goal — ISU win probability +2.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:03: Samaje Perine 8 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +2.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:05: Sterling Shepard 74 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 10:46ISU 4th & 3 at OU 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:48OU 4th & 2 at ISU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:34ISU 4th & 18 at ISU 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:08ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54OU 4th & 9 at OU 48, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:14ISU 4th & 19 at ISU 1, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−1.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:35ISU 4th & 7 at OU 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:37OU 4th & 1 at OU 27, up 15
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:30ISU 4th & 1 at OU 35, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:42OU 4th & 10 at ISU 21, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:25ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 29, down 15
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:43OU 4th & 19 at OU 17, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:14ISU 4th & 10 at OU 33, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:07OU 4th & 11 at ISU 20, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−2.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:20ISU 4th & 16 at ISU 47, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:35ISU 4th & 4 at OU 6, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    -1.3%−2.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:17ISU 4th & 10 at OU 30, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:03ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 32, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:30ISU 4th & 2 at OU 17, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:33OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:53OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:33OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:03OU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:05OU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:19OU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:51OU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:08ISU Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:024% → 5%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.8%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
95.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 7 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
95.7%
Joel Lanning run for 9 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.6%
Joel Lanning run for 5 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
95.5%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+19
95.4%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Mike Warren for 19 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
95.2%
Joshua Thomas run for 1 yd to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
95.1%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Quenton BundrageSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+6
95.0%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Ben Boesen for 6 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+43
95.0%
Cole Netten 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
95.1%
Dimitri Flowers 75 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:235% → 5%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
95.1%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
94.9%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
94.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+2
94.9%
Colin Downing punt for 44 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 2 yds to the Okla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:0095% → 94%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
94.7%
Samaje Perine run for 13 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
94.8%
Samaje Perine run for 16 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
94.8%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+1
94.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 1 yd to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 2
OPP 32
0
94.6%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
94.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:316% → 6%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
94.3%
Trever Ryen run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
94.3%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+38
94.3%
Joel Lanning pass intercepted Dakota Austin return for 38 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
95.1%
Dede Westbrook 27 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:025% → 5%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
94.6%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
94.6%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Quenton BundrageSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-4
94.7%
Joel Lanning sacked by Charles Tapper for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 17Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
94.7%
Colin Downing punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:4295% → 96%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
94.9%
Joe Mixon run for 7 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+15
94.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 15 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
94.8%
Joe Mixon run for 1 yd to the IowSt 17Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
94.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
95.7%
Baker Mayfield 17 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:074% → 4%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Joshua Thomas run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Ben BoesenSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 2 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
95.8%
Colin Downing punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0696% → 96%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 5 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
95.8%
Joe Mixon run for 4 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
95.7%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
95.7%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Okla 42 Baker Mayfield fumbled, forced by Kane Seeley, recovered by Okla Prentice McKinneySimilar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+6
95.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
95.5%
Austin Seibert punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 1:404% → 4%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
95.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Jake Campos) to the IowSt 5Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+2
95.7%
Joshua Thomas run for 2 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-6
95.7%
Joel Lanning sacked by Charles Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 1Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 19
OWN 1
0
95.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the IowSt 1Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 19
OWN 1
0
95.8%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 19
OWN 1
+4
95.9%
Colin Downing punt for 47 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 4 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
96.0%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the IowSt 41 Samaje Perine fumbled, forced by Levi Peters, recovered by IowSt Reggan NorthrupSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:235% → 5%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.5%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+29
95.6%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 29 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
95.2%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
95.1%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Ben BoesenSimilar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
95.4%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Dondre DaleySimilar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
94.6%
Cole Netten 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3795% → 95%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
95.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 5 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-5
95.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Nila Kasitati) to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-2
95.2%
Baker Mayfield sacked by J.D. Waggoner for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 16Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+11
95.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 11 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:005% → 6%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
94.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Carson Epps for 5 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+8
94.6%
Mike Warren run for 8 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
94.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Jaypee Philbert) to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+15
94.8%
Joel Lanning run for 15 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
94.3%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 5 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
94.1%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
94.1%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
94.2%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 2:3395% → 95%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
95.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 6 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
95.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 4 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
95.3%
Joe Mixon run for 6 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+10
95.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 10 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
