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RICE

Rice 17 at Baylor 70

BAY
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:19 · Terence Williams run for 1 yd to the Rice 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+15.2Home team on offense+33.6Score differential+29.5Blowout margin+15.8Garbage-time factor+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:20: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 24 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +0.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 13:12: Shock Linwood run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK) — BAY win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:48: Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 35 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK) — BAY win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:49: Corey Coleman 32 Yd pass from Seth Russell (Chris Callahan Kick) — BAY win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:15: Darik Dillard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:13RICE 4th & 13 at BAY 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:01RICE 4th & 13 at RICE 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:10BAY 4th & 5 at BAY 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:44RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:52RICE 4th & 16 at RICE 47, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:26RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 35, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00RICE 4th & 26 at BAY 34, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:40RICE 4th & 9 at BAY 38, down 46
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:19BAY 4th & 3 at RICE 20, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:43RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 33, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:24BAY 4th & 2 at RICE 7, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 10 of 10RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:13BAY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:41BAY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:20RICE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:41BAY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:12BAY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:48BAY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:49BAY Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:15RICE Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 11:32BAY Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 8:36BAY Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 1:12BAY Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:24BAY Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 3:332% → 3%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
97.6%
Austin Walter run for 18 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.5%
Samuel Stewart run for no gain to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+35
97.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 35 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
97.3%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+5
97.3%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Bayl 20Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+3
97.2%
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
97.1%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 20Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
97.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Connor CellaSimilar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
97.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 13
OPP 20
+37
97.1%
Hayden Tobola 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:4197% → 97%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.1%
Shock Linwood run for 7 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
97.1%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 4 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.1%
RICE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Bayl 41Similar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+15
97.1%
Shock Linwood run for 15 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
97.0%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 9 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
97.0%
Corey Coleman run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+9
96.9%
Johnny Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
97.1%
Seth Russell pass complete to KD Cannon for 26 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:463% → 3%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
96.9%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-5
96.8%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Shawn Oakman for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
96.8%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+9
96.8%
James Farrimond punt for 43 yds , Corey Coleman returns for 9 yds to the Bayl 36 BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Bayl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:0997% → 97%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
96.7%
Seth Russell pass complete to Jay Lee for 17 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
97.1%
Seth Russell pass complete to Jay Lee for 57 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
96.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 24 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:5097% → 96%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
96.5%
Shock Linwood run for 5 yds to the Bayl 14Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+11
96.5%
Shock Linwood run for 11 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.4%
Shock Linwood run for 5 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.5%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Corey ColemanSimilar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
96.4%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Jay LeeSimilar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Drew Galitz punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:094% → 4%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
96.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+18
96.4%
Driphus Jackson run for 18 yds to the Rice 49 Driphus Jackson fumbled, recovered by BaylSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:5597% → 97%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
96.5%
Seth Russell run for 22 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
96.4%
Seth Russell run for 5 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+11
96.4%
Shock Linwood run for 11 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
96.4%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 16Similar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+16
96.8%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 16 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:403% → 4%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 9 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
96.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
96.5%
RICE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 31Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 14
OWN 31
-8
96.5%
Driphus Jackson run for 2 yds to the Rice 33 RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 23Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 22
OWN 23
+7
96.5%
Darik Dillard run for 7 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
96.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
96.5%
James Farrimond punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:2496% → 97%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
96.4%
Corey Coleman run for 19 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
96.4%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 4 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+9
96.4%
Corey Coleman run for 9 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
96.3%
Shock Linwood run for 6 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+3
96.3%
Shock Linwood run for 3 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
96.2%
Shock Linwood run for 3 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
96.2%
Shock Linwood run for 8 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 2
OPP 6
-5
96.4%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 11Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
97.4%
Shock Linwood run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 5:123% → 3%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.2%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
97.0%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 28 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
97.0%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
96.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 4 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+1
96.9%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
96.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 48Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-5
96.9%
RICE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 16
OWN 47
-4
97.1%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Jamal Palmer for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 20
OWN 43
