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OKST

Oklahoma State 33 at West Virginia 26

WVU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFUMBLETDSAFETYFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:38 · Nick O'Toole punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 173Home team on offense−5.1Pregame prior+2.4Score differential−1.7Garbage-time factor−4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:44: Wendell Smallwood run for 29 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +13.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:20: Blake Jarwin 4 Yd pass from J.W. Walsh (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — OKST win probability +11.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:48: Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 48 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +18.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:44: Skyler Howard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +35.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: J.W. Walsh 2 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +9.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 11:51OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:04WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:35WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:00OKST 4th & 8 at WVU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    34.6%−<0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:27WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:28OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:15WVU 4th & 1 at OKST 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−1.6
    81% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:53WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 44, down 12
    Close callPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:43OKST 4th & 1 at WVU 4, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.5%−3.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−10.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:18WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 20, down 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:52OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 25, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−5.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:10WVU 4th & 7 at OKST 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    33.6%−1.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:57WVU 4th & 2 at OKST 46, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%−3.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:47WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:15OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−2.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:50WVU 4th & 7 at OKST 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−12.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:17OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−1.0
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:38WVU 4th & 5 at midfield, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−1.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:45OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−1.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:36OKST 4th & 4 at WVU 5, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.6%−1.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−17.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:58OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−7.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 14:02OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:44WVU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:20OKST Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:48WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:44WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:0436% → 37%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.8%
Chris Carson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
63.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
63.7%
Chris Carson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
63.7%
Chris Carson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+6
63.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Austin Hays for 6 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
63.5%
Zach Sinor punt for 50 yds, downed at the WVirg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4164% → 63%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
63.6%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 6Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 9
OWN 6
0
63.6%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the WVirg 6Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+5
63.3%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
63.1%
Nick O'Toole punt for 49 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for no gain to the OKSt 40 Jalen McCleskey fumbled, recovered by OKSt Jalen McCleskeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:5337% → 37%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
63.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+14
63.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 14 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
62.8%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted Terrell Chestnut return for no gain to the WVirg 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2663% → 63%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
63.4%
Skyler Howard sacked by Jimmy Bean for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 4 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tony Matteo) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+6
63.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 6 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 7
OWN 10
-5
63.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Yodny Cajuste) to the WVirg 5Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 12
OWN 5
0
62.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 12
OWN 5
0
62.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3037% → 37%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
62.6%
Jhajuan Seales run for 13 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
62.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 1 yd to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+11
62.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
62.2%
Chris Carson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
61.7%
Mason Rudolph run for 3 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 3
OPP 29
-5
62.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Michael Wilson) to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
62.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Jarrod HarperSimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
62.6%
Zach Sinor punt for 26 yds, downed at the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:1063% → 59%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
62.8%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
59.1%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 6 yards Skyler Howard fumbled, recovered by OKSt Emmanuel Ogbah for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0359% → 58%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
59.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 7 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
59.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
59.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
58.9%
William Crest Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
59.6%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-1
58.9%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
57.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:4742% → 42%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
57.7%
Chris Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 12Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 12
0
57.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jeremy SeatonSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+22
57.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 22 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
56.6%
Chris Carson run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 13
OWN 31
0
56.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jeff Carr, broken up by KJ DillonSimilar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+4
57.7%
Chris Carson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 35 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Wilson) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
57.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 42 yds, downed at the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
57.3%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 28 Rushel Shell fumbled, forced by Emmanuel Ogbah, recovered by OKSt Chad WhitenerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:1345% → 52%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
55.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
55.3%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+19
55.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 19 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
54.9%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 6 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.3%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11FUMBLE
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:0051% → 49%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
50.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
50.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+12
50.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 12 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
51.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 15 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
51.0%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+10
51.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
50.7%
William Crest Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
49.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to William Crest Jr.Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+5
49.0%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
48.5%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
48.8%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12SF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
48.8%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:0749% → 47%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
49.4%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-7
49.4%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 32 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Shelton Gibson) to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+15
48.5%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Jacobs, Seth) 15 yards to the WESTVIR37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
49.1%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
49.0%
William Crest Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
48.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
47.4%
Nick O'Toole punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 4:0753% → 62%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
46.8%
Rennie Childs run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+21
46.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 21 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
44.7%
Chris Carson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
44.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jhajuan Seales, broken up by Terrell ChestnutSimilar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+7
43.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Austin Hays for 7 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
42.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 17 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
42.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeff Carr for no gain to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+19
42.4%
Mason Rudolph run for 6 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (13 Yards) to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
41.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Austin Hays, broken up by Terrell ChestnutSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
41.4%
J.W. Walsh run for 4 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+5
41.2%
J.W. Walsh run for 5 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+21
38.0%
Ben Grogan 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1240% → 38%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
39.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 6 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+2
39.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
38.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
38.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:2363% → 67%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
36.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Paul Lewis) to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+1
32.6%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 19
OWN 25
+2
32.2%
Chris Carson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 17
OWN 27
-2
32.3%
Chris Carson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 19
OWN 25
0
32.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 47 yds , Gary Jennings returns for no gain to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:4435% → 33%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