95.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 5 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
95.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jarvis BaxterSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+13
95.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 13 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
95.4%
Joe Mixon run for no gain to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
95.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
95.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jarvis BaxterSimilar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
95.2%
Austin Seibert 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:055% → 5%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
95.0%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 7 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
94.7%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Ben BoesenSimilar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
95.0%
Colin Downing punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:2096% → 95%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
95.7%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-8
95.6%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Dale Pierson for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 14
OWN 22
-5
95.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Dru Samia) to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 19
OWN 17
0
95.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 19
OWN 17
0
95.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 36 yds , Trever Ryen returns for no gain to the IowSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:216% → 6%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
94.3%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 20 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
93.4%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Carson EppsSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
93.4%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Quenton BundrageSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
94.0%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
94.0%
Cole Netten 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:2694% → 94%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
94.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 3 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+4
94.2%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 3:2394% → 95%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
93.8%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Jordan Harris and Demond Tucker for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+2
93.7%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+18
93.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 18 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
93.9%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+12
94.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 12 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
94.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 8 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+11
94.1%
Samaje Perine run for 11 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
94.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 11 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
94.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 1 yd to the IowSt 18Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-2
94.1%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Levi Peters for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 20Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
93.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
94.6%
Austin Seibert 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:406% → 6%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
94.2%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 28 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
93.4%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
93.5%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 9
OPP 46
-7
93.8%
Joel Lanning sacked by Charles Tapper for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
94.4%
Colin Downing punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:0295% → 98%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
95.1%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+15
95.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 15 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
95.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 7 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
95.4%
Joe Mixon run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
50
+9
95.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dallis Todd for 9 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+24
95.5%
Baker Mayfield run for 24 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
95.5%
Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Harris) to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.4%
Samaje Perine 8 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24DOWNS
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:052% → 1%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
98.3%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Mike WarrenSimilar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+20
98.3%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 20 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
98.2%
Joel Lanning run for 14 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
98.2%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+4
98.2%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Mike Warren for 4 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
98.1%
Joel Lanning pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 7 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-5
98.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Jaypee Philbert) to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
98.1%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Mike Warren for 7 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+12
98.3%
Mike Warren run for 12 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.2%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the Okla 12Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
98.4%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 6 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
98.8%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 4
OPP 6
0
98.8%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 94 yds · 0:1499% → 100%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+20
98.9%
Samaje Perine run for 20 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
99.8%
Sterling Shepard 74 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 3:330% → 0%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
99.9%
Joshua Thomas run for 13 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for 11 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
99.9%
Joshua Thomas run for 12 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Joshua Thomas run for 9 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Joshua Thomas run for no gain to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Joshua Thomas run for 2 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
99.9%
Joel Lanning sacked by Eric Striker for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Carson Epps for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:31100% → 100%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Joe Mixon run for 7 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 6 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.9%
Joe Mixon 57 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the IowSt 16Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Carson Epps for 9 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Carson EppsSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Dondre DaleySimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 6 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Colin Downing punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 29TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
99.9%
Mark Andrews 55 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 30TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 3:320% → 0%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for 4 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Dondre Daley for 8 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 11 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+13
99.9%
Joel Lanning run for 13 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 9 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Joshua ThomasSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 8 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Dondre DaleySimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 4 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Quenton BundrageSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
D'Vario Montgomery 13 Yd pass from Joel Lanning (Cole Netten Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 31END OF GAME
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:39100% → 100%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+8
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Grant Bothun for 8 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Alex Ross run for 11 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+22
100.0%
Daniel Brooks run for 22 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
100.0%
Daniel Brooks run for 8 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
100.0%
Daniel Brooks run for 4 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
100.0%
Daniel Brooks run for 21 yds to the IowSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:03
Samaje Perine 8 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)
+2.9
FG · Q2 1:14
Cole Netten 51 Yd Field Goal
-2.1
TD · Q1 3:33
Baker Mayfield 17 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com