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AKR

Akron 3 at Oklahoma 41

OU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:01 · Austin Seibert punt for 49 yds, downed at the Akron 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+48.2Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:32: Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:21: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 29 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:06: Robert Stein 26 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +0.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:56: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 76 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:11: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9AKR made the numbers' call on 12 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00OU 4th & 16 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:30AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:01OU 4th & 19 at OU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:21AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:23OU 4th & 10 at OU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:45AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:58OU 4th & 6 at AKR 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q1 2:29AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  9. Q1 2:10OU 4th & 10 at OU 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:50AKR 4th & 4 at OU 4, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 12:50OU 4th & 4 at OU 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 11:25AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:32AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:32AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:06AKR 4th & 9 at OU 9, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 11:56AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 10:49OU 4th & 1 at AKR 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.5%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q3 7:11AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 7 at midfield, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 14:49OU 4th & 2 at OU 40, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:29OU 4th & 8 at AKR 23, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  23. Q4 10:29AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 17, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 5:32OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:21OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:56OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:11OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:36OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 15 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.0%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
99.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jarvis BaxterSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-5
99.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 46
-4
99.0%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
50
0
99.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.9%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
98.9%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 1 yd to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Zach Paul punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
98.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 20
OWN 29
-4
98.7%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 24
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jarvis BaxterSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 24
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Samaje Perine for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 19
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Austin Seibert punt for 49 yds, downed at the Akron 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
98.6%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 1 yd to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
98.6%
Tra'Von Chapman run for no gain to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-2
98.6%
Tra'Von Chapman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 20Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Zach Paul punt for 43 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for no gain to the Okla 20 OKLAHOMA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Okla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
98.4%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-8
98.4%
Dede Westbrook run for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 21Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+6
98.4%
Joe Mixon run for 6 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 51 yds , Imani Davis returns for no gain to the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.2%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.2%
Imani Davis run for 4 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+2
98.2%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 2 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 4
OWN 28
-5
98.2%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Jatavis Brown) to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+12
98.2%
Zach Paul punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 28 , Sterling Shepard returns for 12 yds to the Okla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:0098% → 98%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
98.0%
AKRON Penalty, personal foul (John Senter) to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+35
98.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 35 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
98.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Samaje Perine for 4 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
98.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
98.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Joe MixonSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
97.9%
Austin Seibert 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
97.9%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+2
97.9%
Donnell Alexander run for 2 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+9
97.9%
Conor Hundley run for 9 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
97.8%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
97.8%
Zach Paul punt for 73 yds, downed at the Okla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
97.7%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 6Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
97.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeffery MeadSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+5
97.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 5 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 5
OWN 11
-5
97.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, false start (Jordan Thomas) to the Okla 6Similar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 10
OWN 6
0
97.6%
Austin Seibert punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Imani Davis at the Akron 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:063% → 3%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Jerome Lane, broken up by Zack SanchezSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
97.4%
Donnell Alexander run for 6 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+42
97.4%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jerome Lane for 42 yds to the Okla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
97.1%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
97.2%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 3 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
97.2%
Tra'Von Chapman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
97.3%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 5 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
97.0%
Robert Stein 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
97.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 8 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-2
97.1%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Jatavis Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
97.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
96.9%
Austin Seibert punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Imani Davis at the Akron 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
96.9%
Richie Cooper run for no gain to the Akron 10Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
96.9%
Donnell Alexander run for 3 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
97.0%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+9
97.1%
Zach Paul punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 40 , Sterling Shepard returns for 9 yds to the Okla 22 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Okla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 4:1297% → 97%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
96.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 6 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+16
96.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 16 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
96.7%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+6
96.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 6 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+5
96.6%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
96.8%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
96.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Joe MixonSimilar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+9
96.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 9 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
96.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 8 yds to the Akron 4Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 2
OPP 4
0
96.4%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Akron 4Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+2
96.0%
AKRON Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.0%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
96.9%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 10 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+7
97.0%
Conor Hundley run for 7 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
96.9%
Zach Paul punt for 33 yds, downed at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:0897% → 98%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
96.7%
Joe Mixon run for 11 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+38
96.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 38 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
97.0%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+29
98.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 29 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:492% → 2%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.5%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Jerome Lane) to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Tra'Von Chapman run for no gain to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
98.5%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
98.5%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.5%
Zach Paul punt for 55 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 11 yds to the Okla 31 Sterling Shepard fumbled, forced by Cory Morrow, recovered by Akron Christian AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:122% → 3%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
97.6%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Newman Williams for 12 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
97.5%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+6
97.3%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for 6 yds to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.5%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.5%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.7%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
97.0%
Robert Stein 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.7%
team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.1%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
97.1%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jerome Lane for 9 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
96.9%
Kyle Pohl run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+6
97.1%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jerome Lane for 6 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
96.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+35
97.0%
Zach Paul punt for 40 yds, downed at the OKLAHOMA 19 AKRON Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
99.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 76 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Donnell Alexander run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.8%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Donnell AlexanderSimilar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
98.8%
Zach Paul punt for 43 yds , Joe Mixon returns for no gain to the Okla 27 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:3899% → 100%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.0%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+15
98.9%
AKRON Penalty, personal foul (Darryl Monroe) to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 3 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
99.0%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+15
98.9%
Samaje Perine run for 15 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 4 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+19
99.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 19 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Richie CooperSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+24
99.8%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 24 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-3
99.8%
Tra'Von Chapman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Zach Paul punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
99.9%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Okla 7Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+26
99.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 26 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeffery Mead, broken up by Kyron BrownSimilar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+17
99.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
50
+20
99.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 20 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.9%
Joe Mixon run for 6 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
99.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 9 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 13 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Donnell Alexander run for no gain to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 7 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
99.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, personal foul (Hatari Byrd) to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Donnell Alexander run for 4 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-1
99.9%
Donnell Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
50
0
99.9%
Zach Paul punt for 35 yds, downed at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Daniel Brooks run for 7 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+10
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Mark Andrews for 10 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Daniel Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Daniel Brooks for 6 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Daniel Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Austin Seibert punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Imani Davis at the Akron 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+13
99.9%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Michael Means Jr. for 13 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Michael Means Jr.Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-4
99.9%
Michael Means Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 25 Michael Means Jr. fumbled, forced by Charles Walker, recovered by Okla Jordan WadeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Daniel Brooks run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Jeffery MeadSimilar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
99.9%
Austin Seibert 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.9%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 3 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 3 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 4
OWN 22
-5
99.9%
Kyle Pohl sacked by Charles Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 17Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Zach Paul punt for 46 yds, downed at the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 30INT
12 plays · 56 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
99.9%
Alex Ross run for 14 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 4 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Mark Andrews for 12 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-15
99.9%
Knight, Trevor pass complete to Mead, Jeffery for 24 yards to the AKRON4, out-of-bounds (SCOTT, DeAndre), PENALTY OU personal foul (Mead, Jeffery) 15 yards to the AKRON43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
Trevor Knight run for 6 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 14
OPP 37
+19
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Mark Andrews for 19 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
AKRON Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Akron 13Similar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the Akron 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Alex Ross run for 1 yd to the Akron 7Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted, touchback. DeAndre Scott return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 31END OF GAME
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Hakeem Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+13
100.0%
Thomas Woodson run for 13 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 1 yd to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 2 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+11
100.0%
Thomas Woodson run for 11 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
Thomas Woodson run for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 3 yds to the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:56
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 76 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 2:21
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 29 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 5:32
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com