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WVU

West Virginia 10 at TCU 40

TCU
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2015 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:30 · Nick O'Toole punt for 52 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 203Pregame prior+3.9Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+31.5Blowout margin+16.5Garbage-time factor+10.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:49: Trevone Boykin 2 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +2.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:19: Shelton Gibson 32 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Josh Lambert Kick) — WVU win probability +5.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Jaden Oberkrom 57 Yd Field Goal — TCU win probability +3.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:43: Kyle Hicks 7 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +6.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:25: Josh Doctson 9 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:20WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:01WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:16WVU 4th & 4 at TCU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:01TCU 4th & 3 at WVU 3, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:18WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−1.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:35TCU 4th & 30 at TCU 18, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−1.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:58TCU 4th & 6 at WVU 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:02WVU 4th & 3 at TCU 34, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.4%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:12TCU 4th & 3 at WVU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−1.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:05TCU 4th & 6 at WVU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:16WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−1.0
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:36WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 45, down 20
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:25WVU 4th & 5 at TCU 18, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.9%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:06TCU 4th & 10 at WVU 41, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:17WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 9, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:05TCU 4th & 7 at WVU 26, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:50WVU 4th & 1 at TCU 18, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:57TCU 4th & 1 at TCU 45, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:30WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 48, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:46TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:49TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:19WVU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:43TCU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:25TCU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:3514% → 14%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
86.0%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (Ridwan Issahaku) to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
85.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
85.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
85.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
85.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 42 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 92 yds · 4:2686% → 86%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
85.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+11
85.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 11 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
85.5%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-4
85.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 17Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+16
85.1%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Worley, Daryl) 16 yards to the TCU32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
85.2%
Aaron Green run for 12 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
85.2%
Trevone Boykin run for 3 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-1
85.1%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 46Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+15
84.8%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Doctson, Josh, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Chestnut, Terrell) 15 yards to the WESTVIR39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
85.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Aaron GreenSimilar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
85.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 11 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
85.0%
Shaun Nixon run for 8 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+3
84.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 3 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
85.8%
Josh Doctson 17 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3615% → 15%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to David Sills for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
85.4%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
85.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 4 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-1
85.1%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
85.3%
Nick O'Toole punt for 40 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:0585% → 88%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+27
85.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 27 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
85.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 31 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
85.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 10 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
85.7%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 14Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-3
85.7%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 14
OPP 17
+15
85.2%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Doctson, Josh, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Dillon, KJ) 15 yards to the WESTVIR2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q1 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.9%
Trevone Boykin 2 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:2413% → 13%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
86.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 8 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
86.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 12 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
86.6%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
86.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to David SillsSimilar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
87.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6FG
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:0688% → 89%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+45
88.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 45 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
88.0%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.0%
Trevone Boykin run for no gain to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
87.9%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q1 1:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
89.1%
Jaden Oberkrom 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3712% → 11%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
88.5%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 33
-12
89.3%
Skyler Howard sacked by Bryson Henderson for a loss of 12 yards to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 25
OWN 21
+7
89.3%
Skyler Howard run for 7 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 18
OWN 28
+3
89.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 54 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 3 yds to the TCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · -3 yds · 1:3490% → 89%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
89.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+17
89.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 17 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
90.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 1 yd to the TCU 39Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-15
90.4%
Boykin, Trevone pass complete to Doctson, Josh for 61 yards to the WESTVIR0, PENALTY TCU face mask (Naff, Jamelle) 15 yards to the TCU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 24
OWN 24
-7
89.7%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 17Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 31
OWN 17
+1
89.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 1 yd to the TCU 18Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 30
OWN 18
0
89.3%
Ethan Perry punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:0411% → 17%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
88.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+10
88.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 10 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
88.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
88.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+32
83.3%
Shelton Gibson 32 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Josh Lambert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:1184% → 84%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.3%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
84.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
84.1%
Trevone Boykin run for 3 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
84.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 15 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
85.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Charlie Reid for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
85.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Aaron GreenSimilar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
84.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
84.4%
