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GASO

Georgia Southern 0 at West Virginia 44

WVU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:08 · Matt Flynn punt for 40 yds, downed at the WVirg 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Pregame prior+42.6Home team on offense+4.7Score differential+2.1Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:54: Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 41 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — GASO win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:08: Josh Lambert 32 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:04: Josh Lambert 22 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:12: Rushel Shell run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:19: Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 26 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:49GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:05WVU 4th & 7 at GASO 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:38WVU 4th & 1 at GASO 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:57GASO 4th & 27 at GASO 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:08WVU 4th & 1 at GASO 14, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:08GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, down 13
    Close callPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:00WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 35, up 13
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:11GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:12GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:04WVU 4th & 2 at GASO 5, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:04WVU 4th & 9 at GASO 39, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:24WVU 4th & 6 at GASO 42, up 16
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:06GASO 4th & 5 at WVU 30, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:19GASO 4th & 9 at WVU 28, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:19GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 44, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:49WVU 4th & 1 at GASO 5, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:26GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 32, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:54WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:12WVU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:19WVU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:23WVU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:26WVU Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1POSSESSION (FOR OT DRIVES)
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
98.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kj Dillon) to the WVirg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 4:0698% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
98.3%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+7
98.3%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
-5
98.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Wendell Smallwood) to the WVirg 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+7
98.3%
Skyler Howard run for 7 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
98.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+16
98.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 16 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
98.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 10 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
98.3%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+41
98.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 41 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
97.9%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+7
97.9%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-4
97.9%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 10:49
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
98.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4FG
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:0098% → 98%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+57
97.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 57 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
97.9%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
97.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
97.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
97.7%
Josh Lambert 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.7%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-2
97.7%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-6
97.7%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 26 Favian Upshaw fumbled, recovered by WVirg Karl JosephSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for no gain to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
97.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+3
97.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 1
OPP 17
-1
97.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
14 plays · 27 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
97.3%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
97.3%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete, broken up by Kj DillonSimilar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+10
97.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.3%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Matt BreidaSimilar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
97.3%
LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+6
97.3%
LA Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.3%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Ryan LongoriaSimilar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
97.3%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+16
97.3%
Favian Upshaw run for 16 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
97.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (Matt Breida) to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 25
OWN 47
-2
97.3%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 27
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete, broken up by Daryl WorleySimilar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 27
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Favian Upshaw run for no gain to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 27
OWN 45
0
97.4%
Matt Flynn punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8FG
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:0297% → 98%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+57
96.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 57 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
96.9%
Rushel Shell run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
96.9%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+32
97.5%
Josh Lambert 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Favian Upshaw run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.1%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
97.1%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.1%
Matt Flynn punt for 40 yds, downed at the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
97.3%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-5
97.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+10
97.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 10 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Nick O'Toole punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:393% → 3%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.9%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
96.8%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
96.8%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
96.6%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 0:1397% → 97%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-19
97.1%
Skyler Howard sacked by Bernard Dawson for a loss of 19 yards to the GeoSo 48 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, intentional grounding (Skyler Howard) to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 29
OPP 48
0
97.1%
William Crest Jr. pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Darrius WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 29
OPP 48
+2
97.2%
William Crest Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 27
OPP 46
0
97.1%
Nick O'Toole punt for 39 yds, downed at the GeoSo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
96.9%
Favian Upshaw run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.8%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
96.7%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
96.8%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-6
96.8%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Bj JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Matt Flynn punt for 43 yds, downed at the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14FG
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2497% → 97%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+47
96.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 47 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
96.9%
Skyler Howard run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
96.9%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
96.9%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
96.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+22
97.2%
Josh Lambert 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.7%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.7%
Favian Upshaw pass intercepted Dravon Askew-Henry return for no gain to the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:1997% → 97%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
97.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 8 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+10
97.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 10 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
97.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
97.4%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
97.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
97.3%
Nick O'Toole punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
96.4%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
96.4%
LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.3%
Favian Upshaw pass intercepted Karl Joseph return for no gain to the GeoSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
96.9%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-5
96.9%
Skyler Howard sacked by Deshawntee Gallon and Bernard Dawson for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+5
96.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 5 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 14:24
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
96.3%
LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+8
96.2%
Favian Upshaw run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
96.1%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
96.2%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
96.2%
Favian Upshaw pass intercepted Karl Joseph return for no gain to the GeoSo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:4997% → 99%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
96.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+19
96.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 19 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.9%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 53 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
98.6%
Matt Breida run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
98.5%
Favian Upshaw run for 22 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
98.5%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Bj Johnson for 12 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.4%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
98.3%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+2
98.5%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
98.5%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Bj JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:3099% → 100%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
98.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 23 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
98.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+15
98.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 26 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24INT
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
Matt Breida run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
99.8%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+17
99.8%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Derek Keaton for 17 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.8%
LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+15
99.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Christian Brown) to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.7%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-4
99.7%
Favian Upshaw sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 28 Favian Upshaw fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Jeff Ward , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Ryan LongoriaSimilar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 9
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Favian Upshaw pass intercepted Karl Joseph return for no gain to the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
99.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 19 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 14 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Skyler Howard run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
-2
99.9%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+26
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 26 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 19 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Vegas Harley run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Thomas Banks run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-3
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27TD
11 plays · 41 yds · 5:21100% → 100%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
99.9%
William Crest Jr. run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+3
99.9%
William Crest Jr. run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Donte Thomas-Williams run for no gain to the GeoSo 2 Donte Thomas-Williams fumbled, forced by Nardo Govan, recovered by WVirg Donte Thomas-WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
William Crest Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Thomas Banks run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
Chaz Thornton run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
100.0%
Vegas Harley run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:12
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+2
TD · Q3 4:19
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 26 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+1
FG · Q2 14:08
Josh Lambert 32 yd FG GOOD
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com