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KSU

Kansas State 34 at Oklahoma State 36

OKST
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+44.1OKST 91.5%Ben Grogan 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 34 - HOME 36 · Q4 0:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:32 · Ben Grogan 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 191Pregame prior+0.2Home team on offense+21.5Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+11.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:37: Justin Silmon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +12.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:00: Raymond Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — OKST win probability +17.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:06: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 3 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +28.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:01: Joe Hubener run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — KSU win probability +44.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:32: Ben Grogan 37 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +44.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q2 9:26OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 39, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 4:51KSU 4th & 20 at KSU 22, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−2.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:02OKST 4th & 4 at KSU 39, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    34.2%−0.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q3 13:11OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:12KSU 4th & 15 at KSU 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:57OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 45, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:47KSU 4th & 16 at KSU 24, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−3.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:49KSU 4th & 15 at KSU 20, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−5.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:47OKST 4th & 6 at KSU 46, down 2
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−3.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:16KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 20, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−4.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:59KSU 4th & 29 at OKST 48, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−9.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:01KSU 4th & 3 at OKST 5, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%−1.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−13.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:00OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.3%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:32OKST 4th & 5 at KSU 20, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−30.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−47.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:09KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:31OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:25KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:14OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:46KSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:37KSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:46OKST Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:00OKST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:06OKST Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:01KSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    57.3%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 4:4133% → 35%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
67.3%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
67.3%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q1 14:39
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+15
67.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
67.2%
Joe Hubener run for 11 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
67.1%
Justin Silmon run for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+6
66.9%
Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
66.8%
Kody Cook run for 8 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
66.7%
Kody Cook run for 4 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
66.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 20Similar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
66.5%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+1
66.5%
Kody Cook run for 1 yd to the OKSt 19Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+16
66.6%
Kody Cook pass complete to Deante Burton for 16 yds to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.6%
Kody Cook run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2965% → 67%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
65.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Austin Hays for 9 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
65.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 6 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
65.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
64.7%
Jalen McCleskey run for 7 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
64.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Austin Hays for 5 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
64.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 7 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+32
67.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 32 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:4134% → 42%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
66.1%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+15
66.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
65.7%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
65.7%
Dominique Heath run for 3 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+12
65.7%
Kody Cook pass complete to Kyle Klein for 12 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
64.9%
Kody Cook run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+1
64.6%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+14
64.7%
Kody Cook pass complete to Dominique Heath for 14 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
64.0%
Kody Cook pass complete to Dominique Heath for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+27
63.5%
Kody Cook run for 27 yds to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
63.2%
Kody Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 4Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
58.5%
Kody Cook pass complete to Glenn Gronkowski for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:5860% → 61%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
60.4%
Jeff Carr run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
60.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+12
59.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 12 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
61.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
60.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+13
59.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 13 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
61.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 5 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:3162% → 66%
Q2 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+9
61.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
61.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
61.5%
Jeff Carr run for 6 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+6
60.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Austin Hays for 6 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
61.3%
Raymond Taylor run for 8 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
66.3%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1937% → 47%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
63.0%
Kody Cook pass complete to Dominique Heath for 36 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
61.3%
Kody Cook run for 6 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+14
60.4%
Kody Cook run for 14 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
60.2%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
53.0%
Kody Cook pass complete to Deante Burton for 17 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:5755% → 53%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
55.1%
Jalen McCleskey run for 12 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
55.6%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Will Geary for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
54.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jeff CarrSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
53.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
52.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 36 yds , Andre Davis returns for no gain to the KanSt 39 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the KanSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 4:1946% → 49%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
53.9%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-5
53.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+8
52.3%
Justin Silmon run for 8 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+12
51.9%
Kody Cook pass complete to Andre Davis for 12 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
49.6%
Kody Cook sacked by Chad Whitener for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+1
50.5%
Kody Cook run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 13
OWN 29
-7
50.1%
Kody Cook sacked by Emmanuel Ogbah for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 22Similar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 20
OWN 22
0
50.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -20 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
49.4%
Mason Rudolph run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 29, Mason Rudolph fumbled, recovered by KanSt , at OKSt 15 return for 9 yds to the OKSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
36.6%
Justin Silmon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
16 plays · 83 yds · 3:2441% → 48%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
40.7%
Jeff Carr run for 3 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
40.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+22
39.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 22 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
42.0%
Raymond Taylor run for 5 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
42.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+8
