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KU

Kansas 14 at Rutgers 27

RUTG
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:50 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:47: Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK) — KU win probability +7.5 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  2. TD · Q2 2:31: Josh Hicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +5.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:24: Josh Hicks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +7.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:05: Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK) — KU win probability +9.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:02: Timeout KANSAS, clock 09:02 — RUTG win probability +4.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 3KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 10 at KU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56RUTG 4th & 13 at KU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:50KU 4th & 11 at RUTG 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:49KU 4th & 7 at KU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:37KU 4th & 16 at RUTG 47, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:19KU 4th & 2 at RUTG 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:53RUTG 4th & 11 at KU 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:02KU 4th & 7 at RUTG 20, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:24RUTG 4th & 5 at KU 42, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:59KU 4th & 10 at KU 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:49RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:24RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:47KU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:31RUTG Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:24RUTG Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:05KU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
82.1%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Ben Johnson for 5 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
82.1%
Deondre Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+10
82.1%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 10 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
82.1%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 27
0
82.1%
Deondre Ford pass incomplete to Ke'aun Kinner, broken up by Kiy HesterSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+4
82.1%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
82.1%
Eric Kahn punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
81.6%
Chris Laviano run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
81.6%
Chris Laviano run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+9
81.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
50
+3
81.7%
Paul James run for 3 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+11
81.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 11 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
81.7%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
81.7%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-5
81.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
81.6%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Charles Scarff, broken up by Schyler MilesSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
81.5%
Joey Roth punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 52 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
80.3%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Kans 2Similar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+14
80.3%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Kent Taylor for 14 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
80.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 8 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 2
OWN 24
-1
80.1%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+33
80.3%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Darious Crawley for 33 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
79.8%
Deondre Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
79.8%
De'Andre Mann run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
80.1%
Deondre Ford pass incomplete to Darious Crawley, broken up by Kemoko TuraySimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
80.3%
Eric Kahn punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 4:4880% → 82%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
79.5%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+23
79.5%
Chris Laviano run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 29 Chris Laviano fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Chris Laviano for a 1ST down , return for 8 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
79.6%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+8
80.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 8 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
80.1%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+13
80.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 13 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
80.2%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+8
80.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 8 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
80.1%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
80.3%
Chris Laviano run for 14 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
82.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 14 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
81.0%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 19 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
80.4%
Deondre Ford sacked by Sebastian Joseph and Anthony Cioffi for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
80.9%
Deondre Ford pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+3
81.2%
Deondre Ford run for 3 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 12
OWN 42
+5
81.4%
Kahn,Eric punt 17 yards to the RU41, out-of-bounds, PENALTY RU roughing the kicker (Verbitski, B.) 5 yards to the KU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
81.1%
Eric Kahn punt for 29 yds, downed at the Rutgr 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6INT
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:1281% → 82%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
81.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Sam Bergen for 14 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
81.6%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+35
81.8%
Robert Martin run for 35 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
82.1%
Paul James run for 3 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-2
82.1%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+11
81.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 11 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
82.1%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
82.1%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
81.5%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Greg Allen return for no gain to the Kans 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
80.2%
Marnez Ogletree run for 2 yds to the Kans 22 Marnez Ogletree fumbled, forced by Julian Pinnix-Odrick, recovered by Kans Tre' ParmaleeSimilar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
80.4%
Deondre Ford pass intercepted Kaiwan Lewis return for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:0582% → 86%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
81.9%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+19
81.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Paul James for 19 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.3%
Matt Flanagan 7 Yd pass from Chris Laviano (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:3716% → 24%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+41
84.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 41 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
82.7%
Deondre Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
82.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+11
83.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 11 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
82.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+1
82.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+10
83.2%
Cozart,Montell pass incomplete to Kinner,Ke'aun (Hunt, Andre), PENALTY RU pass interference (Hunt, Andre) 10 yards to the RU2, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1680% → 87%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 8 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
81.0%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
81.3%
Josh Hicks run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-10
81.7%
Hicks, Josh rush for loss of 1 yard to the RU45, PENALTY RU holding (Lumpkin, Keith) 10 yards to the RU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+6
