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SDAK

South Dakota 0 at Kansas State 34

KSU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadSDAK aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreSDAK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:48 · Nate Gunn run for 2 yds to the SDako 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:18: Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK), (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:45: Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 24 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:00: Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 01:00 — KSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SDAK has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:49: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 3 — KSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 3:08: Matthew McCrane 28 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6SDAK made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:48SDAK 4th & 10 at KSU 38, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:48KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 14, up 7
    Close callPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:55SDAK 4th & 9 at KSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:42SDAK 4th & 1 at SDAK 10, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:30KSU 4th & 2 at SDAK 6, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:30SDAK 4th & 3 at SDAK 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:18SDAK 4th & 15 at SDAK 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−3.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:49KSU 4th & 15 at KSU 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−3.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:00SDAK 4th & 19 at KSU 43, down 24
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:56SDAK 4th & 16 at SDAK 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:51KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 42, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:52SDAK 4th & 6 at SDAK 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:08KSU 4th & 4 at SDAK 11, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:53SDAK 4th & 6 at KSU 21, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:22SDAK 4th & 1 at KSU 23, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:01KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 29, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:45KSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 7:28KSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDAKDrive 2MISSED FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:5526% → 26%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
73.7%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Ethan Fenchel for 23 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
73.7%
Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-3
73.7%
Trevor Bouma run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
73.7%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Eric ShuffordSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+5
73.9%
Miles Bergner 55 yd FG MISSED , Dominique Heath return for 5 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
73.9%
Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+4
73.9%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the KanSt 12 Charles Jones fumbled, forced by Keyen Lage, recovered by KanSt Cody SmallSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+2
73.8%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 1
OWN 14
+5
73.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 38 yds , Eric Shufford returns for 5 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:4726% → 26%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
73.7%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 10 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
73.7%
Trevor Bouma run for no gain to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
73.7%
Ryan Saeger run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+9
73.7%
Ryan Saeger run for 9 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
73.5%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Eric ShuffordSimilar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
73.6%
Ryan Saeger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+1
73.7%
Ryan Saeger run for 1 yd to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
74.3%
Miles Bergner 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5FUMBLE
11 plays · 74 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
74.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+16
74.5%
Joe Hubener run for 16 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
74.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for no gain to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+35
74.6%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 35 yds to the SDako 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
75.1%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the SDako 24Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-6
75.1%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the SDako 20 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Kleinsorge) to the SDako 30Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+11
75.0%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 11 yds to the SDako 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
75.1%
Glenn Gronkowski run for 11 yds to the SDako 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
75.1%
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd to the SDako 7Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
75.1%
Winston Dimel run for 6 yds to the SDako 1Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.9%
Joe Hubener run for no gain to the SDako 1 Joe Hubener fumbled, forced by Tyson Graham, recovered by SDako Andrew Van GinkelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
74.8%
Ryan Saeger run for 3 yds to the SDako 4Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+6
74.9%
Trevor Bouma run for 6 yds to the SDako 10Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 1
OWN 10
0
75.1%
Ryan Saeger run for no gain to the SDako 10Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 1
OWN 10
+31
75.3%
Miles Bergner punt for 46 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 31 yds to the SDako 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1676% → 76%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
75.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
75.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDako 30Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 15
OPP 30
-1
75.4%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 31Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+17
75.0%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 17 yds to the SDako 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
76.0%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 6 yds to the SDako 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
76.0%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the SDako 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
75.6%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle Klein, broken up by Sean BredlSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+23
75.9%
Matthew McCrane 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.2%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 4 yds to the SDako 29Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
75.9%
M Fredrick run for 3 yds to the SDako 32Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
76.1%
Ryan Saeger run for no gain to the SDako 32Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
76.6%
Miles Bergner punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDako 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:0777% → 87%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
77.2%
Justin Silmon run for 18 yds to the SDako 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
77.3%
Justin Silmon run for 12 yds to the SDako 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
77.3%
Justin Silmon run for 8 yds to the SDako 7Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+5
77.3%
Glenn Gronkowski run for 5 yds to the SDako 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.5%
Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK), (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
84.6%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Drew Potter for 10 yds to the SDako 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
84.3%
Trevor Bouma run for 1 yd to the SDako 36Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-6
84.3%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the SDako 30Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
84.7%
Ryan Saeger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
84.9%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Nick MeyerSimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+10
85.0%
Miles Bergner punt for 55 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 10 yds to the KanSt 40 KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the KanSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
86.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 6 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
86.6%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody Cook, broken up by Tyson GrahamSimilar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+6
86.3%
Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
