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KU

Kansas 10 at Oklahoma State 58

OKST
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:15 · Ben Grogan 46 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+34.8Home team on offense+24.1Score differential+6.8Blowout margin+5.3Garbage-time factor+7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:50: Miketavius Jones 13 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:31: Jeff Carr 2 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 8:41: Nick Bartolotta 40 Yd Field Goal — KU win probability +2.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:17: James Washington 8 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:43: Steven Sims Jr. 33 Yd pass from Ryan Willis (Nick Bartolotta Kick) — KU win probability +2.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 7KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:17KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25KU 4th & 9 at KU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:46OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:56KU 4th & 13 at KU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:35OKST 4th & 4 at KU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:50KU 4th & 16 at KU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:35KU 4th & 1 at KU 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:26KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:58OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 35, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:15OKST 4th & 13 at KU 29, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:35KU 4th & 13 at KU 49, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:26KU 4th & 15 at KU 31, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:37OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 46, up 46
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:15OKST 4th & 2 at KU 11, up 46
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:54KU 4th & 6 at KU 24, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:00OKST 4th & 16 at KU 45, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:10OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:47OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:50OKST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:31OKST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:17OKST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:43KU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:10OKST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:19OKST Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:25OKST Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:232% → 2%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre' ParmaleeSimilar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q1 14:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
98.2%
Matthew Wyman punt for 52 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 10 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 1:5398% → 98%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
98.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 21 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
98.2%
Chris Carson run for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
98.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+22
98.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 22 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
98.1%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Kapil Fletcher for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+25
98.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 25 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.1%
J.W. Walsh 3 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:412% → 2%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.0%
De'Andre Mann run for 12 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.0%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
97.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-1
97.9%
Ryan Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+5
97.9%
Matthew Wyman punt for 46 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 5 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3698% → 98%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.9%
Chris Carson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
97.8%
Jalen McCleskey run for 10 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
97.8%
Chris Carson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
97.8%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tre' Parmalee at the Kans 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:322% → 2%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
97.7%
Ryan Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 12
OWN 19
-3
97.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+2
97.6%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
97.6%
Matthew Wyman punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:5098% → 98%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
97.5%
Rennie Childs run for no gain to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
97.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+7
97.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 7 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
97.5%
Rennie Childs run for 7 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+5
97.4%
Chris Carson run for 5 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
97.4%
Mason Rudolph run for 12 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
97.3%
Chris Carson run for 5 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
97.2%
J.W. Walsh run for 4 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
J.W. Walsh 1 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT TD
9 plays · 7 yds · 2:503% → 2%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
97.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
97.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
97.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 5 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
97.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-5
97.1%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-8
97.1%
Ryan Willis sacked by Miketavius Jones and Emmanuel Ogbah for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+13
98.2%
Miketavius Jones 13 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:552% → 2%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
98.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 7 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+1
98.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
98.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre' ParmaleeSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
98.1%
Matthew Wyman punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 2:4398% → 99%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
98.3%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+10
98.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Austin Hays for 10 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+33
98.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 33 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
98.5%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
98.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 24 yds to the Kans 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.4%
J.W. Walsh run for 1 yd to the Kans 5Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.4%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
Jeff Carr 2 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:341% → 3%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre' ParmaleeSimilar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+46
99.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 46 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
98.9%
KANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 23
0
99.0%
Taylor Cox run for no gain to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
0
99.0%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
0
99.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 0
OPP 23
+40
97.1%
Nick Bartolotta 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:5997% → 99%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.3%
Chris Carson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+17
97.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 17 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+43
97.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 43 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.2%
James Washington 8 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:371% → 1%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Darious Crawley for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre' ParmaleeSimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Kent TaylorSimilar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Matthew Wyman punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
99.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+9
99.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 9 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+4
99.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 4 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:111% → 3%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+27
99.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 27 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
96.9%
Steven Sims Jr. 33 Yd pass from Ryan Willis (Nick Bartolotta Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:0898% → 99%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.3%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
98.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 13 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 5 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
98.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 6 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
98.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 10 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
98.7%
Chris Carson run for 13 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-6
98.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Joe Dineen Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 16
OPP 32
0
98.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 16
OPP 32
+3
98.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Rennie Childs for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+46
98.6%
Ben Grogan 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
97.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 0:5099% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.2%
KANSAS Penalty, Delay of Game (15 Yards) to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.2%
Chris Carson run for 8 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+23
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 19 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (4 Yards) to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
J.W. Walsh 4 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18INT
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:291% → 0%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
99.5%
KANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Kans 19Similar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 25
OWN 19
0
99.6%
Ryan Willis pass intercepted Seth Jacobs return for no gain to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
99.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 20 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
99.7%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Chris Carson for 4 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Chris Lacy 6 Yd pass from J.W. Walsh (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to De'Andre MannSimilar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Kent TaylorSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+27
99.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 27 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-5
99.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 13
OWN 49
+16
99.8%
Matthew Wyman punt for 39 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 16 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Chris Carson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 29Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+11
99.8%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Chris Lacy for 11 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.8%
J.W. Walsh run for 11 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.8%
Rennie Childs run for 12 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
99.8%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Austin Hays for 9 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
99.8%
Raymond Taylor run for 5 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
99.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 25
OPP 38
+38
99.8%
Chris Lacy 38 Yd pass from J.W. Walsh (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+21
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 21 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.9%
Taylor Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
KANSAS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Ryan Willis run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Matthew Wyman punt for 56 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for no gain to the OKSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:23100% → 100%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 3 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+12
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius run for 12 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jeff Carr run for no gain to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Jeff Carr run for 1 yd to the OKSt 29Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+9
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius run for 9 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.9%
Jeff Carr run for 9 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Jeff Carr run for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-1
99.9%
Jeff Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tre' Parmalee at the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+10
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 10 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 8 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for no gain to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 10 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Emmanuel Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+18
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass intercepted Devante Averette return for 18 yds to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25MISSED FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
99.9%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Cole Neph for 5 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Kameron Doolittle for 3 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Matt Hockett 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Matthew Wyman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:50100% → 100%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Kameron DoolittleSimilar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 11 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
99.9%
Jeff Carr run for 14 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Osaze Ogbebor for a loss of 10 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 20
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for no gain to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 20
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tre' Parmalee at the Kans 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28SF
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
100.0%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+1
100.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Ben Johnson for 1 yd to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-10
100.0%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29END OF GAME
8 plays · 44 yds · 4:20100% → 100%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
100.0%
Jeff Carr run for 12 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
Jeff Carr run for 5 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Jeff Carr run for 3 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Jeff Carr run for 4 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
100.0%
Jeff Carr run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+8
100.0%
Corey Bennett run for 8 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
100.0%
Corey Bennett run for 10 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:43
Steven Sims Jr. 33 Yd pass from Ryan Willis (Nick Bartolotta Kick)
-2.4
FG · Q2 8:41
Nick Bartolotta 40 Yd Field Goal
-2
TD · Q2 7:17
James Washington 8 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com