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TULN

Tulane 34 at Army 31

ARMY
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+2.3ARMY 50.2%Andrew DiRocco 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 28 - HOME 28 · Q4 10:43
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:43 · Andrew DiRocco 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense−4.0Score differential−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 8:48: Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, forced by Tanzel Smart, recovered by Tulan Parry Nickerson , return for 48 yds, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +8.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:35: Josh Rounds run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +13.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:40: Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to John Trainor for 19 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK) — ARMY win probability +9.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:44: ARMY Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 8 — ARMY win probability +19.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Andrew DiRocco 35 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +35.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:48ARMY 4th & 11 at TULN 36, tied
    Close callWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%
    42% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:11TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:09ARMY 4th & 4 at TULN 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 9 at TULN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:38ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:44TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−2.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:56TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:47ARMY 4th & 18 at ARMY 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:30TULN 4th & 18 at TULN 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−4.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:28ARMY 4th & 1 at TULN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−3.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    49.3%−10.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:29TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:34ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:50ARMY 4th & 7 at TULN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−11.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:43TULN 4th & 3 at ARMY 14, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.5%−1.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−21.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:16ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:58TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:14TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:35TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:40ARMY Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:4450% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
50.1%
Aaron Kemper run for 2 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+37
50.1%
Christian Drake run for 47 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
50.1%
John Trainor run for no gain to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
50.1%
Joe Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
50.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+15
50.7%
Joe Walker pass complete to Ahmad Bradshaw for 25 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, clipping (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
51.2%
Aaron Kemper run for no gain to the Tulan 21Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
51.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
51.1%
Christian Drake run for 5 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
51.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
51.2%
Matt Giachinta run for 1 yd to the Tulan 3Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
54.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
53.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 4 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 16
OWN 4
+2
53.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 14
OWN 6
0
54.1%
Rob Kelley run for no gain to the Tulan 6Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 14
OWN 6
0
54.2%
Zachary Block punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Edgar Poe at the Tulan 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
55.7%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Mike Houghton) to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+31
55.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to John Trainor for 31 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
55.7%
Aaron Kemper run for 1 yd to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
55.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
55.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to John TrainorSimilar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 4
OPP 10
0
55.0%
DeAndre Bell pass incomplete to Kelvin White, broken up by Jarrod FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:0044% → 48%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
55.8%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 5Similar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 15
OWN 5
0
55.9%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+5
56.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+90
52.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 90 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5852% → 52%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.7%
Joe Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+31
51.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to John Trainor for 31 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
53.2%
Aaron Kemper run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
53.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 39 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, forced by Nico Marley, recovered by Army Drue Harris , return for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-2
53.5%
Aaron Kemper run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
52.1%
Alex Tardieu pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:3650% → 58%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
49.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
50.3%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+12
50.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 12 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
49.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Army 46Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+8
49.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 8 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+23
49.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 23 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
42.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 15 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1945% → 36%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
44.9%
Christian Drake run for 9 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
46.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
45.6%
Drue Harris run for 2 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-2
46.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 39 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Army Ahmad BradshawSimilar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+17
44.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Tyler Campbell for 17 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+48
36.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, forced by Tanzel Smart, recovered by Tulan Parry Nickerson , return for 48 yds, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
35.0%
Aaron Kemper run for no gain to the Army 36Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-6
34.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw sacked by Sean Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 30Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+6
33.8%
Tyler Campbell run for 6 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
34.1%
Alex Tardieu punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:4668% → 83%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
31.8%
Rob Kelley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+3
31.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 3 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+5
31.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 5 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
30.9%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+33
31.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 33 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
17.3%
Josh Rounds run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:4822% → 32%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
21.5%
Aaron Kemper run for 5 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
22.0%
Joe Walker run for 7 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+41
22.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 41 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
31.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to John Trainor for 19 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT TD
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:5072% → 62%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
27.7%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
28.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Trey ScottSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+16
28.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 16 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
27.4%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
27.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Trey Scott, broken up by Rhyan EnglandSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
28.1%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+21
38.5%
Zachary Block punt blocked by Andy Davidson blocked by Andy Davidson Kenneth Brinson return for 21 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
58.2%
ARMY Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
49.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 9 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
47.6%
Rob Kelley run for 6 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:5849% → 45%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
50.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
51.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 23
-9
51.9%
Tanner Lee sacked by Brandon Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 14
OWN 14
+4
54.6%
Zachary Block punt for 36 yds , Edgar Poe returns for 4 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0060% → 55%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
59.6%
Drue Harris run for 1 yd to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+3
59.5%
John Trainor run for 3 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-8
59.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw sacked by Corey Redwine for a loss of 8 yards to the Army 46 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, recovered by Army Matt Hugenberg , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 18
OWN 46
+12
54.7%
Alex Tardieu punt for 44 yds , Darion Monroe returns for 12 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
52.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-8
52.5%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 18
OWN 14
0
53.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Marcus HyattSimilar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 18
OWN 14
0
54.9%
Zachary Block punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
60.3%
Tyler Campbell run for 9 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
61.8%
Aaron Kemper run for no gain to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
60.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for no gain to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 1
OPP 28
-1
58.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
52.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+12
51.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
49.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
50.3%
Rob Kelley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
51.0%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
53.4%
Zachary Block punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Edgar Poe at the Army 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
56.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+3
56.8%
John Trainor run for 3 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
56.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Army 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Army Ahmad BradshawSimilar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+4
54.6%
Alex Tardieu punt for 45 yds , Darion Monroe returns for 4 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
51.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon Breaux, broken up by Xavier MossSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
52.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+17
51.0%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Brandon Jackson return for 17 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4862% → 60%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
61.8%
Aaron Kemper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+5
61.5%
Christian Drake run for 5 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+10
61.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 10 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
63.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
63.5%
Aaron Kemper run for 1 yd to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
62.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Matt Giachinta, broken up by Eric BowieSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
60.0%
Daniel Grochowski 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:5748% → 50%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
52.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 11 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
49.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 13 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
47.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
47.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Kenneth BrinsonSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+23
48.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 23 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
46.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
46.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 1
OPP 12
-2
47.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 14Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
50.2%
Andrew DiRocco 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 23TD
19 plays · 87 yds · 8:3758% → 64%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
57.7%
TULANE Penalty, offside defense (Royce LaFrance) to the Army 18Similar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 5
OWN 18
+12
58.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 12 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
58.9%
Aaron Kemper run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
58.8%
Tyler Campbell run for 7 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
60.8%
Matt Giachinta run for 6 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
62.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
62.7%
Elijah St. Hilaire run for 5 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+7
62.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
63.6%
Christian Drake run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+6
63.8%
Aaron Kemper run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+6
63.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
65.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+9
65.6%
Matt Giachinta run for 9 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
68.3%
Aaron Kemper run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 11Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
68.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to DeAndre BellSimilar
Q4 1:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
64.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 11 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 1:5349% → 95%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
51.3%
ARMY Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 5
OWN 28
+5
48.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 5 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
49.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 14 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
44.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 13 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
41.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Army 40Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
41.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman Badie, broken up by Brandon JacksonSimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+12
44.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 12 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
38.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+7
38.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 7 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+35
5.4%
Andrew DiRocco 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Andrew DiRocco 35 yd FG GOOD
-35.1
TD · Q2 0:44
ARMY Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 8
+19.7
TD · Q2 3:35
Josh Rounds run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com