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COLO

Colorado 14 at Utah 20

UTAH
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:30 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:36: Cade Apsay pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 28 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +6.5 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 9:37: Joe Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +8.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:13: Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 16 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +11.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:13: Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 31 — UTAH win probability +5.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:30: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 42 — UTAH win probability +7.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 9COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 10:43COLO 4th & 14 at UTAH 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:40COLO 4th & 1 at UTAH 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:38UTAH 4th & 23 at UTAH 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:08COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 24, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:27UTAH 4th & 4 at COLO 19, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:21COLO 4th & 19 at COLO 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:26UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:15UTAH 4th & 17 at UTAH 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:35COLO 4th & 4 at UTAH 42, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:48UTAH 4th & 4 at COLO 9, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.1%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−4.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:42COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 44, down 13
    Close callPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:27UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00COLO 4th & 24 at COLO 12, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−1.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:05UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 41, up 13
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:09COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 29, down 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:45UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 44, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:36COLO 4th & 2 at UTAH 43, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:36UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 32, up 6
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:28COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:45UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:36COLO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:37UTAH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:13COLO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:1716% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
84.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 17 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
84.4%
Cade Apsay pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
84.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+9
84.4%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 9 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
84.4%
Cade Apsay run for no gain to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
84.4%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 13 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
84.4%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Sean Irwin for 16 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Utah 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.4%
Cade Apsay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-6
84.4%
Cade Apsay sacked by Viliseni Fauonuku for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 14Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
83.2%
Diego Gonzalez 31 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kylie FittsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:5883% → 84%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
83.2%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
83.1%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+11
83.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 11 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
83.2%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+8
83.3%
Travis Wilson run for 8 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
83.4%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
83.3%
Joe Williams run for 11 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
83.5%
Wallace Gonzalez run for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 44 Wallace Gonzalez fumbled, recovered by Utah Wallace Gonzalez , return for 10 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+9
83.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 9 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
83.5%
Joe Williams run for 8 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+8
83.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 8 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
83.5%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
83.1%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
84.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 16 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3INT
9 plays · 87 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
83.5%
Cade Apsay pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+1
83.6%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the Colo 6Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+17
83.8%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Sean Irwin for 17 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+50
83.5%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 50 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
82.5%
Cade Apsay run for 14 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Jason Whittingham) to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
82.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 8Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.5%
Cade Apsay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
82.8%
Cade Apsay pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for 8 yds to the Utah 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:3283% → 83%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
83.1%
Joe Williams run for 9 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+5
83.3%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
83.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 11 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
83.4%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
83.7%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
83.4%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Colo 48 Joe Williams fumbled, forced by Jordan Carrell, recovered by Colo Kenneth OlugbodeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0918% → 18%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
81.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
81.6%
Cade Apsay pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+5
81.7%
Cade Apsay run for 5 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-1
82.5%
Cade Apsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 44 Cade Apsay fumbled, recovered by Colo Cade ApsaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
84.0%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-4
83.7%
Travis Wilson sacked by Samson Kafovalu for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 14
OWN 40
-9
83.2%
Travis Wilson sacked by Jimmie Gilbert for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 23
OWN 31
-3
82.6%
Tom Hackett punt for 50 yds , Nelson Spruce returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
82.9%
Cade Apsay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
83.1%
Cade Apsay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+8
83.4%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Patrick Carr for 8 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 2
OWN 24
+1
83.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 36 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 1 yd to the Utah 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:5284% → 85%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
83.9%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+19
83.5%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Samson Kafovalu) to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
84.1%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
84.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 15 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
84.3%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
84.3%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
83.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
84.8%
Andy Phillips 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
84.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
84.5%
Cade Apsay pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-12
84.8%
Cade Apsay sacked by Kylie Fitts and Jason Fanaika for a loss of 12 yards to the Colo 15Similar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
85.3%
Alex Kinney punt for 47 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for no gain to the Utah 33 Boobie Hobbs fumbled, recovered by Colo Jered BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 1:1117% → 24%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
82.8%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+4
82.8%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Devin Ross for 4 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+28
76.3%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 28 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-4
78.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 13Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 14
OWN 13
0
78.3%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 14
OWN 13
0
77.7%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 14
OWN 13
0
77.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
76.5%
Cade Apsay pass intercepted Cory Butler-Byrd return for 29 yds to the Utah 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0080% → 77%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
