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LIB

Liberty 17 at West Virginia 41

WVU
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:19 · Nick O'Toole punt for 57 yds, downed at the Liber 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+35.6Home team on offense+20.6Score differential+17.3Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:06: Wendell Smallwood 0 Yd Fumble Return (Josh Lambert Kick) — WVU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:35: Todd Macon run for 7 yds for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK) — LIB win probability +1.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:32: Skyler Howard pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:35: Josh Woodrum pass complete to Zac Parker for 60 yds for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK) — LIB win probability +1.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:36: Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5LIB made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:21WVU 4th & 5 at LIB 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:15LIB 4th & 1 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:21WVU 4th & 8 at LIB 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55LIB 4th & 5 at WVU 29, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:18LIB 4th & 7 at WVU 36, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:33LIB 4th & 8 at WVU 14, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 37, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:19WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 42, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:48LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:31WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 48, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:02LIB 4th & 11 at LIB 2, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:26LIB 4th & 9 at WVU 32, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:26WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:29LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LIB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:40WVU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:06WVU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:11WVU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:35LIB Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:32WVU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:35LIB Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:36WVU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 2:3999% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+14
99.0%
Skyler Howard run for 14 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 7 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+5
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 5 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.0%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+11
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 11 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 11 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
99.0%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the Liber 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon Durante, broken up by Nick NewmanSimilar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
98.8%
Josh Lambert 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.8%
Desmond Rice run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 23Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+18
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 18 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.8%
Desmond Rice run for 2 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Darrin PetersonSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+7
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 1
50
0
98.8%
Desmond Rice run for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 47 Desmond Rice fumbled, recovered by Liber Desmond Rice , return for no gain to the Liber 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 5:0399% → 98%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
98.6%
Skyler Howard sacked by Chima Uzowihe for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+2
98.6%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+34
98.6%
Skyler Howard run for 34 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
98.6%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the Liber 13Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
98.6%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+1
98.6%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Liber 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
98.6%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 9Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
98.6%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Liber 8Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
98.2%
Josh Lambert 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:212% → 3%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
D.J. Abnar run for 3 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
98.1%
D.J. Abnar run for 2 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
98.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Christian Brown) to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.1%
D.J. Abnar run for 3 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+18
98.0%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 18 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
98.0%
Josh Woodrum run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
98.0%
D.J. Abnar run for 3 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
98.0%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to D.J. Abnar for no gain to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
97.5%
John Lunsford 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:1598% → 98%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
97.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+11
97.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 11 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
97.7%
Skyler Howard run for 7 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+52
98.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 52 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6MISSED FG
15 plays · 39 yds · 5:222% → 2%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Darrin PetersonSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
98.1%
Desmond Rice run for 1 yd to the Liber 21Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
98.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, offside defense (Kyle Rose) to the Liber 26Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
98.1%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Desmond Rice for 10 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.0%
Josh Woodrum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
98.0%
Desmond Rice run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+13
98.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Daryl Worley) to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.0%
Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Darrin PetersonSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+16
98.0%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Dante Shells for 16 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.0%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Zac Parker for no gain to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
98.0%
Desmond Rice run for 1 yd to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+2
98.0%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Desmond Rice for 2 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+52
97.6%
John Lunsford 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FUMBLE RETURN TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:1298% → 99%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+11
98.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Gary Jennings for 11 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
98.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Gary Jennings for 6 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
98.0%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
98.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 2 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+16
98.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 16 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
98.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Devonte Mathis for 3 yds to the Liber 14Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
98.0%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the Liber 14Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+9
98.0%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the Liber 11 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (Dexter Robbins) to the Liber 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 0
OWN 5
0
98.9%
Wendell Smallwood 0 Yd Fumble Return (Josh Lambert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 3:331% → 1%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 21 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
98.7%
Desmond Rice run for 9 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Desmond Rice run for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+29
98.6%
Desmond Rice run for 29 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
98.6%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Todd Macon for 3 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-8
98.6%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Desmond Rice for 2 yds to the WVirg 11 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive holding (Darrin Peterson) to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+7
98.7%
Todd Macon run for 7 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
98.6%
Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Darrin Peterson, broken up by Terrell ChestnutSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
98.6%
John Lunsford 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:3399% → 99%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 14 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Jovon Durante) to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+6
99.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+17
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 17 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 7 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
99.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 4 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+54
99.2%
Josh Lambert 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Dante ShellsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.8%
Desmond Rice run for 5 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-3
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Desmond Rice for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+19
98.8%
Trey Turner punt for 46 yds , KJ Dillon returns for 19 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.1%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
99.1%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-2
99.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
99.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 57 yds, downed at the Liber 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
98.8%
Josh Woodrum run for 2 yds to the Liber 3Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+12
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 12 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
98.8%
Josh Woodrum run for 1 yd to the Liber 16Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+5
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Desmond Rice for 5 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Will Johnson, broken up by Darrien HowardSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Trey Turner punt for 32 yds, downed at the WVirg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:5299% → 100%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 14 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+29
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 29 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 10 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:320% → 1%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.8%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Dante Shells for 9 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
D.J. Abnar run for 5 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.8%
Todd Macon run for 2 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+16
99.8%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Will Johnson for 16 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
99.8%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Dante Shells for 36 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.8%
Todd Macon run for 3 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
Todd Macon run for 7 yds for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 18 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.0%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.0%
Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Dante ShellsSimilar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-1
99.0%
Desmond Rice run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 2 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 11
OWN 2
0
99.0%
Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Daryl WorleySimilar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 11
OWN 2
+2
99.0%
Trey Turner punt for 34 yds , KJ Dillon returns for 2 yds to the Liber 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:4599% → 100%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.0%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
99.0%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the Liber 29Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+19
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 19 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 6 yds to the Liber 4Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:000% → 1%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Josh Woodrum run for 3 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 19 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Dante Shells for 10 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive holding (Daryl Worley) to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Todd Macon run for 3 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Todd Macon run for 3 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 27
-5
99.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
99.3%
John Lunsford 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.4%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Devonte Mathis for 1 yd to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.4%
William Crest Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+3
99.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+2
99.4%
William Crest Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+3
99.4%
Nick O'Toole punt for 43 yds , Zac Parker returns for 3 yds to the Liber 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:441% → 2%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
99.4%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 19 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
97.7%
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Zac Parker for 60 yds for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5998% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 14 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
98.1%
William Crest Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+8
98.0%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 8 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+23
98.1%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Jacky Marcellus for 23 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
98.1%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Gary Jennings for 2 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+14
98.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 14 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
98.1%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the Liber 10Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
98.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the Liber 6Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
98.1%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the Liber 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
98.1%
William Crest Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 6Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.1%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Liber 5Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Todd Macon run for 1 yd to the Liber 26Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.5%
Todd Macon run for 5 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.5%
Stephon Masha pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
99.5%
Trey Turner punt for 43 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 15 yds to the WVirg 46 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal block (Hodari Christian) to the WVirg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.6%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+9
99.6%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Gary Jennings for 9 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-14
99.6%
William Crest Jr. sacked by Avery James for a loss of 14 yards to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 24
OWN 27
+4
99.6%
Jacky Marcellus run for 4 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:35
Josh Woodrum pass complete to Zac Parker for 60 yds for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK)
-1.6
TD · Q4 3:36
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q3 4:35
Todd Macon run for 7 yds for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com