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Louisiana Tech 33 at Kansas State 39

KSU
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-14.6KSU 40.7%Jonathan Barnes 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 6 · Q3 5:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:16 · Jonathan Barnes 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingGarbage-time factorDefense timeoutsOffense timeouts
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 111Pregame prior+8.8Home team on offense−12.3Time remaining−0.9Garbage-time factor−4.0Defense timeouts+0.1Offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 7:04: Charles Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +30.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 0:00: Jonathan Barnes 45 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +34.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds for a TD Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds for a TD Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +39.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Jonathan Barnes 32 Yd Field Goal — LT win probability +27.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Jack Cantele 44 Yd Field Goal — KSU win probability +25.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9LT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:23LT 4th & 12 at KSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:03KSU 4th & 11 at LT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:32LT 4th & 2 at LT 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:06KSU 4th & 4 at LT 21, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:06LT 4th & 12 at KSU 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:09KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:30LT 4th & 1 at KSU 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    22.7%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−7.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:23KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−2.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:13LT 4th & 3 at KSU 8, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.8
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−5.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54LT 4th & 6 at LT 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:27KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−1.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:16LT 4th & 9 at KSU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−11.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:10KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:17LT 4th & 14 at LT 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−5.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:44KSU 4th & 3 at LT 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.0%−6.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−36.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:37LT 4th & 9 at LT 21, down 3
    Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:24KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 41, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−4.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:16LT 4th & 4 at LT 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.3%−6.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00LT 4th & 1 at KSU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−4.2
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−20.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 3:30LT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:17KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:16LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:04KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
75.2%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
75.2%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-5
75.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+6
75.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for 6 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
75.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:1325% → 26%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
74.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
74.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
74.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+33
74.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 33 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
74.8%
Jeff Driskel run for 3 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
74.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 11
-5
74.8%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 16Similar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+33
74.2%
Jonathan Barnes 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:2074% → 74%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
74.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 28 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
74.6%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+19
74.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 19 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
74.8%
Justin Silmon run for 8 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+10
74.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 10 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
74.8%
Winston Dimel run for no gain to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-1
74.8%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 16Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
74.6%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
74.0%
Jack Cantele 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
74.8%
Justin Silmon run for 7 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+7
74.8%
Justin Silmon run for 7 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
74.8%
Winston Dimel run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 7 Winston Dimel fumbled, recovered by LaTch Vernon ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:5826% → 26%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
74.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 11 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
73.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+1
73.5%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
73.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth DixonSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
74.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marlon Watts for 8 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
73.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
73.9%
Gerald Shouse punt for 47 yds, downed at the KanSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 6:1174% → 77%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
73.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Glenn Gronkowski for 9 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+1
73.9%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
73.7%
Charles Jones run for 13 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
74.2%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+8
74.0%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
74.3%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
74.4%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+20
74.1%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 20 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
74.8%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+6
74.8%
Justin Silmon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 20
-1
74.4%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
76.6%
Jack Cantele 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.0%
Kameron McKnight run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
76.3%
Jeff Driskel run for 8 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
75.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 20 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
74.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+2
75.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 2 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
75.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
76.4%
Gerald Shouse punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
77.3%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for 4 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
77.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
76.7%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody Cook, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+26
76.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 55 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 26 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:4625% → 36%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
74.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-5
74.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+12
75.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 12 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
73.8%
Carlos Henderson run for 12 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
73.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 19 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
73.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 2Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
73.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.7%
Jeff Driskel run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.8%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
66.7%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
66.5%
Hubener, Joe pass incomplete to Cook, Kody, PENALTY LATECH face mask (BROWN, Aaron) 15 yards to the KS38, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
67.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Cody SmallSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-8
67.6%
Joe Hubener sacked by Vontarrius Dora for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
65.5%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
65.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 2:0037% → 43%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
63.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 9 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
61.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
62.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 25 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
60.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
60.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 9 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
60.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 7 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 8
0
58.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
59.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Nate JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
57.3%
Jonathan Barnes 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
61.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
59.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+3
59.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 3 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
