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RUTG

Rutgers 31 at Army 21

ARMY
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:03 · Joey Roth punt for 44 yds , Edgar Poe returns for 7 yds to the Army 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Home team on offense−1.8Pregame prior−17.3Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:11: Aaron Kemper run for 38 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK) — ARMY win probability +6.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:17: Robert Martin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +4.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:09: Chris Carter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK) — ARMY win probability +9.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:21: Paul James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +11.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:19: Chris Carter pass complete to Edgar Poe for 65 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK) — ARMY win probability +7.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 4RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:00ARMY 4th & 1 at RUTG 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.0%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:17ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:03RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:09ARMY 4th & 1 at RUTG 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−5.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00RUTG 4th & 7 at ARMY 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−5.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:21RUTG 4th & 1 at ARMY 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−9.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:12ARMY 4th & 10 at RUTG 23, down 17
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.0%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    19.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:57RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 40, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:22RUTG 4th & 1 at ARMY 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−2.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:44RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:44RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:11ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:17RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:09ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:21RUTG Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:19ARMY Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 4:0031% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
30.5%
Chris Carter run for 6 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+10
30.5%
John Trainor run for 10 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
30.5%
Chris Carter pass complete to John Trainor for 23 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
30.5%
Chris Carter run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
30.5%
Aaron Kemper run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
30.5%
Chris Carter run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+42
32.5%
Daniel Grochowski 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kevin WilkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:1668% → 70%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
31.9%
Paul James run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+14
31.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 14 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
31.8%
Paul James run for 7 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+29
31.8%
Janarion Grant run for 29 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
30.3%
Paul James run for 7 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:1931% → 31%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
31.1%
Nicholas Black run for no gain to the Army 23Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
31.0%
Chris Carter run for 3 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
30.9%
Chris Carter pass incomplete to Nicholas Black, broken up by Saquan HamptonSimilar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+21
31.1%
Alex Tardieu punt for 50 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 21 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
30.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for no gain to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
30.8%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
30.7%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+7
31.1%
Joey Roth punt for 44 yds , Edgar Poe returns for 7 yds to the Army 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
31.5%
Aaron Kemper run for 3 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+4
31.6%
Chris Carter run for 4 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+12
31.3%
Tyler Campbell run for 12 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
31.7%
Aaron Kemper run for 2 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
31.7%
Chris Carter run for no gain to the Army 39 Chris Carter fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Josh HicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:1569% → 74%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
30.7%
Janarion Grant run for 11 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
30.5%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+17
30.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 17 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
30.5%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the Army 1Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.9%
Paul James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 4:2527% → 34%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
27.2%
Tyler Campbell run for 3 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+5
27.1%
Christian Drake run for 5 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+2
27.0%
Drue Harris run for 2 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
27.1%
Chris Carter run for 3 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
27.3%
Drue Harris run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+30
26.9%
Chris Carter pass complete to Edgar Poe for 30 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
28.3%
Chris Carter run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+38
34.4%
Aaron Kemper run for 38 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:4669% → 76%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
30.8%
Robert Martin run for 13 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
30.5%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+9
30.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Robert Martin for 9 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
30.3%
Paul James run for 7 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+7
30.2%
Paul James run for 7 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
30.2%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
30.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 6 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+6
30.5%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
28.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
23.6%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 6:0024% → 33%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+45
24.2%
Chris Carter run for 45 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
26.7%
Chris Carter run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
26.8%
Chris Carter run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+7
26.1%
Christian Drake run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
26.8%
Chris Carter run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+6
26.8%
Nicholas Black run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
26.8%
Aaron Kemper run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
26.8%
Aaron Kemper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
26.0%
Chris Carter run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.1%
Chris Carter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 1:0871% → 76%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
28.7%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
29.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 6 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+4
27.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
27.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Vance Matthews for 9 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+21
26.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 21 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
25.5%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
25.7%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+3
26.3%
Paul James run for 3 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
23.8%
Kyle Federico 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:3974% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+54
25.9%
Paul James run for 54 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
24.7%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+7
24.7%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Army 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
24.7%
Paul James run for 1 yd to the Army 3Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
24.7%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the Army 1Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
25.3%
Paul James run for no gain to the Army 1Similar
Q3 11:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.3%
Paul James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
15.8%
Aaron Kemper run for 3 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+14
15.8%
Chris Carter run for 14 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
17.0%
Chris Carter pass complete to Nicholas Black for 22 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
17.8%
Aaron Kemper run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
18.0%
Drue Harris run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+5
17.6%
Joe Walker run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
18.0%
Tyler Campbell run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
18.0%
Matt Giachinta run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-5
17.6%
Chris Carter sacked by Quanzell Lambert for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 10
OPP 23
-5
16.8%
Daniel Grochowski run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
11.9%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+9
12.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Vance Matthews for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
11.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+7
12.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 7 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
11.2%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
11.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Marcus Applefield) to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+1
11.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 1 yd to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+28
12.2%
Joey Roth punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Edgar Poe at the ARMY 22 RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Army 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 1:3412% → 20%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
12.1%
Nicholas Black run for 4 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-1
12.4%
Chris Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 35Similar
Q3 0:19
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+65
19.6%
Chris Carter pass complete to Edgar Poe for 65 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0979% → 79%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
20.9%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
20.7%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-1
21.1%
Paul James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+15
22.5%
Roth, Joey punt 26 yards to the ARMY49, downed, PENALTY ARMY roughing the kicker (Holt, Calen) 15 yards to the RU40, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
19.0%
Paul James run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
18.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
19.1%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
20.6%
Joey Roth punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16INT
14 plays · 59 yds · 0:0019% → 23%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
18.8%
Chris Carter run for 4 yds to the Army 27 Chris Carter fumbled, forced by Djwany Mera, recovered by Army DeAndre BellSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
19.2%
Aaron Kemper run for no gain to the Army 27Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
18.3%
Christian Drake run for 4 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
19.2%
Tyler Campbell run for 6 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+7
19.9%
Tyler Campbell run for 7 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
20.4%
Aaron Kemper run for 1 yd to the Army 45Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
20.1%
Chris Carter run for 1 yd to the Army 46Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+9
19.0%
Tyler Campbell run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
21.8%
Langdon, Luke pass incomplete to Poe, Edgar, PENALTY RU pass interference (Wharton, Isaiah) 15 yards to the RU30, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
23.3%
Nicholas Black run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
23.6%
Matt Giachinta run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
22.0%
Chris Carter run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
23.6%
Aaron Kemper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
23.0%
Chris Carter pass intercepted, touchback. Josh Hicks return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17Uncategorized
14 plays · 51 yds · 3:4389% → 96%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
10.6%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
10.7%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
10.6%
Robert Martin run for 18 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
9.6%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
9.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Vance Matthews for 2 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
5.9%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
6.0%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
5.5%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
3.9%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
4.1%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:21
Paul James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
-11
TD · Q2 1:09
Chris Carter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q3 0:19
Chris Carter pass complete to Edgar Poe for 65 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com