41.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 8 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
41.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 20
OWN 45
-7
39.1%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Marquel Bryant for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 27
OWN 38
+4
37.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 23
OWN 42
+19
36.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 19 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+25
38.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 25 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
40.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 3 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
39.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
48.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 11 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:3458% → 60%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
41.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
40.0%
Kody Cook run for 6 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+17
39.9%
Kody Cook pass complete to Kyle Klein for 17 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
39.3%
Kody Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+43
40.1%
Jack Cantele 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
45.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4445% → 42%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Austin Hays for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
45.2%
J.W. Walsh run for 1 yd to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
43.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 29Similar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
41.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 36 yds , Andre Davis returns for no gain to the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5559% → 56%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
41.0%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
41.4%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
42.5%
Kody Cook sacked by Devante Averette for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+4
43.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 49 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 4 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:1143% → 41%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
42.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 18 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
44.5%
Jeff Carr run for 2 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
44.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
42.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 8
OWN 45
+25
41.0%
Zach Sinor punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andre Davis at the OKLAST 15 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0360% → 58%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
39.8%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-6
39.8%
Kody Cook sacked by Chad Whitener for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 16
OWN 24
0
41.2%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Dayton ValentineSimilar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
42.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:3641% → 62%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
41.2%
Jeff Carr run for 1 yd to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+40
40.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 40 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
46.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 7 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+10
46.0%
James Washington run for 10 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
45.2%
Raymond Taylor run for 2 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
44.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+9
43.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
44.8%
J.W. Walsh run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:5146% → 45%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.6%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
52.5%
Kody Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 25Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
53.8%
Kody Cook pass complete to Andre Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+8
54.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 53 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 8 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:5355% → 55%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
55.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
50
+4
58.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
59.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
58.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
55.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Andre Davis at the KanSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:1648% → 48%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
51.7%
Kody Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 7Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+14
51.8%
Kody Cook run for 14 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
50.4%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
47.1%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-4
48.6%
Kody Cook run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 25Similar
Q3 0:28
4TH & 6
OWN 25
-5
51.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
52.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22INT
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:3655% → 61%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
55.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Austin Hays for 4 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+8
58.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
59.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 8 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+8
60.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 8 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
59.8%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
61.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Blake JarwinSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+10
58.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 10 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
61.3%
Raymond Taylor run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
61.3%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted Will Davis return for no gain to the KanSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:0253% → 54%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+32
46.6%
Kody Cook run for 32 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
42.3%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 3
50
+5
40.8%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
40.7%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-5
40.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
40.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Steven West for 6 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+10
41.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
38.3%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-4
38.5%
Glenn Gronkowski sacked by Jordan Burton for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 34 KANSAS ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 15
OPP 34
-14
42.8%
Joe Hubener sacked by Devante Averette for a loss of 14 yards to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 29
OPP 48
0
45.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3352% → 89%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
51.9%
Jeff Carr run for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+47
50.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 47 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
60.8%
Raymond Taylor run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+27
60.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 27 yds to the KanSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 3 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 2:4917% → 62%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
82.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
83.0%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Winston DimelSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+10
84.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the KanSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+72
81.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for 72 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
74.7%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+4
75.8%
Justin Silmon run for 4 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
77.7%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dayton ValentineSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+5
38.3%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 2:1352% → 92%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
51.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeff Carr for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
53.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jordan BurtonSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
50.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+19
46.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 19 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
56.0%
Raymond Taylor run for 6 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+13
56.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 13 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
55.2%
Raymond Taylor run for 3 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
55.1%
Raymond Taylor run for 5 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-3
51.2%
J.W. Walsh run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
91.5%
Ben Grogan 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27INT
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0714% → 14%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
85.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 12Similar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 20
OWN 12
0
85.8%
Joe Hubener pass intercepted Michael Hunter return for no gain to the KanSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
95.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:01
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-44.3
FG · Q4 0:32
Ben Grogan 37 yd FG GOOD
+44.1
TD · Q4 6:06
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 3 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+28.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com