Try the model
BAY

Baylor 66 at Kansas 7

KU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:27: Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 36 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK) — KU win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:33: Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK) — BAY win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 4:42: Seth Russell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK) — BAY win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:58: Shock Linwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK) — BAY win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:46: Johnny Jefferson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK) — BAY win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10BAY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:56KU 4th & 3 at BAY 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:45BAY 4th & 4 at KU 14, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:57KU 4th & 8 at KU 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:56BAY 4th & 6 at KU 28, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:26KU 4th & 15 at KU 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:13KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:45KU 4th & 1 at BAY 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:08KU 4th & 11 at BAY 37, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:22KU 4th & 19 at KU 16, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:18KU 4th & 10 at BAY 43, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:45BAY 4th & 6 at KU 17, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:59KU 4th & 1 at KU 40, down 59
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:52BAY 4th & 5 at BAY 20, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:00KU 4th & 1 at BAY 48, down 59
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BAY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:44BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:27KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:33BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:42BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:58BAY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:41BAY Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:46BAY Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:03BAY Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:16BAY Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:5899% → 99%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.3%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 9 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
1.3%
Seth Russell pass complete to KD Cannon for 15 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
1.4%
Shock Linwood run for 4 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
1.4%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Corey ColemanSimilar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+6
1.4%
Seth Russell pass complete to Shock Linwood for 6 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
1.4%
Shock Linwood run for 9 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
1.4%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Corey ColemanSimilar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+17
1.4%
Shock Linwood run for 17 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
1.5%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Davion HallSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
1.5%
Shock Linwood run for 4 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
1.5%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:542% → 2%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
1.5%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
1.5%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Derrick NealSimilar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+8
1.5%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Grant Campbell) to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
1.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Emmanuel Moore for 5 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
1.6%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+8
1.6%
Ryan Willis run for 8 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.7%
Taylor Cox run for no gain to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-7
1.7%
Ryan Willis sacked by Grant Campbell and Jamal Palmer for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+22
1.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 22 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
2.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 36 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 1:3898% → 98%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
2.0%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 13 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
2.0%
Shock Linwood run for 9 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+3
2.0%
Seth Russell run for 3 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+40
2.1%
Shock Linwood run for 40 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
2.1%
Johnny Jefferson run for 11 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
2.1%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Corey ColemanSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
2.2%
Seth Russell run for no gain to the Kans 11Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
2.0%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:192% → 2%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
2.1%
Taylor Cox run for 4 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
2.3%
Taylor Cox run for 3 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
2.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Kent TaylorSimilar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
2.3%
Eric Kahn punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
2.3%
Shock Linwood run for 5 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+18
2.3%
Seth Russell pass complete to Lynx Hawthorne for 18 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
2.3%
Seth Russell pass complete to Shock Linwood for 11 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
2.3%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+41
2.3%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 41 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
2.3%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Corey ColemanSimilar
Q1 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.0%
Seth Russell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:212% → 2%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
2.2%
Taylor Cox run for 1 yd to the Kans 36 Taylor Cox fumbled, forced by Taylor Young, recovered by Kans Ryan WillisSimilar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
2.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+5
2.2%
Ryan Willis pass intercepted Xavien Howard return for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7FG
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:4898% → 98%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
50
+30
2.1%
Seth Russell pass complete to Jay Lee for 30 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
2.1%
Shock Linwood run for 3 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-2
2.1%
Corey Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+5
2.2%
Seth Russell pass complete to Lynx Hawthorne for 5 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
2.0%
Chris Callahan 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:042% → 2%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
2.1%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
2.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+19
2.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Derrick Neal for 19 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
2.3%
Taylor Cox run for 1 yd to the Kans 42 Taylor Cox fumbled, forced by Travon Blanchard, recovered by Bayl Aiavion EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:0298% → 99%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
2.0%
Shock Linwood run for 20 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
2.0%
Shock Linwood run for 13 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
2.0%
Shock Linwood run for 8 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.5%
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:332% → 2%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
1.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
1.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+34
1.8%
Ruben Guzman punt for 39 yds , Lynx Hawthorne returns for 34 yds to the Kans 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:5999% → 98%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
1.5%
Seth Russell run for 4 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
1.5%
Johnny Jefferson run for no gain to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
1.6%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to KD CannonSimilar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+10
1.7%
Johnny Jefferson run for 10 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
1.6%
Seth Russell pass complete to LaQuan McGowan for 18 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 3:551% → 1%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Darious Crawley for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
0.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
0.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Derrick Neal for 4 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
0.8%
KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Shelley-Smith) to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-2
1.1%
Taylor Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 22
OWN 24
+4
1.1%
Taylor Cox run for 4 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 18
OWN 28
+3
1.0%
Ryan Willis run for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
1.0%
Ruben Guzman punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:2498% → 99%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
1.8%
Seth Russell pass complete to KD Cannon for 9 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