80.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 6 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+15
80.6%
Laviano, Chris sacked for loss of 8 yards to the RU34 (Goodman,Ben), PENALTY KU personal foul (Goodman,Ben) 15 yards to the KU43, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
81.9%
Josh Hicks run for 7 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+31
81.9%
Josh Hicks run for 31 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
82.0%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.4%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5415% → 13%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
85.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 24 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
84.1%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
83.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 6
OPP 37
-10
84.3%
Montell Cozart sacked by Kemoko Turay for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
87.4%
Eric Kahn punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0888% → 87%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
88.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 25 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
87.2%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+10
87.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 10 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
87.3%
Laviano, Chris pass complete to Patton, Andre for 15 yards to the KU15 (Miller,Tyrone), PENALTY RU pass interference (Scarff, Charles) 15 yards to the KU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+26
87.0%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Courtney Arnick return for 26 yds to the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 5:3288% → 97%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
87.7%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+1
87.7%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+3
87.2%
Chris Laviano run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
87.8%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
87.8%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+9
87.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 9 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
88.6%
Robert Martin run for 15 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
88.7%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+23
88.7%
Josh Hicks run for 8 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, illegal use of hands (15 Yards) to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
88.7%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+7
88.7%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.5%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
95.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Kent Taylor for 15 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
95.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
95.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+21
95.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 21 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
95.0%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-2
94.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+4
95.1%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+1
95.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
96.9%
Paul James run for 27 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.0%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Kans 48 Josh Hicks fumbled, forced by Tyrone Miller Jr., recovered by Kans Tyrone Miller Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 3:334% → 13%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.2%
Steven Sims Jr. pass incomplete to Tre' Parmalee, broken up by Kiy HesterSimilar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
96.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+8
96.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 8 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
96.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
96.0%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
95.9%
Mann,De'Andre rush for 3 yards to the RU30 (Hunt, Andre), PENALTY RU offside defense (Davis, Darnell) 5 yards to the RU28, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
95.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 27 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.6%
De'Andre Mann run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 1
OPP 0
0
96.5%
Mann,De'Andre rush for 1 yard to the RU0, clock 02:52, PENALTY KU illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY RU offside defense off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.5%
De'Andre Mann run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17MISSED FG
14 plays · 39 yds · 5:0292% → 95%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
92.3%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+9
92.3%
Paul James run for 9 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
92.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+7
92.2%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+13
94.3%
Chris Laviano run for 13 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
94.4%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
94.4%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+8
94.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 8 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
94.4%
Janarion Grant run for 2 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-3
94.4%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Kans 11 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
94.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
94.1%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+39
94.5%
Kyle Federico 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:518% → 5%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
91.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 10 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+33
90.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 33 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
90.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 13 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
89.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for no gain to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
89.4%
De'Andre Mann run for no gain to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+3
90.2%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 7
OPP 20
0
94.7%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:3596% → 98%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
95.9%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
96.0%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
96.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 11 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
96.4%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+10
96.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 10 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+4
96.3%
Chris Laviano run for 4 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
96.4%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 41 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (Nick Arcidiacono) to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 14
OWN 49
+5
96.3%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+4
96.4%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
98.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Charles ScarffSimilar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
97.8%
Joey Roth punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tre' Parmalee at the Kans 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:153% → 1%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
97.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to De'Andre Mann for 5 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+8
96.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
96.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 14 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
96.4%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete, broken up by Julian Pinnix-OdrickSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
96.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, offside defense (Kemoko Turay) to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-5
96.4%
Montell Cozart sacked by Kevin Wilkins and Jimmy Hogan for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
96.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to De'Andre MannSimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
98.5%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
98.5%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
98.5%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 13
OPP 23
-3
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:05
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q3 9:24
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q2 6:47
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com