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KSU

Kansas State 9 at Texas 23

TEX
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Michael Dickson punt for 29 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Pregame prior+8.9Home team on offense+8.4Garbage-time factor+4.4Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:38: Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +5.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:48: Tyrone Swoopes 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — TEX win probability +9.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:32: Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — KSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:31: Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 5 yds to the KanSt 46 — TEX win probability +7.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:38: Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 06:38 — TEX win probability +7.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 8KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:37TEX 4th & 10 at KSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:31KSU 4th & 2 at TEX 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:31KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:47TEX 4th & 5 at KSU 22, up 16
    Close callWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    79.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:15KSU 4th & 1 at TEX 35, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−1.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−2.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−3.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:34TEX 4th & 12 at TEX 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−2.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:18KSU 4th & 5 at TEX 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−8.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:12TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 45, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:14KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00TEX 4th & 19 at KSU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:34KSU 4th & 20 at KSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−6.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:31TEX 4th & 4 at KSU 45, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−3.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:38KSU 4th & 13 at TEX 39, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:50TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%−2.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:43KSU 4th & 26 at KSU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 1 of 3KSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 12:38TEX Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:48TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32KSU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:47TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.8%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
67.8%
Kody Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
67.8%
Kody Cook sacked by Paul Boyette Jr. and Malik Jefferson for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
67.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2FG
15 plays · 42 yds · 6:1968% → 68%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
67.7%
Jerrod Heard run for 7 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
67.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+1
67.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
67.8%
Jerrod Heard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
67.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 6 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+3
67.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
67.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
67.8%
Jerrod Heard run for no gain to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+16
67.8%
Jerrod Heard run for 16 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
67.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 6 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+4
67.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
67.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 10Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
67.8%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the KanSt 10Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
67.8%
Jerrod Heard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
67.7%
Nick Rose 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
67.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 15
OWN 18
0
67.7%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody Cook, broken up by Jason HallSimilar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+7
67.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 7 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+12
68.0%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 12 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, DPI ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
67.4%
Charles Jones run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
50
+6
66.9%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
66.8%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-1
66.8%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
67.3%
Nick Walsh punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:1867% → 73%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
67.2%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 11 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
67.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
67.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 36Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+15
67.2%
Jerrod Heard run for 15 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
68.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
68.4%
Jerrod Heard run for 6 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
68.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+8
68.5%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 8 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
68.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 15 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, DHO ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
68.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+1
68.5%
Jerrod Heard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+9
68.0%
Jerrod Heard run for 9 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.2%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
71.8%
Joe Hubener run for 7 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-10
71.3%
Jones, Charles rush over left tackle for 3 yards to the KS46 (Ridgeway, Hassa), PENALTY KS OHO (Johnston, Terrale) 10 yards to the KS33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+9
72.4%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 9 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
71.5%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
72.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:3273% → 84%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
72.9%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 14 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
73.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 13 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.0%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
73.8%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+13
72.6%
Jerrod Heard run for 13 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
74.1%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-10
74.1%
Heard, Jerrod rush over left end for 11 yards to the KS27, out-of-bounds (Adams, Kendall), PENALTY UT OHO (Williams, Conno) 10 yards to the KS48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+46
73.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 46 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
74.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) to the KanSt 2Similar
Q2 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.6%
Tyrone Swoopes 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
83.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-2
83.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+4
83.1%
Jerrod Heard run for 4 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+1
82.5%
Jerrod Heard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 4:4319% → 26%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
81.1%
Joe Hubener run for 18 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
80.4%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Glenn Gronkowski for 16 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
79.7%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
79.4%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+1
79.5%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
80.1%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
79.1%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-5
78.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, IS (-5 Yards) to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+10
79.6%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 10 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+3
81.7%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
80.9%
Hubener, Joe deep pass incomplete to Burton, Deante, PENALTY UT DPI (Hill, Holton) 15 yards to the UT7, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
74.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
78.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
77.8%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+1
77.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+1
76.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
76.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0023% → 20%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
77.5%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-8
78.2%
Joe Hubener sacked by John Bonney for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 18
OWN 32
+41
79.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 41 yds, downed at the TEXAS 27 TEXAS Penalty, RIP ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
79.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 15 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
80.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
79.7%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
78.6%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Daje JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 12
OWN 40
+11
77.5%
Michael Dickson punt for 34 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 11 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:1622% → 27%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
78.1%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+1
77.4%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
77.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
50
+7
76.7%
Joe Hubener run for 7 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+19
76.3%
Charles Jones run for 19 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
75.3%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+2
75.3%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
76.5%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle Klein, broken up by Dylan HainesSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
73.4%
Jack Cantele 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
78.6%
Chris Warren III run for 14 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
79.4%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+5
78.4%
Chris Warren III run for 5 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
78.9%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Andrew Beck for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
78.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 30 yds, downed at the KanSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.0%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
74.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle Klein, broken up by Davante DavisSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
75.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
75.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 48 yds , Daje Johnson returns for no gain to the Texas 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:3979% → 83%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
79.1%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 15Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+28
78.6%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Caleb Bluiett for 28 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
80.9%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to John Burt, broken up by Morgan BurnsSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
80.5%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for 5 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+20
80.2%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for 20 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
81.9%
Johnson, Daje rush JS for 24 yards to the KS8 (Lee, Elijah), PENALTY UT OHO (Bluiett, Caleb) 10 yards to the KS42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+6
80.6%
Johnathan Gray run for 6 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 14
OPP 36
-5
80.5%
Jerrod Heard sacked by Elijah Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 41
0
84.2%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
OPP 41
0
82.6%
Michael Dickson punt for 33 yds, downed at the KanSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
78.7%
Charles Jones run for 9 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+3
77.9%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
78.1%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
78.2%
Joe Hubener run for 8 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
77.5%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 29 Joe Hubener fumbled, recovered by KanSt Joe HubenerSimilar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-8
78.3%
Joe Hubener sacked by Peter Jinkens for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 20
OWN 21
0
79.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q4 14:34
4TH & 20
OWN 21
+29
80.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 29 yds , Duke Thomas returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0088% → 86%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
87.7%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 5 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-3
88.1%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+4
86.6%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 4 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
86.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:0818% → 12%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
82.0%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+15
80.6%
Charles Jones run for 15 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
80.1%
Charles Jones run for 22 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
78.0%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 41Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+2
85.2%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
86.1%
Kody Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
87.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.1%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
91.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
90.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Andrew BeckSimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
90.2%
Michael Dickson punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
88.8%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
88.9%
Kody Cook pass complete to Andre Davis for 10 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
87.5%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
88.7%
Joe Hubener pass intercepted Dylan Haines return for no gain to the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 1:1595% → 99%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
94.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 13 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+29
94.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 29 yds to the KanSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
98.5%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 7 yds · 0:522% → 2%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
97.7%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+7
97.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Andre Davis for 7 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+16
97.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 16 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-12
97.4%
Joe Hubener sacked by Bryce Cottrell for a loss of 12 yards to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 22
OWN 19
0
97.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 22
OWN 19
-4
97.8%
Joe Hubener sacked by Derick Roberson for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 15 Joe Hubener fumbled, recovered by KanSt Joe Hubener , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 26
OWN 15
0
97.7%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Andre Davis, broken up by Dylan HainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:48
Tyrone Swoopes 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+9.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:31
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 5 yds to the KanSt 46
+7.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:38
Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 06:38
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com