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Oklahoma 62 at Kansas 7

KU
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:33 · Alex Ross run for 7 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:51: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:54: Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK) — KU win probability +0.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:00: Samaje Perine run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 2:34: Austin Seibert 46 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:22: Samaje Perine run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 12:40OU 4th & 2 at KU 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:40KU 4th & 4 at KU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:48KU 4th & 6 at KU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:27KU 4th & 7 at KU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:51KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54OU 4th & 4 at KU 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:46KU 4th & 7 at OU 39, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:34OU 4th & 5 at KU 29, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:23KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00KU 4th & 19 at KU 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:03OU 4th & 13 at KU 15, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:10KU 4th & 1 at OU 18, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:32KU 4th & 18 at KU 12, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:32KU 4th & 11 at OU 44, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:48OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:32OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:51OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:54KU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:00OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:22OU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:46OU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:19OU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:32OU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1MISSED FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:2099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+41
0.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 41 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
0.9%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
0.9%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 0
0
0.9%
Mayfield, Baker rush for 4 yards to the KU18 (Goodman,Ben;Armstrong,D.), PENALTY KU offside off-setting, PENALTY OU holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+8
0.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 8 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
1.1%
Austin Seibert 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
1.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
1.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+7
1.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 7 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
1.1%
De'Andre Mann run for no gain to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
1.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 6 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
1.1%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+5
1.1%
Matthew Wyman punt for 52 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 5 yds to the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 83 yds · 0:2699% → 99%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
1.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 15 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
1.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 68 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
1.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
1.3%
Ryan Willis sacked by Charles Tapper for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
1.3%
Matthew Wyman punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:4099% → 99%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
1.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Samaje PerineSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
1.4%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+14
1.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 14 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Michiah Quick for no gain to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+36
1.4%
Samaje Perine run for 36 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
1.4%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 11Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
1.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
1.5%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
1.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
1.5%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
1.5%
Matthew Wyman punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:4699% → 99%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
1.5%
KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
1.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 12 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
1.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 1 yd to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+14
1.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 14 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
1.5%
Joe Mixon run for 3 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+18
1.5%
Joe Mixon run for 18 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
1.5%
Joe Mixon run for 3 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker, broken up by Dakota AustinSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
1.4%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to De'Andre MannSimilar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
1.3%
Matthew Wyman punt for 40 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for no gain to the Okla 29 Sterling Shepard fumbled, recovered by Kans Colin SpencerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:122% → 2%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
1.5%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker, broken up by Charles WalkerSimilar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
1.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
1.5%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
1.5%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
1.5%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
2.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:5498% → 99%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 7 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
1.9%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+9
1.9%
Baker Mayfield run for 9 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
1.9%
Joe Mixon run for 4 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 20 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-7
1.9%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Chevy Graham for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 17
OPP 39
-15
1.9%
Mayfield, Baker pass complete to Flowers, D. for 16 yards to the KU23 (Bates,Bazie), PENALTY OU personal foul (Brown, Orlando) 15 yards to the OU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 32
OWN 46
+18
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 18 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+10
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 10 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+7
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 7 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 16 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
1.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.3%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 3:072% → 2%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
1.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 9 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+3
1.7%
Taylor Cox run for 3 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
1.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+11
1.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 11 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
1.8%
Taylor Cox run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 5
50
0
1.8%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 5
50
+8
1.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Taylor Cox for 8 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
1.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
1.8%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
2.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
2.0%
Ryan Willis punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:0198% → 98%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+22
2.0%
Samaje Perine run for 22 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
1.9%
Samaje Perine run for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
1.9%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete to Shepard, S., PENALTY KU pass interference (Stewart,Brandon) 15 yards to the KU48, 1ST DOWN OU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 8 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+6
1.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 6 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
1.8%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
1.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 5 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 5
OPP 0
0
1.9%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete to Westbrook, Dede (Ogletree,Marnez), PENALTY KU offside off-setting, PENALTY OU illegal touching off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jarvis BaxterSimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
2.4%
Austin Seibert 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:112% → 2%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
2.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
2.2%
Ryan Willis run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
1.9%
Matthew Wyman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 0:5498% → 99%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+38
1.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 23 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Bazie Bates IV) to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
1.5%
Samaje Perine run for 16 yds to the Kans 26 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+35
1.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 35 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.7%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
Team run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
1.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 12 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
1.2%
Ryan Willis run for no gain to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-7
1.1%
Ryan Willis sacked by Charles Tapper for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 33
-2
1.1%
De'Andre Mann run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 31
+8
1.1%
Matthew Wyman punt for 44 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:5899% → 100%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
0.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 9 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
0.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 4 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+28
0.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 28 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.8%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+9
0.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 9 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+16
0.7%
Joe Mixon run for 16 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.5%
Joe Mixon run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sam Grant for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
0.4%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 19 De'Andre Mann fumbled, forced by Charles Tapper, recovered by Okla Steven ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
0.4%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+7
0.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Mark Andrews for 7 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
0.4%
Trevor Knight run for 6 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Trevor Knight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20FUMBLE
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
0.3%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
0.3%
Taylor Cox run for 1 yd to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
0.3%
Taylor Cox run for 7 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
0.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
0.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, delay of game (Jordan Thomas) to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
0.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+9
0.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 9 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-8
0.4%
Ryan Willis sacked by Charles Tapper for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 48 Ryan Willis fumbled, recovered by Okla Eric Striker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
0.3%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
0.3%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+6
0.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 6 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
0.3%
Knight, Trevor pass incomplete to Andrews, Mark, PENALTY KU pass interference (Neal,Derrick) 15 yards to the KU26, 1ST DOWN OU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Jarvis BaxterSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+14
0.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Mark Andrews for 14 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
0.3%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
0.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-5
0.3%
Trevor Knight sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 15Similar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+32
0.3%
Nick Hodgson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22DOWNS
14 plays · 57 yds · 3:530% → 0%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.2%
Taylor Cox run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 11 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
0.2%
Taylor Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+24
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 24 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
0.2%
Taylor Cox run for 6 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+7
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 7 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
0.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+7
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 7 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+1
0.2%
Taylor Cox run for 1 yd to the Okla 18Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
0.1%
Taylor Cox run for no gain to the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+54
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 54 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 1 yd to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+14
0.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Mark Andrews for 3 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Dorance Armstrong Jr.) to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+13
0.2%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the Kans 20 Alex Ross fumbled, forced by Tyrone Miller Jr., recovered by Kans Kyron Watson , return for 13 yds to the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Darious Crawley for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-4
0.1%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-8
0.1%
Ryan Willis sacked by P.L. Lindley and Kahlil Haughton for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 10:32
4TH & 18
OWN 12
+10
0.1%
Matthew Wyman punt for 47 yds , Jarvis Baxter returns for 10 yds to the Kans 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 9 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
0.1%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+15
0.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Grant Bothun for 15 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
0.1%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
0.1%
Alex Ross run for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
0.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Connor Knight for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Hodgson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 13 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
0.1%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 7 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+10
0.1%
Willis,Ryan pass complete to Hartzog,Bobby for 4 yards to the OU49 (Thomas, Cody), PENALTY OU holding (Thomas, Cody) 10 yards to the OU43, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
0.1%
Taylor Cox run for 3 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-4
0.1%
Ryan Willis sacked by Marquise Overton for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Darious Crawley, broken up by P.J. MbanasorSimilar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
0.1%
Matthew Wyman punt for 43 yds, downed at the Okla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
0.3%
Alex Ross run for 9 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+2
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+7
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 7 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:54
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 0:22
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
-0.7
TD · Q2 9:00
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com