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Maryland 6 at West Virginia 45

WVU
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:11 · Brad Craddock punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+29.8Home team on offense+9.6Score differential+6.9Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:42: Skyler Howard pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +0.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:35: Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +1.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 4:41: Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +2.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:36: Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 41 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:37: Rushel Shell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00MD 4th & 1 at WVU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36MD 4th & 9 at MD 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:28MD 4th & 13 at MD 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:41MD 4th & 13 at WVU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:11WVU 4th & 5 at MD 34, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:11MD 4th & 5 at WVU 46, down 21
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:31MD 4th & 5 at MD 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:39WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 44, up 28
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:06WVU 4th & 16 at MD 27, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:06MD 4th & 7 at WVU 10, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:16WVU 4th & 12 at MD 49, up 38
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:16WVU 4th & 24 at midfield, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:43MD 4th & 7 at MD 18, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:41WVU 4th & 22 at midfield, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:42MD 4th & 5 at MD 19, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:07WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 46, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MD made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 9:42WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:35WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:41WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:36WVU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:37WVU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:48WVU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:45MD Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.8%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.8%
Brandon Ross run for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
87.8%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.8%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
87.8%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+15
87.8%
Caleb Rowe run for 15 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
87.8%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
87.8%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+9
87.8%
Wes Brown run for 9 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-1
87.8%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:3287% → 88%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
87.1%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
87.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, offside defense (Yannick Ngakoue) to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+4
87.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
50
+23
87.2%
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds to the WESTVIR 42 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (A.J. Hendy) to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
87.3%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+6
87.3%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+15
87.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 15 yds to the Mary 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
87.1%
Ty Johnson run for 6 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 4
OWN 13
-5
87.1%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 3 yds to the Mary 16 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding (-8 Yards) to the Mary 8Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
87.2%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Ty JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 8
0
87.3%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 9
OWN 8
0
87.3%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 39 yds, downed at the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:4787% → 89%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
87.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+32
87.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 32 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
88.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Mary 14Similar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+2
88.2%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 13
OWN 16
0
88.3%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 13
OWN 16
0
88.3%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Wes BrownSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 13
OWN 16
0
88.3%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 28 yds, downed at the Mary 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:4789% → 91%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
88.9%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
88.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts, broken up by Avery ThompsonSimilar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+15
88.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 15 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
88.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+16
88.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 16 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
88.9%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 15Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+15
91.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
90.5%
Brandon Ross run for 36 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
90.0%
Caleb Rowe sacked by Shaq Petteway for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 17
OPP 46
+4
90.5%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 13
OPP 42
0
90.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
90.6%
Brad Craddock punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:3691% → 93%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+22
90.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 22 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
90.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
91.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 25 yds to the WESTVIR 43 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Wendell Smallwood) to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.3%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
91.3%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+8
91.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Anthony Nixon) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
50
+6
91.4%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
91.4%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-13
91.4%
Skyler Howard sacked by Jefferson Ashiru for a loss of 13 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 23
OWN 48
+16
90.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 16 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+2
92.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+51
92.6%
Josh Lambert 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
92.3%
Brandon Ross run for 5 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
92.2%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+10
92.3%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 10 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
92.2%
Brandon Ross run for 5 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
92.0%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Ty JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
92.2%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
92.3%
Brad Craddock punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3893% → 97%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
93.3%
Rushel Shell run for 14 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
93.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 17 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
93.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Devonte Mathis for 7 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+1
93.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+41
96.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 41 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
96.6%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 5 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
96.4%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+11
96.4%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 36 , KJ Dillon returns for 11 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
97.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
96.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
96.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
97.0%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Levern Jacobs for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 15Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
97.1%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted Terrell Chestnut return for no gain to the Mary 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:3298% → 98%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
97.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 16 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
97.5%
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+3
97.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 3 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
97.5%
Skyler Howard run for 13 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
97.5%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Mary 7Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
97.5%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.2%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Avery Edwards for 11 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.4%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
98.3%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+55
98.2%
Brandon Ross run for 55 yds Brandon Ross fumbled, forced by Terrell Chestnut, recovered by WVirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16INT
6 plays · 51 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.4%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+13
98.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 13 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
98.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Sean Davis) to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
98.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 17 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+16
98.4%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Anthony Nixon return for 16 yds to the Mary 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted KJ Dillon return for no gain to the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
98.7%
Rushel Shell run for 23 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
98.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+9
98.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 9 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 23
OPP 34
-10
98.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-13
98.8%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the Mary 19 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Daikiel Shorts) to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 33
OPP 44
+13
98.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 13 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 20
OPP 31
+48
99.1%
Josh Lambert 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.9%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted, touchback. Karl Joseph return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
99.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 10 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (Sean Davis) to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.3%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+16
99.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 16 yds Rushel Shell fumbled, forced by William Likely, recovered by WVirg Rushel Shell for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
99.3%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+18
99.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (Quinton Jefferson) to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-8
99.3%
Skyler Howard sacked by Yannick Ngakoue for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 14:44
3RD & 16
OPP 27
0
99.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+44
99.4%
Josh Lambert 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Quinton JeffersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22INT
10 plays · 63 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
99.3%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+24
99.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Avery Edwards for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.3%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+16
99.3%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 16 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.2%
Wes Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+13
99.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Shaq Petteway) to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
99.2%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Wes Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 14Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-2
99.3%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Avery Edwards for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 16Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 13
OPP 16
+6
99.3%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Derrick Hayward for 6 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 7
OPP 10
0
99.0%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted, touchback. Daryl Worley return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
15 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel Shell, broken up by Quinton JeffersonSimilar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.6%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+17
99.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 17 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
99.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
99.6%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.6%
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-3
99.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-7
99.6%
Skyler Howard sacked by Azubuike Ukandu for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 12
OPP 49
+13
99.6%
Nick O'Toole run for 13 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.6%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
99.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Cody ClaySimilar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-16
99.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Cody Clay) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 24
50
0
99.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 24
50
0
99.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 35 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.8%
Daxx Garman run for 6 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-3
99.8%
Daxx Garman sacked by Darrien Howard for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Avery EdwardsSimilar
Q3 1:43
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+8
99.8%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 41 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 8 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.8%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+8
99.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+12
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 12 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+13
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Devonte Mathis for 13 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts, broken up by Brett KulkaSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Ty Johnson run for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+20
99.9%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Larry Jefferson) to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.9%
Jahrvis Davenport 46 Yd pass from Daxx Garman (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27PUNT
14 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 4 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+12
99.9%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 12 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Jacky Marcellus run for 8 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+11
99.9%
William Crest Jr. run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Jacky Marcellus run for 5 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-4
99.9%
Jacky Marcellus run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+11
99.9%
William Crest Jr. run for 11 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.9%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Kj Myers for 7 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-10
99.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jonathan Haynes) to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 13
OPP 41
-4
99.9%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Stone Underwood for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 17
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 22
50
0
99.9%
William Crest Jr. pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 22
50
0
99.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 36 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.9%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 13Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
Daxx Garman run for 6 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 42 yds, downed at the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
William Crest Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 1 yd to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
99.9%
William Crest Jr. pass incomplete to Kj MyersSimilar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30INT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Wes BrownSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
100.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Damian Prince) to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+13
100.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 13 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+17
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Wes Brown for 17 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Wes Brown for 10 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Daxx Garman run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+10
100.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
99.9%
Daxx Garman sacked by Sean Walters for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 20
OPP 42
+16
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted Jeremy Tyler return for 16 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:36
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 41 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+3
TD · Q1 4:41
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+2
TD · Q1 7:35
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com