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MEM

Memphis 55 at Kansas 23

KU
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+4.6KU 30.1%Nick Bartolotta 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 13 · Q2 6:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:54 · Nick Bartolotta 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Home team on offense−1.2Pregame prior−19.6Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:32: Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +8.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:04: Mose Frazier run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +9.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:20: Montell Cozart run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK) — KU win probability +7.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:14: Paxton Lynch pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +9.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 3:53: Jake Elliott 32 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +5.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12MEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 4 at KU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:34KU 4th & 12 at MEM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:29MEM 4th & 17 at MEM 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:21KU 4th & 13 at KU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:28MEM 4th & 10 at KU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:28KU 4th & 23 at KU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:45KU 4th & 6 at KU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:51MEM 4th & 5 at KU 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:54KU 4th & 1 at MEM 15, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%−2.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−7.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:00KU 4th & 13 at MEM 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:14KU 4th & 8 at KU 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:53MEM 4th & 1 at KU 14, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%−1.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−7.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:43KU 4th & 6 at KU 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 5 at KU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:57KU 4th & 14 at MEM 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:17KU 4th & 5 at MEM 9, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:48KU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:26MEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:45MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:32MEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:04MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:20KU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:14MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:01MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:56MEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
21.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
21.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 8 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
21.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
21.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
21.4%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
21.4%
Eric Kahn punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
22.2%
Tevin Jones run for no gain to the Memph 10 Tevin Jones fumbled, recovered by Kans Marcquis Roberts , return for 2 yds to the Memph 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4422% → 23%
Q1 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
22.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 12Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
22.4%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Ke'aun KinnerSimilar
Q1 13:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
22.3%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
22.7%
Nick Bartolotta 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
22.8%
Paxton Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
22.8%
Sam Craft run for 1 yd to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-8
22.9%
Paxton Lynch sacked by Ben Goodman for a loss of 8 yards to the Memph 16Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 17
OWN 16
-3
23.0%
Spencer Smith punt for 54 yds , Tre' Parmalee returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:2524% → 26%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
23.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Joshua Stanford for 19 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
23.8%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+20
23.6%
Montell Cozart run for 20 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
23.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 24 yds to the Memph 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
23.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (5 Yards) to the Memph 5Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
26.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2275% → 74%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
25.4%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 20Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+20
25.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 20 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
25.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 26 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
24.9%
Sam Craft run for 2 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
24.9%
Anthony Miller run for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+15
25.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 15 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
24.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 14 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
24.8%
Sam Craft run for 2 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.6%
Sam Craft run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
26.4%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Joshua StanfordSimilar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
26.3%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+11
26.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 11 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
26.5%
De'Andre Mann run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
26.3%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 13
OWN 27
0
26.0%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 13
OWN 27
+8
25.9%
Eric Kahn punt for 30 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 8 yds to the Kans 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:2373% → 73%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
26.8%
KANSAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chevy Graham) to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
26.5%
Jae'lon Oglesby run for 11 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
26.4%
Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+15
26.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 15 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
26.4%
Anthony Miller run for 1 yd to the Kans 6Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.4%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
26.7%
Paxton Lynch run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
26.9%
Jake Elliott 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
28.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Kent Taylor for 18 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
28.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 6 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-6
29.1%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
28.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 8
50
-15
28.5%
Montell Cozart sacked by Donald Pennington and Michael Edwards for a loss of 15 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 23
OWN 35
0
27.2%
Eric Kahn punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Roderick Proctor at the Memph 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:1672% → 77%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
28.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 9 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+30
27.5%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jae'lon Oglesby for 30 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
26.9%
Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+8
26.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 8 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
26.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jae'lon Oglesby for 11 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
23.0%
Doroland Dorceus run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
24.5%
KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+3
23.7%
Eric Kahn punt for 38 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 3 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
24.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 3 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
24.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
24.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Ke'aun KinnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
23.4%
Anthony Miller run for 6 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-14
23.2%
Roderick Proctor run for a loss of 14 yards to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+13
24.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Sam Craft for 13 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
24.0%
Nick Jacobs punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:0025% → 30%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-11
25.1%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 11 yards to the Kans 9 Montell Cozart fumbled,Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+22
24.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to De'Andre Mann for 22 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
25.4%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
26.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 5 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
26.4%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+4
25.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ben Johnson for 4 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
25.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 5 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
27.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 18 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
28.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 25Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+2
28.8%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+8
27.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ben Johnson for 8 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+33
30.1%
Nick Bartolotta 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
28.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 10 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
27.7%
Jarvis Cooper run for 10 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
27.0%