Ethan Perry punt for 32 yds, fair catch by KJ Dillon at the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:4815% → 17%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
84.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+5
84.8%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+28
85.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to David Sills for 28 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
83.4%
Skyler Howard run for 12 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
83.1%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
83.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to William Crest Jr. for 7 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
82.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to David SillsSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+51
83.1%
Josh Lambert 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12FG
19 plays · 65 yds · 3:5584% → 87%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+22
83.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 22 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
85.7%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
85.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Desmon WhiteSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+6
85.2%
Trevone Boykin run for 6 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+5
84.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Shaun Nixon for 5 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
85.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Desmon WhiteSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
85.7%
Josh Doctson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+15
85.2%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Turpin, KaVontae, PENALTY WESTVIR personal foul (Kwiatkoski, Nick) 15 yards to the WESTVIR21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
86.0%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+15
85.9%
Nixon, Shaun pass incomplete to Doctson, Josh, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Chestnut, Terrell) 15 yards to the WESTVIR8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
85.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Shaun NixonSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
85.1%
TCU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
85.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 4 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
87.2%
Jaden Oberkrom 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4112% → 13%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
87.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+3
87.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+3
87.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 3 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 4
OWN 15
0
87.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 46 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:1688% → 91%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
87.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 5
OWN 44
0
87.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for no gain to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+17
87.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 17 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+57
91.1%
Jaden Oberkrom 57 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:1089% → 97%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
89.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 12 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
89.9%
Green, Aaron rush for 1 yard to the TCU48, PENALTY TCU holding (Foltz, Brady) 10 yards to the TCU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+7
89.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 7 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+29
90.1%
Trevone Boykin run for 29 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
90.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+21
90.3%
Aaron Green run for 21 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
90.4%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.8%
Kyle Hicks 7 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:004% → 5%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 14 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
95.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
95.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
95.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
95.2%
Nick O'Toole punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:0197% → 99%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
96.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 1 yd to the TCU 19Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+20
97.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 20 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
96.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 13 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
97.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 7 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-10
97.1%
Boykin, Trevone rush for 4 yards to the WESTVIR37, PENALTY TCU holding (Hunt, Joey) 10 yards to the TCU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+42
96.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 42 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Josh Doctson 9 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18DOWNS
17 plays · 58 yds · 3:541% → 1%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.3%
Rushel Shell run for 8 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.3%
Skyler Howard run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
50
0
99.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 10
50
0
99.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to David SillsSimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 10
50
-4
99.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 6 yds to the TCU 44 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (David Sills) to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+17
99.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 17 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
99.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+3
99.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+5
99.0%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Kindred, Derrick) 5 yards to the TCU23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+4
99.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+1
99.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 1 yd to the TCU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.7%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+8
99.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+11
99.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 11 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 15 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Shaun NixonSimilar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kyle HicksSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Ethan Perry punt for 35 yds, downed at the WVirg 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:410% → 0%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+3
99.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 7
OWN 9
0
99.8%
Nick O'Toole punt for 48 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 2 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Buck JonesSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+26
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 26 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
99.8%
KaVontae Turpin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
99.8%
Jaden Oberkrom 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22INT
16 plays · 59 yds · 4:240% → 0%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to David Sills for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+15
99.9%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bryson Henderson) to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 5 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-15
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to William Crest Jr. WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tyler Orlosky) to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 23
OPP 42
+15
99.9%
TCU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Davion Pierson) to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to David SillsSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 9 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+2
99.8%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the TCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Travin Howard return for 4 yds to the TCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
99.9%
Aaron Green run for 17 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 6 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-10
99.9%
Green, Aaron rush for 4 yards to the TCU46, PENALTY TCU holding (Hunt, Joey) 10 yards to the TCU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+11
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 11 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 2 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 33 yds, downed at the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 9 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to David SillsSimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 61 yds · 5:22100% → 100%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 1 yd to the TCU 21Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+29
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 10 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
Trevorris Johnson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
Trevorris Johnson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+4
100.0%
Colten Christensen run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
100.0%
Colten Christensen run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+5
100.0%
Trevorris Johnson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+3
100.0%
Colten Christensen run for 3 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:43
Kyle Hicks 7 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
+6.4
TD · Q2 11:19
Shelton Gibson 32 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Josh Lambert Kick)
-5.2
FG · Q2 0:00
Jaden Oberkrom 57 Yd Field Goal
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com