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UTEP

UTEP 20 at Texas Tech 69

TTU
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:46 · Taylor Symmank punt for 51 yds , Jaquan White returns for 17 yds to the UTEP 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior+33.8Home team on offense+1.1Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:56: Aaron Jones 24 Yd pass from Mack Leftwich (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +2.8 pts (now 12%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 14:46: Aaron Jones 91 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +2.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:28: Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK) — TTU win probability +2.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:39: Patrick Mahomes run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK) — TTU win probability +3.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:58: Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 35 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK) — TTU win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:52UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:22TTU 4th & 2 at UTEP 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:04TTU 4th & 8 at UTEP 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:46TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:54UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:13UTEP 4th & 6 at TTU 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:52UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:15UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:44TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 48, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:52UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:59TTU 4th & 7 at UTEP 16, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:59UTEP 4th & 2 at TTU 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:58UTEP 4th & 7 at TTU 24, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:58TTU 4th & 23 at TTU 12, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:03UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 47, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:02UTEP 4th & 8 at TTU 48, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:57TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:56UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:51TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:46UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:28TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:39TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:58TTU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:24TTU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 11:15TTU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:51TTU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:02TTU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0391% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
91.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 13 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
91.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
91.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+60
91.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 60 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:059% → 9%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
91.3%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+23
91.3%
Mack Leftwich run for 8 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Jah'Shawn Johnson) to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
91.3%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+3
91.0%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Autrey Golden for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 13
OWN 41
-1
91.0%
Mack Leftwich sacked by Pete Robertson for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
91.0%
Alan Luna punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:1891% → 91%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
90.9%
Reginald Davis run for 21 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
91.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 1
50
+2
91.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
91.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
91.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete, broken up by Roy Robertson-HarrisSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
90.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to DeAndre WashingtonSimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+13
90.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 13 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+12
90.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 12 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
91.1%
Justin Stockton run for 11 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
91.1%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
91.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 8
OWN 0
0
90.8%
PENALTY UTEP offside defense off-setting, PENALTY TTU illegal block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
91.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
90.6%
Michael Barden 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:089% → 12%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
90.7%
Aaron Jones run for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
90.6%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.6%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Aaron Jones, broken up by Keenon WardSimilar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
90.7%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+20
90.6%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 20 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
90.5%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+7
90.3%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
90.3%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
90.4%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+24
87.6%
Aaron Jones 24 Yd pass from Mack Leftwich (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:0588% → 90%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
88.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 18 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
88.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
88.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 11 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
88.7%
Patrick Mahomes run for 5 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-5
88.2%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
90.0%
Justin Stockton 46 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Michael Barden Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
3 plays · 91 yds · 1:0510% → 13%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
90.0%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 9 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+91
87.5%
Aaron Jones 91 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
87.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
87.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+19
86.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 19 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
87.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
87.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+17
86.8%
Taylor Symmank punt for 51 yds , Jaquan White returns for 17 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2113% → 12%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
86.8%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-3
86.7%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-4
87.6%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 14
OWN 20
+14
87.9%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 14 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:3587% → 90%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
87.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 16 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
87.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 12 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
87.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 9 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+8
87.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.8%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.1%
Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:1510% → 12%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.1%
Mack Leftwich run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
90.0%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
89.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
89.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Aaron Jones for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
89.7%
Aaron Jones run for 10 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+42
89.3%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 42 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.7%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
88.7%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 6Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
89.1%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
87.6%
Jay Mattox 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:3488% → 93%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
88.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 6 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
88.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+21
88.2%
Patrick Mahomes run for 6 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Lawrence Montegut) to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
89.2%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+19
89.2%
Justin Stockton run for 19 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
89.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Quinton White for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+18
89.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 18 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
89.5%
Patrick Mahomes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
92.9%
Patrick Mahomes run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:478% → 8%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.7%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
91.6%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
91.5%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+13
91.8%
Alan Luna punt for 50 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 13 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 0:3593% → 97%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
93.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 24 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
93.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+35
97.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 35 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
96.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.2%
Darrin Laufasa run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
96.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
96.1%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Warren Redix for 4 yds Warren Redix fumbled, forced by Micah Awe, recovered by TexTc Jah'Shawn JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:1497% → 99%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Justin StocktonSimilar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 34 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete, broken up by Pete RobertsonSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.3%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jaquan White for 5 yds to the UTEP 31 UTEP Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+11
99.2%
Alan Luna punt for 45 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 11 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:5499% → 100%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
99.4%
Patrick Mahomes run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 31 Patrick Mahomes fumbled, recovered by TexTc DeAndre WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+5
99.4%
UTEP Penalty, offside defense (Brian Madunezim) to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+13
99.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 13 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
99.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 51 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Jeremiah LaufasaSimilar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.5%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jeremiah Laufasa for 2 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.5%
Alan Luna punt for 48 yds , Ian Sadler returns for 7 yds to the TexTc 36 UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Michael Lewis) to the TexTc 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Devin Lauderdale, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.6%
Justin Stockton run for 3 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Ian Sadler TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Taylor Symmank punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaquan White at the UTEP 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.6%
Darrin Laufasa run for 2 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+4
99.6%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Jaquan White for 4 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+9
99.6%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 9 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.6%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Darrin Laufasa, broken up by Tevin MadisonSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete, broken up by Gary MooreSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Alan Luna punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22FG
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
99.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 33 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+17
99.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 17 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
99.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-2
99.7%
Justin Stockton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
99.8%
Clayton Hatfield 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 6:010% → 0%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.8%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jeremiah Laufasa for 9 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
99.8%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 28 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Mack Leftwich run for 3 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+4
99.7%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Cedrick Lang for 4 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
99.8%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Cedrick Lang) to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+5
99.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-5
99.9%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Will Hernandez) to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 8 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
99.8%
Jay Mattox 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-13
99.9%
Webb, Davis pass complete to Brown, Tony for 25 yards to the 50 yardline (BEVERLY, Kalon), PENALTY TTU pass interference (Brown, Tony) 13 yards to the TTU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 23
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+13
99.9%
Taylor Symmank punt for 59 yds , Jaquan White returns for 13 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
99.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jeremiah Laufasa for 11 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:07100% → 100%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Quinton White for 1 yd to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+14
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Keke Coutee for 14 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Keke Coutee for 13 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+45
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tony Brown for 45 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Davis Webb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.9%
Autrey Golden run for 11 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Darrin Laufasa run for 9 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+21
99.9%
Kavika Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 16 Kavika Johnson fumbled, forced by Malik Jenkins, recovered by TexTc Keland McElrath , return for 21 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
99.9%
Quinton White run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+11
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Keke Coutee for 11 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Quinton White run for 2 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Davis Webb run for 5 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 29DOWNS
13 plays · 36 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for no gain to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
100.0%
Ryan Metz run for 8 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+2
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 2 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Ryan Metz run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Ryan Metz run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cedrick Lang for 7 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Cedrick Lang, broken up by Jalen BarnesSimilar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
50
+2
100.0%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Jeremiah Laufasa, broken up by Kris WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Cole RogersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
Demarcus Felton run for 4 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:58
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 35 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)
+4
TD · Q2 2:39
Patrick Mahomes run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q1 1:56
Aaron Jones 24 Yd pass from Mack Leftwich (Jay Mattox Kick)
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com