35.1%
Skyler Howard run for 7 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-5
35.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Adam Pankey) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
33.6%
William Crest Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+26
33.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 26 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 2:1634% → 47%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
33.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
34.6%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+12
34.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 12 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
34.9%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
34.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 3 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
34.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Ashton LampkinSimilar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 7
OPP 40
+11
32.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 11 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
46.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 29 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0760% → 62%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
39.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Al-Rasheed Benton) to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.7%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted Daryl Worley return for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3844% → 43%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
43.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Ashton LampkinSimilar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
42.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan Thompson, broken up by Tre FlowersSimilar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+8
41.2%
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds to the OKSt 46 Skyler Howard fumbled, forced by Devante Averette, recovered by WVirg William Crest Jr.Similar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
42.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 2:3060% → 77%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
39.9%
Chris Carson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+15
39.6%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Washington, James, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Chestnut, Terrell) 15 yards to the OKLAST32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
38.0%
Chris Carson run for no gain to the OKSt 32Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
38.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+40
39.5%
Mason Rudolph run for 40 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
35.0%
Rennie Childs run for 13 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
34.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 7 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Noble Nwachukwu) to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
34.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
34.0%
J.W. Walsh pass incomplete to Blake JarwinSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
22.7%
Blake Jarwin 4 Yd pass from J.W. Walsh (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1227% → 46%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
26.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
27.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 7 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
28.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
27.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+48
45.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 48 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:3961% → 64%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
39.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Zac VeatchSimilar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+22
39.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 22 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
37.2%
Chris Carson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
37.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 4 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
36.2%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted Nick Kwiatkoski return for no gain to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0843% → 38%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
43.2%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
43.8%
William Crest Jr. pass incomplete to Jovon Durante, broken up by Michael HunterSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-3
41.1%
Skyler Howard sacked by Jimmy Bean for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
38.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2764% → 63%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Blake JarwinSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
36.5%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Jared Barber for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 18Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+5
36.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Rennie Childs for 5 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+2
37.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 43 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 2 yds to the WVirg 36 Gary Jennings fumbled, recovered by WVirg Gary JenningsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26FG
14 plays · 43 yds · 4:1039% → 44%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
39.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
41.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+5
39.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jimmy Bean) to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
41.0%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
39.3%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+15
39.2%
Skyler Howard run for 15 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
42.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Tony Matteo) to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+11
39.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 11 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+2
41.1%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+5
38.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 5 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
40.7%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
39.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+4
36.5%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
44.4%
Josh Lambert 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1362% → 60%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
38.4%
Chris Carson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
38.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 4 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
39.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Austin Hays, broken up by Jarrod HarperSimilar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+1
40.5%
Zach Sinor punt for 49 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2242% → 42%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
41.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+12
42.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 12 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
45.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon Durante, broken up by Seth JacobsSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
43.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 5
50
0
45.2%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 5
50
0
42.2%
Nick O'Toole punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:4566% → 66%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
34.4%
Brandon Sheperd run for no gain to the OKSt 15Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+31
34.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Rennie Childs for 31 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
30.5%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
30.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
30.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon Sheperd, broken up by Nick KwiatkoskiSimilar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
33.6%
Zach Sinor punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:0239% → 36%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
39.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-4
38.8%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 16Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+19
36.4%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Devante Averette return for 19 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4976% → 83%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
23.9%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+1
22.8%
Raymond Taylor run for 1 yd to the WVirg 9Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+4
22.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 4 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
17.5%
Ben Grogan 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 32TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 2:3823% → 65%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
23.3%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to Shorts, Daikiel, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Hunter, Michael) 10 yards to the WESTVIR42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
25.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 2
50
+5
27.8%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
27.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts, broken up by Tre FlowersSimilar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
26.8%
Rushel Shell run for 8 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+2
28.7%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
29.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 11 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
30.3%
Skyler Howard run for 10 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
30.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+5
29.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.3%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 33PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:3250% → 47%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
50.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Blake Jarwin) to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
50.5%
Mason Rudolph run for 5 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
50.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 16 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
45.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
47.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
49.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David Glidden, broken up by Ricky RumphSimilar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
53.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 34END OF GAME
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:5758% → 54%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
57.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 9 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+5
59.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
58.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 10 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
56.8%
Skyler Howard sacked by Emmanuel Ogbah and Vincent Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 12
OWN 31
-15
54.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the WVirg 16Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 27
OWN 16
-2
54.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 35TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 67%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
40.5%
Rennie Childs run for 7 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+7
40.5%
Rennie Childs run for 7 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
40.5%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
40.5%
J.W. Walsh run for 6 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
42.7%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd to the WVirg 2Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
33.1%
J.W. Walsh 2 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 36Uncategorized
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0028% → 18%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
28.1%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
28.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 3 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
25.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+8
23.5%
Rushel Shell run for 8 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
28.1%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
28.1%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the OKSt 4Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
25.6%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 11Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
0
17.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:44
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+35.5
TD · Q3 7:48
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 48 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+18.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com