+4
97.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
96.9%
James Farrimond punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Lynx Hawthorne at the Bayl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 0:5497% → 98%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
97.1%
Johnny Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+8
97.2%
Johnny Jefferson run for 8 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+35
97.2%
Seth Russell pass complete to Gus Penning for 35 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
98.2%
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 35 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:094% → 3%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 10 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-8
96.5%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Taylor Young for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+8
96.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+5
96.7%
James Farrimond punt for 47 yds , Patrick Levels returns for 5 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:1699% → 100%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
98.6%
Shock Linwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 22Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
98.6%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Lynx HawthorneSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+16
98.6%
Shock Linwood run for 16 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
98.7%
Seth Russell pass complete to Chris Johnson for 20 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
98.7%
Shock Linwood run for 10 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.5%
Corey Coleman 32 Yd pass from Seth Russell (Chris Callahan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:300% → 1%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.7%
RICE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
99.7%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 20 yds to the BAYLOR 45 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.6%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+9
99.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.6%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 23Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 15
OPP 23
-11
99.7%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Orion Stewart for a loss of 11 yards to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 26
OPP 34
+51
99.5%
Hayden Tobola 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ryan ReidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-8
99.5%
Shock Linwood run for 2 yds to the Bayl 32 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 22Similar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 18
OWN 22
+2
99.5%
KD Cannon run for 2 yds to the Bayl 24 KD Cannon fumbled, recovered by RiceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:531% → 1%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.3%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+9
99.3%
Jowan Davis run for 9 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.4%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Bayl 13Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
99.4%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the Bayl 5Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
98.7%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:2399% → 100%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
99.2%
Shock Linwood run for 46 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
99.2%
Johnny Jefferson run for 20 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Johnny Jefferson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 5 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.5%
RICE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
99.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 9 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for no gain to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.6%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 39 Jowan Davis fumbled, recovered by Bayl Grant CampbellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:21100% → 100%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.7%
Seth Russell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+17
99.7%
Johnny Jefferson run for 17 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.8%
Seth Russell pass complete to Lynx Hawthorne for 22 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+3
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 3 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+16
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 16 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.8%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
99.8%
RICE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 25
OWN 37
+3
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 22
OWN 40
-7
99.9%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Brian Nance for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 25 Driphus Jackson fumbled, recovered by RiceSimilar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 37
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 37
OWN 25
0
99.9%
James Farrimond punt for 53 yds, downed at the Bayl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
99.8%
RICE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
Johnny Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Johnny Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Johnny Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+11
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Johnny Jefferson for 11 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 15 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 4 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Terence Williams run for no gain to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-5
99.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+14
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 14 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ishmael Zamora for 8 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Samuel Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+37
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 37 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Bayl 38Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Connor CellaSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
99.9%
James Farrimond punt for 30 yds, downed at the Bayl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:11100% → 100%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+22
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chris Platt for 22 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 14 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Quan Jones for 4 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+25
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Quan Jones for 25 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 5 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 1 yd to the Rice 21Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 1 yd to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 1 yd to the Rice 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
99.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 11
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
100.0%
James Farrimond punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Lynx Hawthorne at the Bayl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 26TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 7:03100% → 100%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 11 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 2 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Terence Williams run for 5 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 4
50
+14
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ishmael Zamora for 14 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
100.0%
Jarrett Stidham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+7
100.0%
Terence Williams run for 7 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
100.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Quan Jones for 5 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
100.0%
Terence Williams run for 10 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-15
100.0%
Terence Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 18 BAYLOR Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 25
OPP 30
+5
100.0%
Terence Williams run for 5 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 20
OPP 25
+8
100.0%
Terence Williams run for 8 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+10
100.0%
Jarrett Stidham run for 10 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Terence Williams run for 7 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
Darik Dillard run for 7 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Rice 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:48
Seth Russell pass complete to Corey Coleman for 35 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 13:12
Shock Linwood run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 2:49
Corey Coleman 32 Yd pass from Seth Russell (Chris Callahan Kick)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com