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RICE

Rice 28 at Texas 42

TEX
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:53 · James Farrimond punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Pregame prior+35.0Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:22: Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +2.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:23: Samuel Stewart run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +5.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:27: Samuel Stewart run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +6.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:37: Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for 69 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +8.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 8:14: Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards Driphus Jackson fumbled, recovered by Texas Malik Jefferson , return for 26 yds, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 14:53RICE 4th & 23 at RICE 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:43RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:43RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:23TEX 4th & 3 at RICE 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:27TEX 4th & 14 at TEX 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:57TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:14RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:08TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:33RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 17, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 1 at TEX 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:32TEX 4th & 6 at RICE 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:29TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:22TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:23RICE Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:27RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:37TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:05TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:41RICE Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:36RICE Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
85.0%
DILLARD, Darik rush up middle for 3 yards to the RICE49 (Jefferson, Malik;Haines, Dylan), PENALTY RICE offensive holding (MARTIN, Trey) 10 yards to the RICE36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 20
OWN 36
0
85.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 20
OWN 36
-3
85.0%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 23
OWN 33
0
85.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
4TH & 23
OWN 33
0
85.0%
James Farrimond punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5485% → 85%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.6%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
84.6%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 19Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+25
84.6%
Jerrod Heard run for 35 yds to the TEXAS 46 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
84.7%
Jerrod Heard run for 5 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+8
84.7%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 8 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
84.7%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+9
84.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 9 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
84.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
85.1%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 32 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:4615% → 14%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.6%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
84.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 10 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
84.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
84.4%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
84.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+85
86.3%
James Farrimond punt for 39 yds , Daje Johnson returns for 85 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.3%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
86.2%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-14
86.3%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Dylan Haines for a loss of 14 yards to the Rice 11Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+19
86.4%
Darik Dillard run for 19 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+56
86.4%
James Farrimond punt for 32 yds , Duke Thomas returns for 56 yds to the Rice 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4288% → 90%
Q1 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
87.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6INT
14 plays · 52 yds · 3:2210% → 9%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
89.7%
Austin Walter run for 10 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.6%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
89.7%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
89.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Cole Hunt for 9 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
89.5%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 6
50
-7
89.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the TEXAS 47 RICE Penalty, offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
89.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Samuel StewartSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+22
91.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 22 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
90.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+10
90.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 10 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
90.4%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Texas 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
90.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+31
90.8%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted Jason Hall return for 31 yds to the Texas 35 Jason Hall fumbled, forced by Zach Wright, recovered by Rice Peter GodberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:269% → 14%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
91.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
91.3%
Luke Turner run for 2 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+8
91.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 8 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
86.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
88.2%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 11 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
88.7%
Jerrod Heard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 6
50
+2
88.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+1
88.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
88.2%
Michael Dickson punt for 34 yds, downed at the Rice 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9TD
16 plays · 87 yds · 6:4912% → 20%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
87.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+4
87.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
87.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
87.6%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
87.5%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
87.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
87.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 7 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
87.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 8
50
0
87.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 8
50
+10
87.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 10 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to James MaydenSimilar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
87.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+13
87.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 13 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
86.5%
Driphus Jackson run for 10 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
80.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.4%
Jerrod Heard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
83.3%
Heard, Jerrod LS pass incomplete to Foreman, Armanti, PENALTY UT offensive pass interference (Foreman, Armanti) 12 yards to the UT13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+11
83.2%
Jerrod Heard run for 11 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-3
82.7%
Jerrod Heard sacked by Derek Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 21Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
82.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:3519% → 19%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
80.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+6
79.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 6 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
81.3%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
80.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+21
80.6%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted Dylan Haines return for 21 yds to the Texas 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:2083% → 81%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
83.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 12 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
83.4%
Jerrod Heard run for 23 yds to the TEXAS 42 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, offensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
81.4%
FOX, Jack kickoff 60 yards to the UT5, Foreman, D'Onta return to the UT23 (ELDER, Nick), PENALTY RICE offside (BROWN, Derek) 5 yards to the RICE30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
89.6%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for 69 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14FUMBLE
10 plays · 49 yds · 0:0011% → 13%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
88.4%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
88.6%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
88.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 5 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 14:37
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+12
88.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 12 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
87.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+7
87.5%
Driphus Jackson run for 7 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
87.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-1
87.0%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 26 Darik Dillard fumbled, forced by Edwin Freeman, recovered by Texas Paul Boyette Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
90.7%
TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (Jerrod Heard) to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
90.6%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Chris Warren IIISimilar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+4
90.6%
Chris Warren III run for 4 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+1
90.3%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
89.8%
Michael Dickson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Samuel Stewart at the Rice 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:1611% → 3%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
89.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+26
96.6%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards Driphus Jackson fumbled, recovered by Texas Malik Jefferson , return for 26 yds, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
96.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
96.4%
Samuel Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.5%
James Farrimond punt for 39 yds , Daje Johnson returns for 3 yds to the Texas 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
97.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-5
97.3%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Johnathan GraySimilar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
96.9%
Michael Dickson punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
97.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 7 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+2
97.4%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 1
OWN 17
0
97.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Cole HuntSimilar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+31
97.4%
James Farrimond punt for 42 yds , Daje Johnson returns for 31 yds to the Rice 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:5298% → 100%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
98.0%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+18
98.0%
Jerrod Heard run for 18 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
98.0%
Jerrod Heard run for 5 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+6
98.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
22 plays · 75 yds · 9:240% → 1%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 8 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 7 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
99.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 8 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+9
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 9 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the Texas 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
99.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
99.8%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 27
-10
99.8%
JACKSON, Driphu rush up middle for 3 yards to the UT24, PENALTY RICE offensive holding (WILLIAMS, Caleb) 10 yards to the UT37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 23
OPP 37
+15
99.8%
JACKSON, Driphu LS pass incomplete to PARKS, Dennis, PENALTY UT personal foul (Boyette Jr., Paul) 15 yards to the UT22, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+7
99.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 7 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 6 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+1
99.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Texas 4Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 4 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:0199% → 100%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+8
99.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 8 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Caleb Bluiett for 8 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-4
99.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
99.5%
Michael Dickson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Samuel Stewart at the Rice 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:481% → 3%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+25
99.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Cole Hunt for 25 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Cameron Decell for 5 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
99.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Cameron Decell for 3 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+7
99.5%
Darik Dillard run for 7 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.5%
Tyler Stehling run for 6 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+18
99.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Luke Turner for 18 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
99.3%
Austin Walter run for 7 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+14
96.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Luke Turner for 14 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:153% → 2%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
97.4%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Chris Nelson for a loss of 9 yards to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+17
98.7%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Darik Dillard for 17 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+13
98.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Darik Dillard for 13 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
98.1%
Tyler Stehling pass intercepted Breckyn Hager return for 10 yds to the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:37
Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for 69 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
+8
FUMBLE · Q3 8:14
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards Driphus Jackson fumbled, recovered by Texas Malik Jefferson , return for 26 yds, (Nick Rose KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 2:27
Samuel Stewart run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com