79.8%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the UTAH 48 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (Kenneth Scott) to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 17
OWN 42
0
78.6%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 17
OWN 42
0
78.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Joe Williams, broken up by Kenneth OlugbodeSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 17
OWN 42
0
77.8%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
77.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:0022% → 23%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
77.6%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete, broken up by Kylie Fitts for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Kylie Fitts) to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
77.5%
Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
77.6%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 11 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
76.8%
Gehrke, Jordan pass incomplete to Fields, Shay (Allen, Brian), PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Allen, Brian) 15 yards to the UTAH48, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
75.3%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Patrick Carr for 6 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
75.2%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
75.6%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
76.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 21 yds, downed at the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15INT
7 plays · 61 yds · 0:2477% → 79%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+64
77.3%
Joe Williams run for 64 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
80.3%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
80.3%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the Colo 13Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 8
OWN 0
-15
75.3%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Scott, Kenneth (Bell, Jered), PENALTY COLO personal foul (Bell, Jered) 11 yards to the COLO2, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY, PENALTY UTAH personal foul (Scott, Kenneth) 15 yards to the COLO17.Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
79.2%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 18Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+14
79.2%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted Tedric Thompson return for 14 yds to the Colo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
76.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:1677% → 87%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
76.6%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
76.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+9
75.4%
Travis Wilson run for 9 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
77.8%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
78.0%
Joe Williams run for 7 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
78.0%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
78.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 6 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
78.6%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
78.1%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
79.0%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
79.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Bubba PooleSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+28
78.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 28 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.0%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
85.0%
Jordan Gehrke pass intercepted Gionni Paul return for 4 yds to the Colo 28 Gionni Paul fumbled, forced by Phillip Lindsay, recovered by Utah Gionni PaulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3787% → 90%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
87.0%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+4
87.0%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+4
86.3%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
87.0%
Travis Wilson run for 7 yds to the Colo 8Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+1
87.0%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Colo 7Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-2
86.3%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 9Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
90.1%
Andy Phillips 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
89.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 19Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
89.8%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete to Sean Irwin, broken up by Gionni PaulSimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+17
90.0%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 17 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
88.9%
Patrick Carr run for 7 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
88.2%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-1
88.3%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 44Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+5
89.0%
Alex Kinney punt for 40 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 5 yds to the Utah 49 UTAH Penalty, illegal block (Jared Norris) to the Utah 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
91.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 6Similar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 15
OWN 6
0
91.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth Scott, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 15
OWN 6
+7
91.6%
Joe Williams run for 7 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+10
91.2%
Travis Wilson run for 10 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
91.9%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+4
91.9%
Delshawn McClellon run for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 26 Delshawn McClellon fumbled, recovered by Utah Delshawn McClellon , return for 4 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
91.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
91.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:419% → 8%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
91.2%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-4
91.4%
Jordan Gehrke sacked by Viliseni Fauonuku for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 23
-11
91.8%
Jordan Gehrke sacked by Viliseni Fauonuku for a loss of 11 yards to the Colo 12Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 12
+54
91.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 44 yds UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
94.3%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
94.2%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+1
94.4%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
93.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:248% → 5%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.5%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete to Phillip Lindsay, broken up by Jason FanaikaSimilar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
92.5%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 1 yd to the Colo 21Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+8
92.6%
Jordan Gehrke run for 8 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
94.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 34 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for no gain to the Utah 39 Boobie Hobbs fumbled, recovered by Utah Boobie HobbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1596% → 96%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
95.7%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+8
95.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 8 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-2
95.6%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
95.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:235% → 17%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.5%
Jaleel Awini run for 5 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
95.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
95.1%
Jaleel Awini run for 5 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+10
95.0%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Sean Irwin for 10 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.0%
Jordan Gehrke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
95.0%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 7 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
94.9%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+8
95.0%
Jaleel Awini run for 8 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
94.4%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
94.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 17 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
94.2%
Jaleel Awini run for 2 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
94.2%
Jordan Gehrke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
83.2%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 16 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3792% → 94%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.7%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
91.9%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
91.2%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
93.8%
Tom Hackett punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:008% → 11%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
92.0%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Dylan Keeney for 6 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-11
91.4%
Jordan Gehrke sacked by Kylie Fitts for a loss of 11 yards to the Colo 14Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+8
93.1%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+23
92.7%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 23 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
90.6%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 8 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-10
88.9%
Jordan Gehrke sacked by Viliseni Fauonuku for a loss of 10 yards to the Colo 41 Jordan Gehrke fumbled, recovered by Utah Jared Norris , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:13
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 16 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)
-11
TD · Q3 9:37
Joe Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+8.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:30
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 42
+7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com