Mose Frazier run for 5 yds to the Memph 45 Mose Frazier fumbled, forced by Brandon Stewart, recovered by Kans Damani MosbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0032% → 28%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
31.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 7 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
31.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-5
31.3%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 8
OPP 43
-5
29.1%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 48Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
28.3%
Eric Kahn punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Roderick Proctor at the Memph 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:0771% → 82%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
29.4%
Jarvis Cooper run for 6 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
28.5%
Jarvis Cooper run for 3 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
28.8%
Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
28.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 8 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+7
27.7%
Jarvis Cooper run for 7 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
27.5%
Mose Frazier run for 4 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+32
27.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 32 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
26.8%
Paxton Lynch run for 6 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-3
26.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, illegal forward pass (Paxton Lynch) to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+7
27.2%
LYNCH, Paxton pass incomplete to FRAZIER, Mose, PENALTY KU holding (Stewart,B.) 7 yards to the KU6, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.8%
Jarvis Cooper run for no gain to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
20.2%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5679% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.6%
Sam Craft run for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
20.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 11 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
10.4%
Mose Frazier run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:4412% → 22%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
12.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 10 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
12.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
13.3%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Arthur MauletSimilar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+29
13.1%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 29 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
14.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
14.0%
De'Andre Mann run for 9 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+11
14.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 11 yds to the Memph 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
14.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Darious Crawley for 3 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
14.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Memph 7Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
22.0%
Montell Cozart run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0680% → 92%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.9%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Jae'lon Oglesby, broken up by Fish SmithsonSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.0%
Sam Craft run for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
20.2%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 13 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+42
18.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 42 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
18.6%
Doroland Dorceus run for 12 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
18.4%
Sam Craft run for 2 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.5%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
10.8%
Montell Cozart run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
11.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
11.4%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
11.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-1
11.5%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
10.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Tre' ParmaleeSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+1
10.7%
Eric Kahn punt for 43 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 1 yd to the Memph 38 MEMPHIS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Memph 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 5:2191% → 97%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+21
9.5%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 21 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
9.4%
Doroland Dorceus run for 8 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+23
8.9%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 23 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
8.8%
Doroland Dorceus run for 14 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
8.5%
Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
8.5%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 6 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
8.6%
Paxton Lynch run for no gain to the Kans 14Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+32
3.1%
Jake Elliott 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
4.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
4.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
4.4%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Ke'aun KinnerSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+1
4.4%
Eric Kahn punt for 39 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 1 yd to the Memph 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:4197% → 99%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
2.6%
Paxton Lynch run for 14 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
2.6%
Jarvis Cooper run for 14 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
2.5%
LYNCH, Paxton pass incomplete to FRAZIER, Mose, PENALTY KU pass interference (Stewart,B.) 15 yards to the KU19, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
2.5%
Jarvis Cooper run for 12 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
2.5%
Paxton Lynch run for 6 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.4%
Jarvis Cooper run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:011% → 1%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.4%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
1.4%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
1.3%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
1.2%
Eric Kahn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Roderick Proctor at the Memph 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:5099% → 100%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
0.7%
Jamarius Henderson run for 5 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+18
0.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 18 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
0.6%
Jamarius Henderson run for 15 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
0.6%
Jamarius Henderson run for 16 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
0.6%
Jamarius Henderson run for 1 yd to the Kans 16Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+8
0.6%
KANSAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Joe Dineen Jr.) to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
0.6%
Jamarius Henderson run for 7 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.5%
Jamarius Henderson run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Jamarius Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:590% → 0%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
0.2%
Ryan Schadler run for 20 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
0.3%
Deondre Ford run for 1 yd to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
0.2%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+20
0.3%
Deondre Ford run for 5 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (Reggis Ball) to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
0.3%
Ryan Schadler run for 1 yd to the Memph 28Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+2
0.3%
Ryan Schadler run for 2 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-7
0.3%
Deondre Ford sacked by DeMarco Montgomery for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 33Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+51
0.2%
Matthew Wyman 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 28FUMBLE
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
Clay Holgorsen pass complete to Jarvis Cooper for 9 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
0.2%
Jamarius Henderson run for 12 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
0.2%
Clay Holgorsen run for 3 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
0.2%
Jamarius Henderson run for 4 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+3
0.2%
Jamarius Henderson run for 3 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
0.2%
Clay Holgorsen pass complete to Greg McKillion for 7 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+12
0.2%
Jamarius Henderson run for 12 yds to the Kans 24 Jamarius Henderson fumbled, forced by Fish Smithson, recovered by Kans Michael GlatczakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29DOWNS
14 plays · 67 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
0.1%
Ryan Schadler run for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+15
0.1%
Ford,Deo. pass incomplete to Neal,D., PENALTY MEM personal foul (PORTER, Darian) 15 yards to the KU40, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
0.1%
Ryan Schadler run for 4 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+11
0.1%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 11 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.1%
Ryan Schadler run for no gain to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
0.1%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 10 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.1%
Deondre Ford pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+10
0.1%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 10 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
0.1%
Deondre Ford pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 11 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Deondre Ford pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Deondre Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+5
0.1%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Memph 9Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
0.1%
Deondre Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 9
0
0.1%
Deondre Ford pass incomplete to Kent Taylor, broken up by Darian PorterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 7Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 12
OWN 7
0
0.1%
TEAM run for no gain to the Memph 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:04
Mose Frazier run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q3 9:14
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q2 0:32
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com