60.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marlon Watts, broken up by Morgan Burns LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
61.1%
Gerald Shouse punt for 57 yds , Dominique Heath returns for no gain to the KanSt 13 Dominique Heath fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0058% → 59%
Q3 13:27
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+10
58.0%
Charles Jones run for 10 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
59.6%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
59.6%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Justin Silmon for 3 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
58.8%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
57.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
59.1%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 14Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+3
59.0%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:5147% → 59%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
53.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 41Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
54.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 6 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+17
53.6%
Jeff Driskel run for 17 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
52.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marlon Watts for 7 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
51.3%
Jeff Driskel run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+4
52.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
51.3%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 15
OPP 28
-5
52.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (Jeff Driskel) to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 20
OPP 33
-8
52.8%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Will Geary and Jordan Willis for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 28
OPP 41
+19
55.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 19 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
40.7%
Jonathan Barnes 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5945% → 67%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
44.5%
Justin Silmon run for 10 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
45.2%
Justin Silmon run for 11 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
47.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 9 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+25
49.4%
Justin Silmon run for 25 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
51.1%
Justin Silmon run for 7 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+5
51.1%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
51.1%
Glenn Gronkowski run for 1 yd to the LaTch 7Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
51.1%
Glenn Gronkowski run for 3 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
66.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 4 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:5742% → 74%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
58.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+36
57.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 36 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
53.7%
Jeff Driskel run for 13 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
51.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 17 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
26.4%
Jeff Driskel run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
35.7%
Silmon, Justin rush for no gain to the KS31 (BARNES,Adairius), PENALTY KS holding (Cook, Kody) 10 yards to the KS21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+6
34.6%
Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+9
34.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 9 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
34.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
33.5%
Mitch Lochbihler punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
29.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+5
28.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
28.8%
Jeff Driskel run for no gain to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
29.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-9
29.1%
Jeff Driskel run for a loss of 9 yards to the LaTch 23 Jeff Driskel fumbled, recovered by LaTch Jeff DriskelSimilar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 14
OWN 23
+58
32.3%
Gerald Shouse punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 7 , Dominique Heath returns for 58 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:4836% → 66%
Q4 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
36.4%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the LaTch 2Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.4%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marlon WattsSimilar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds Trent Taylor fumbled, forced by Elijah Lee, recovered by KanSt Jordan WillisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:1166% → 85%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
66.4%
Winston Dimel run for 3 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+3
66.4%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+13
64.4%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 13 yds to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
66.4%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 9Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
66.4%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
63.2%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the LaTch 3Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
84.7%
Jack Cantele 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0029% → 26%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
71.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marlon Watts for 6 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
70.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marlon WattsSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 4
OWN 26
-5
73.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Kenneth Dixon) to the LaTch 21Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
74.4%
Logan McPherson punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:1886% → 89%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
86.0%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+4
85.6%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+8
87.7%
Justin Silmon run for 8 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
88.7%
Mitch Lochbihler punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 1:1613% → 55%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
86.9%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Elijah Lee for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 9Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+22
87.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 22 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
85.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 6 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
83.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
84.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+9
86.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 9 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
82.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 17 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
79.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
79.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 9 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
79.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+45
44.7%
Jonathan Barnes 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 85%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.7%
Justin Silmon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-1
64.7%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
85.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 22 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
80.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-2
80.4%
Jeff Driskel run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
87.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+15
91.2%
Jeff Driskel run for 15 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
80.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 3 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
40.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds for a TD Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds for a TD Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 29FG
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth Dixon, broken up by Travis BritzSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
41.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+3
42.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
40.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 15Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
41.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marlon WattsSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 15
-5
43.7%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Elijah Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+5
55.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Will Geary) to the KanSt 15Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
28.5%
Jonathan Barnes 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 30FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0041% → 55%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
41.3%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-4
41.3%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 27 Joe Hubener fumbled, recovered by KanSt Joe HubenerSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
29.4%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
55.1%
Jack Cantele 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 31TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 84%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
64.7%
Justin Silmon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
64.7%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
-15
62.3%
Jones, Charles rush for no gain to the LATECH16 (DORA,Vontarrius), PENALTY KS illegal block (Dimel, Winston) 15 yards to the LATECH31, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+31
83.7%
Kody Cook 31 Yd pass from Joe Hubener (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 32DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 11%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
75.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marlon WattsSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
78.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marlon WattsSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
85.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth DixonSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
0
89.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds for a TD Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds for a TD Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-39.9
FG · Q4 0:00
Jonathan Barnes 45 yd FG GOOD
-34.4
TD · Q4 7:04
Charles Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)
+30.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com