86.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 22Similar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 15
OWN 22
0
86.5%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 15
OWN 22
0
86.5%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 15
OWN 22
0
86.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Chris TylerSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 15
OWN 22
+2
85.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 53 yds , Eric Shufford returns for 2 yds to the SDako 24 Eric Shufford fumbled, forced by Stanton Weber, recovered by KanSt Stanton WeberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
1 play · 24 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
92.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 24 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 4:459% → 7%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.0%
M Fredrick run for 3 yds to the SDako 28Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
91.3%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Aaron Ramsey for 5 yds to the SDako 33Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
91.2%
M Fredrick run for 4 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
91.3%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 3 yds to the SDako 40Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+26
91.2%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 26 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
90.5%
M Fredrick run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
90.5%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Drew Potter for 5 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-5
90.8%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-10
91.0%
Ryan Saeger sacked by Marquel Bryant for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
92.9%
Miles Bergner punt for 38 yds, downed at the KanSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 3Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 12
OWN 3
-1
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
93.1%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Eric Shufford, broken up by Morgan BurnsSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+15
93.2%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 15 yds to the SDako 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.8%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Drew PotterSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
93.0%
Trevor Bouma run for 1 yd to the SDako 33Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-7
93.1%
Ryan Saeger sacked by Tanner Wood for a loss of 7 yards to the SDako 26Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+11
93.3%
Miles Bergner punt for 44 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 11 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
95.1%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Adam HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
94.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Eric Shufford at the SDako 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
94.7%
Ryan Saeger run for 7 yds to the SDako 20Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+2
94.5%
Trevor Bouma run for 2 yds to the SDako 22Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
94.5%
Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the SDako 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
M Fredrick run for no gain to the SDako 25Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.7%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Josh Hale for 4 yds to the SDako 29Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.5%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Brandt Van RoekelSimilar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
94.7%
Miles Bergner punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:5696% → 100%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
96.1%
Joe Hubener run for 9 yds to the SDako 48Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+6
96.2%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the SDako 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
96.2%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the SDako 36Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
96.2%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the SDako 34Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+5
96.1%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 5 yds to the SDako 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
96.2%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the SDako 22Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+5
96.2%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the SDako 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
96.2%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the SDako 16Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+5
96.2%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the SDako 11Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
96.1%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Michael LillySimilar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
99.7%
Matthew McCrane 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 19DOWNS
16 plays · 72 yds · 5:090% → 0%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.7%
Nate Gunn run for 2 yds to the SDako 9Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+7
99.7%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Trevor Bouma for 7 yds to the SDako 16Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+23
99.7%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 23 yds to the SDako 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.7%
Nate Gunn run for 4 yds to the SDako 43Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-4
99.6%
Shamar Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDako 43 Shamar Jackson fumbled, recovered by SDako Ryan SaegerSimilar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+9
99.7%
Ryan Saeger run for 9 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.8%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 6 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Ryan Saeger run for no gain to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+17
99.8%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 17 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.8%
Trevor Bouma run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Aaron RamseySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Trevor BoumaSimilar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 6
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Eric Shufford SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 5:20100% → 100%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.8%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+43
99.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 43 yds to the SDako 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.8%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the SDako 29Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Winston Dimel run for 3 yds to the SDako 26Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+3
99.8%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the SDako 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
99.8%
Justin Silmon run for 6 yds to the SDako 17Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+8
99.8%
Winston Dimel run for 8 yds to the SDako 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.8%
Winston Dimel run for 2 yds to the SDako 7Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.8%
Winston Dimel run for 6 yds to the SDako 1Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
99.9%
Saeger,Ryan pass incomplete to Shufford,Eric, PENALTY KS pass interference (Adams, Kendall) 15 yards to the USD37, 1ST DOWN USD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
99.9%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 20 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Riley Donovan for 5 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
M Fredrick run for 6 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
99.9%
Nate Gunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+11
99.9%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 11 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Ryan Saeger run for no gain to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Nate Gunn run for no gain to the KanSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the KanSt 24Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Eric Shufford at the SDako 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Danny Rambo, broken up by Jesse MackSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
100.0%
M Fredrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 27 SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+11
100.0%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Ben Kramer for 11 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
M Fredrick run for 3 yds to the SDako 41Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Nate Gunn run for 5 yds to the SDako 46Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Nate Gunn run for 2 yds to the SDako 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:18
Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK), (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q2 5:45
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 24 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+7.1
FG · Q3 3:08
Matthew McCrane 28 yd FG GOOD
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com