1.6%
Shock Linwood run for 2 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
1.8%
Seth Russell pass complete to KD Cannon for 18 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
1.7%
Seth Russell pass complete to KD Cannon for 4 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+10
1.7%
Johnny Jefferson run for 10 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
1.7%
Johnny Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.7%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Jay LeeSimilar
Q2 5:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.8%
Johnny Jefferson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:401% → 1%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Emmanuel Moore for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
0.5%
Taylor Cox run for 5 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
0.6%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
0.6%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Derrick NealSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+30
0.5%
Ryan Willis run for a loss of 11 yards Ryan Willis fumbled, recovered by Bayl Xavien Howard , return for 30 yds, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:571% → 0%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.5%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
0.4%
Taylor Cox run for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.4%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.4%
Eric Kahn punt for 37 yds , Lynx Hawthorne returns for no gain to the Bayl 32 Lynx Hawthorne fumbled, recovered by KansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:051% → 0%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
0.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 4 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
0.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 5 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
0.4%
Taylor Cox run for no gain to the Bayl 23Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
0.4%
Taylor Cox run for no gain to the Bayl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17END OF HALF
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:4099% → 99%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
0.6%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 5 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+18
0.6%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 18 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
0.6%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to KD CannonSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
0.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Blake Muir) to the Bayl 41Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+4
0.6%
Seth Russell pass complete to Johnny Jefferson for 4 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-6
0.6%
Seth Russell sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 4:321% → 0%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
0.5%
Taylor Cox run for 8 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
0.5%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Larry Hughes) to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+1
0.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Derrick Neal for 1 yd to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 14
OWN 35
-8
0.4%
Ryan Willis sacked by Shawn Oakman for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 22
OWN 27
+27
0.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Taylor Cox for 12 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Roughing Passer (Shawn Oakman) to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
0.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to De'Andre Mann for 1 yd to the Bayl 45Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+9
0.4%
De'Andre Mann run for 9 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
0.3%
De'Andre Mann run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 37Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Eric Kahn punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Lynx Hawthorne at the Bayl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
0.5%
Johnny Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Bayl 20Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+1
0.5%
Johnny Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
0.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Johnny Jefferson for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 19Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+14
0.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chris Platt for 14 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
0.4%
Terence Williams run for 16 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
0.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ishmael Zamora for 7 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+7
0.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chris Platt for 7 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
0.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ishmael Zamora for 37 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
0.2%
KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Jeremiah Booker) to the Kans 12Similar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 23
OWN 12
0
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+5
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Taylor Cox for 5 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-1
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Taylor Cox for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 16Similar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+14
0.2%
Eric Kahn punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KANSAS 48 KANSAS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-22 Yards) to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
0.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Davion Hall for 30 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22PUNT
14 plays · 32 yds · 5:220% → 0%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Taylor Cox run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
0.2%
Taylor Cox run for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 4 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
0.2%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Derrick Neal for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 6 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Emmanuel MooreSimilar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+11
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 11 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
0.2%
De'Andre Mann run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 46Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 13
OPP 46
0
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+3
0.1%
Taylor Cox run for 3 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
0.1%
Eric Kahn punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23MISSED FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 4:15100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
0.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chris Platt for 7 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
0.2%
Johnny Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
0.2%
Johnny Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+7
0.2%
Johnny Jefferson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
50
0
0.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
50
+7
0.2%
Terence Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+8
0.2%
Terence Williams run for 8 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
0.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chris Platt for 8 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
0.2%
Johnny Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+5
0.2%
Johnny Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
0.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Patrick Lawrence) to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 15
OPP 26
-1
0.2%
Johnny Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+9
0.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chris Johnson for 9 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+1
0.2%
Johnny Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
0.2%
Chris Callahan 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.1%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
0.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Darious Crawley for 4 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
0.1%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
0.1%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
0.1%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+44
0.1%
Eric Kahn punt for 44 yds , Lynx Hawthorne returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
0.2%
Terence Williams run for 2 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
0.2%
Terence Williams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-1
0.2%
Terence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 20Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+10
0.2%
Drew Galitz punt for 47 yds , Derrick Neal returns for 10 yds to the Kans 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
0.1%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
0.1%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
0.1%
Ryan Schadler run for 1 yd to the Bayl 48Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
0.0%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the Bayl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
0.1%
Terence Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
0.1%
Terence Williams run for 6 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
0.1%
Terence Williams run for 13 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
0.1%
Terence Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:46
Johnny Jefferson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)
-0.9
TD · Q2 13:58
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)
-0.5
TD · Q1 9:27
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 36 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com