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OU

Oklahoma 55 at Kansas State 0

KSU
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:33 · Nick Walsh punt for 48 yds, downed at the Okla 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−0.1Pregame prior−22.0Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:33: Joe Mixon 10 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +2.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:00: Sterling Shepard 28 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +7.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:29: Mark Andrews 3 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +1.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:59: Dede Westbrook 4 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +5.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:38: Zack Sanchez 38 Yd Interception Return (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:33KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00OU 4th & 13 at OU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:21KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:01OU 4th & 16 at OU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−1.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:26KSU 4th & 10 at OU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:20KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:19OU 4th & 2 at KSU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−0.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:24KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 48, down 35
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:00KSU 4th & 13 at KSU 22, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:27OU 4th & 3 at KSU 3, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:48KSU 4th & 16 at KSU 19, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:28OU 4th & 2 at KSU 2, up 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:47KSU 4th & 19 at KSU 42, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:07KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 34, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:25OU 4th & 3 at KSU 26, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:55OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:33OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:00OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:29OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:59OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:38OU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:44OU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:5673% → 73%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.4%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+22
27.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 22 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
27.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+20
27.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 20 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
27.4%
Sterling Shepard 22 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5728% → 28%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
27.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 5
50
0
27.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Justin SilmonSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
50
-4
27.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
27.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 48 yds, downed at the Okla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2572% → 72%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
27.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 11 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
27.8%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+10
27.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 10 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
27.8%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
27.6%
Joe Mixon run for no gain to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-7
27.8%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Kaleb Prewett for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
28.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 44 yds , Dominique Heath returns for no gain to the KanSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:5328% → 28%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
28.2%
Joe Hubener sacked by Jordan Wade for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+24
27.9%
Joe Hubener pass intercepted Jordan Thomas return for 24 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:1973% → 75%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
27.5%
Baker Mayfield run for 6 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
25.2%
Joe Mixon 10 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:5726% → 26%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
26.3%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
26.4%
Joe Hubener run for no gain to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+7
26.2%
Joe Hubener run for 7 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
26.3%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
26.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 7 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
26.3%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
26.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:1175% → 75%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
25.2%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
24.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
25.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Michiah Quick for 4 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
24.9%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-6
24.8%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Will Geary for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 16
OWN 27
0
24.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
25.1%
Austin Seibert punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:2826% → 25%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
25.6%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+31
25.6%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 31 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
26.1%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-2
26.0%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 22Similar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+7
25.6%
Joe Hubener run for 7 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
25.9%
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd to the Okla 14Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-1
26.1%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 15Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
25.3%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
24.9%
Jack Cantele 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:2077% → 85%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
23.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Samaje Perine for 16 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
22.8%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
22.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 14 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
22.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 20 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
15.0%
Sterling Shepard 28 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2517% → 16%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.9%
Justin Silmon run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
16.7%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
16.3%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
16.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:4386% → 88%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
14.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 19 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
13.9%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the KanSt 32 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dede Westbrook) to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 13
OPP 42
-3
13.5%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Will Geary for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 16
OPP 45
0
13.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+14
13.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 14 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+28
13.7%
Baker Mayfield run for 28 yds to the KanSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
13.0%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the KanSt 3Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.8%
Mark Andrews 3 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12INT
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:379% → 9%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
8.7%
Joe Hubener sacked by Charles Walker for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 15Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
8.6%
Joe Hubener pass intercepted Zack Sanchez return for no gain to the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:3188% → 95%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
12.4%
Daniel Brooks run for 7 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+6
11.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 6 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
11.9%
Samaje Perine run for 13 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
10.5%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.5%
Dede Westbrook 4 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:255% → 4%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
5.1%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
4.6%
Glenn Gronkowski run for 7 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
4.3%
Kody Cook run for 13 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
4.4%
Kody Cook run for 5 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
4.0%
Kody Cook run for no gain to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
3.8%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
3.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:1396% → 97%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
4.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 5 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 5
OWN 19
-9
3.9%
Mixon, Joe rush for 6 yards to the OKLAHOMA25, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Brown, Orlando) 9 yards to the OKLAHOMA10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+8
3.9%
Joe Mixon run for 8 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+8
3.5%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:154% → 3%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.4%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.3%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q3 14:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+38
2.6%
Zack Sanchez 38 Yd Interception Return (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:183% → 2%
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.7%
Kody Cook sacked by D.J. Ward for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
2.4%
Kody Cook run for 2 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
2.2%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
2.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:2697% → 97%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
2.7%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 8
50
+11
2.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 11 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
2.3%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+2
2.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+36
2.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 36 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.9%
Joe Mixon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
1.8%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 3Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
1.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q3 9:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
2.6%
Austin Seibert 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:332% → 1%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
1.5%
Kody Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-4
1.3%
Kody Cook sacked by Marquise Overton for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
1.2%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
1.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:1699% → 99%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
1.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
1.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeffery MeadSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+20
1.5%
Daniel Brooks run for 20 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
1.4%
Daniel Brooks run for 1 yd to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+15
1.3%
Joe Mixon run for 15 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
1.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Daniel BrooksSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
1.1%
Daniel Brooks run for 1 yd to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+12
1.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 12 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
1.0%
Daniel Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 10Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
1.0%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
0.9%
Baker Mayfield run for 6 yds to the KanSt 2Similar
Q3 3:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
1.2%
Austin Seibert 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:331% → 0%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.6%
Kody Cook run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
0.5%
Kody Cook pass complete to Andre Davis for 6 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.5%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
0.5%
Kody Cook run for 16 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
0.5%
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-2
0.4%
Kody Cook sacked by Matt Dimon for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 11
50
-8
0.4%
Kody Cook sacked by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 19
OWN 42
0
0.3%
Nick Walsh punt for 52 yds, downed at the Okla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 94 yds · 4:5399% → 100%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
0.9%
Joe Mixon run for 9 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+4
0.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for 4 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
0.6%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+9
0.6%
Joe Mixon run for 9 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
0.5%
Joe Mixon run for 11 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
0.5%
Daniel Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+4
0.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to A.D. Miller for 4 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+34
0.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Daniel Brooks for 34 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
0.4%
Daniel Brooks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+6
0.4%
Joe Mixon run for 6 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+1
0.3%
Joe Mixon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
0.3%
Joe Mixon run for 11 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Joe Mixon 1 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
0.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Joe Hubener) to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+5
0.2%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Mitch Lochbihler punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24DOWNS
14 plays · 53 yds · 7:37100% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
0.3%
Daniel Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
0.3%
Daniel Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+11
0.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Grant Bothun for 11 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
0.3%
Daniel Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
0.3%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+7
0.3%
Trevor Knight run for 7 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
0.3%
Daniel Brooks run for 6 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+15
0.2%
Trevor Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 48 Trevor Knight fumbled, recovered by Okla Trevor Knight, Trevor Knight run for 15 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
0.2%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-2
0.2%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+1
0.2%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Alex Ross for 1 yd to the KanSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.1%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
0.0%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
0.1%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:00
Sterling Shepard 28 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
-7.3
TD · Q2 4:59
Dede Westbrook 4 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
-5
TD · Q1 8:33
Joe Mixon 10 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
-2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com