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TTU

Texas Tech 27 at Oklahoma 63

OU
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Justin Stockton run for 6 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:05: DeAndre Washington run for 13 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +5.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 52%).
  2. TD · Q2 3:31: Samaje Perine run for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +5.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:14: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +6.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:04: Samaje Perine run for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +6.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:50: Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +8.8 pts (now 12%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:06TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26OU 4th & 11 at OU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:52TTU 4th & 20 at TTU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:40OU 4th & 1 at TTU 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−0.8
    77% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−3.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:20TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:48OU 4th & 5 at TTU 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:16TTU 4th & 6 at OU 10, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:11TTU 4th & 11 at OU 41, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:18OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:39OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:27OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:32TTU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:05TTU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:31OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:14OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:04OU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:50TTU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:03OU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:18OU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:26OU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5015% → 15%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
84.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
84.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 14:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
84.8%
Michael Barden punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2985% → 84%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
84.7%
Samaje Perine run for 20 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
84.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
84.6%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-1
84.4%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 43 Baker Mayfield fumbled, recovered by Okla Baker MayfieldSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
84.2%
Austin Seibert punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:2316% → 16%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
84.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 12 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
84.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 16
OWN 26
-9
84.1%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Eric Striker for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 17 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Patrick Mahomes) to the TexTc 17Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 25
OWN 17
+3
84.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 22
OWN 20
+2
84.1%
Patrick Mahomes run for 2 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 20
OWN 22
0
83.9%
Michael Barden punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:2784% → 85%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
83.9%
Baker Mayfield run for 14 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
84.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Samaje Perine for 9 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
84.0%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
84.0%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Pete Robertson for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 38Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+6
83.8%
Joe Mixon run for 6 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+9
83.9%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
84.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 12 yds to the TexTc 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
84.8%
Joe Mixon run for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2316% → 16%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
84.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 6 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-6
84.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Cameron Batson for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 21Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+19
84.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 19 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+33
84.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass intercepted Eric Striker return for 33 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.7%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7FG
18 plays · 59 yds · 4:4814% → 16%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 7 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
85.8%
Patrick Mahomes run for 5 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
85.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 6 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
85.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+23
85.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Keke Coutee for 23 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
85.3%
Patrick Mahomes run for 5 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
85.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+3
85.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
85.3%
Justin Stockton run for 8 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+3
85.1%
Justin Stockton run for 3 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
85.1%
Patrick Mahomes run for 6 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.7%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the Okla 1Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
85.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Reginald Davis) to the Okla 16Similar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
84.4%
Clayton Hatfield 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 2:5385% → 89%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
84.5%
Joe Mixon run for 16 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
84.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 7 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
85.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 4 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
85.1%
Samaje Perine run for 21 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
85.2%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
85.2%
Baker Mayfield run for 4 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
84.9%
Joe Mixon run for 1 yd to the TexTc 19Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
84.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
89.4%
Joe Mixon run for 17 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5111% → 11%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
88.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
88.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
88.9%
Michael Barden punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:0490% → 90%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.5%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
89.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+23
89.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 23 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
90.1%
Samaje Perine run for 15 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+50
90.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dominique Alexander for 18 yds Dominique Alexander fumbled, forced by Tevin Madison, recovered by TexTc Jah'Shawn Johnson , return for 50 yds to the Okla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:0812% → 16%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
88.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+15
88.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Brad Pearson for 15 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.3%
Patrick Mahomes run for no gain to the Okla 6Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
83.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 6 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:0485% → 86%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.4%
Samaje Perine run for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
85.8%
Samaje Perine run for 20 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
86.3%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+45
86.3%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Justis Nelson return for 45 yds to the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:4516% → 22%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
84.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 12 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
83.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 7 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
83.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
78.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 13 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1980% → 87%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
80.1%
Joe Mixon run for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
80.5%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
80.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 7 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
80.5%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+33
81.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 33 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
81.2%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+3
81.1%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
86.5%
Samaje Perine run for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass intercepted Frank Shannon return for no gain to the TexTc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0287% → 87%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
87.1%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
87.2%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the TexTc 15Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
87.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dahu GreenSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
86.8%
Austin Seibert 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17INT
11 plays · 60 yds · 1:3213% → 15%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
86.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 6 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
86.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+18
86.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 18 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
86.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 5 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+8
85.5%
Patrick Mahomes run for 8 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
84.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 7 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+2
83.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Tony Brown for 2 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
84.8%
Patrick Mahomes run for 11 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
84.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass intercepted, touchback. Dakota Austin return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
87.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4087% → 94%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 17 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+45
87.3%
Joe Mixon run for 45 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
87.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
93.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:239% → 12%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
91.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 5 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-1
91.3%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 31Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+10
91.7%
Patrick Mahomes run for 10 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
90.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Brad Pearson for 11 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for no gain to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
90.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for no gain to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+34
91.1%
Patrick Mahomes run for 20 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (14 Yards) to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
89.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the Okla 13Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+2
90.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+1
91.3%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the Okla 10Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
88.1%
Clayton Hatfield 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5690% → 98%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
90.1%
Samaje Perine run for 48 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
91.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 7 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+5
91.3%
Joe Mixon run for 5 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
91.3%
Joe Mixon run for 11 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
91.4%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 6Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.6%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 1:573% → 12%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
96.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+18
97.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 18 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
96.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 3 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+15
96.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 15 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
96.4%
Patrick Mahomes run for 4 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
96.5%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the Okla 12Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+11
96.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 11 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.7%
Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:2294% → 99%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
94.1%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
94.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+13
94.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 13 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
94.9%
Joe Mixon run for 8 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+16
94.9%
Joe Mixon run for 16 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
96.1%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+15
96.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (J.J. Gaines) to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
96.2%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
96.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 2:392% → 1%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
98.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 11 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
98.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+6
98.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 6 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+14
98.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
50
+10
98.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dakota Austin) to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-15
98.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Tony Morales) to the TexTc 45Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 25
OWN 45
-6
98.7%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Charles Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 31
OWN 39
+20
98.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 20 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 11
OPP 41
-5
98.7%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Eric Striker and Matt Dimon for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:2799% → 100%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.4%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
99.5%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+28
99.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 28 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.5%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+4
99.5%
Joe Mixon run for 4 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+5
99.5%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
99.6%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 10Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 6 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Jah'Shawn Johnson) to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Dominique Alexander and Charles Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+13
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 13 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass intercepted Dominique Alexander return for no gain to the TexTc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27TD
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:49100% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Trevor Knight run for 3 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.9%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+10
99.9%
Trevor Knight run for 10 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
100.0%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Alex Ross run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
100.0%
Justin Stockton run for 7 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+8
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Cameron Batson for 8 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Keke Coutee for 4 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Justin Stockton run for 6 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
100.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tony Brown for 8 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
Justin Stockton run for 6 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:50
Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
-8.8
TD · Q3 14:14
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q3 7:04
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com