Try the model
WSU

Washington State 10 at Washington 45

WASH
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2015 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:49 · Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gerard Wicks
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense+27.3Score differential+19.8Pregame prior+3.4Garbage-time factor+6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:50: Cameron Van Winkle 24 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +6.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:21: Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +7.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:00: Peyton Bender pass intercepted for a TD Sidney Jones return for 69 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +12.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:14: Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +9.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:55: Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +8.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:31WSU 4th & 5 at WASH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:31WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:31WSU 4th & 10 at WASH 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51WSU 4th & 12 at WASH 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:50WASH 4th & 2 at WSU 6, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:44WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54WASH 4th & 25 at WSU 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:54WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:49WSU 4th & 7 at WASH 47, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:05WASH 4th & 7 at WSU 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:09WASH 4th & 10 at WSU 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:39WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:21WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:00WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:14WSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:38WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:2936% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
64.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to John Thompson for 16 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
64.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+6
64.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+9
64.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
64.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
50
+21
64.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Gabe Marks for 21 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
64.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Tyler Baker for 4 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+1
64.1%
Keith Harrington run for 1 yd to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
64.1%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
63.4%
Erik Powell 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
63.4%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+4
63.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 4 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+10
63.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
63.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+3
63.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
63.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 6
OWN 38
-5
63.3%
[PUNT], PENALTY WASH delay of game (Durkee, Korey) 5 yards to the WASH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
63.1%
Korey Durkee punt for 36 yds, downed at the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
62.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete, broken up by Budda BakerSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
62.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to John Thompson for 12 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
62.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 27 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
62.0%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-29
62.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Keith Harrington for a loss of 29 yards Keith Harrington fumbled, forced by Keishawn Bierria, recovered by Wash Azeem VictorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:4064% → 66%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
63.6%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 48 Jake Browning fumbled,Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+10
63.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+12
63.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 12 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
65.9%
Chico McClatcher run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:0335% → 36%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Gabe Marks for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-4
64.3%
Peyton Bender sacked by Cory Littleton for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
65.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
64.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Robert Lewis for 3 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
64.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 20 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
63.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Tyler Baker for 19 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
63.4%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
63.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
63.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
64.4%
Erik Powell 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:3165% → 65%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
64.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 9 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
65.0%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
64.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
65.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
64.7%
Korey Durkee punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gabe Marks at the WshSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
64.6%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 14Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+23
64.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to John Thompson for 23 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
64.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+9
63.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Daniel Lilienthal for 9 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
63.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-7
62.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the Wash 38 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
63.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
64.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Budda BakerSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
65.1%
Zach Charme punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8FG
12 plays · 84 yds · 5:3465% → 71%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
64.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+41
64.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 41 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
66.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+16
66.4%
Jake Browning run for 16 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
66.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-5
66.8%
WASHINGTON Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
66.8%
Jaydon Mickens run for 12 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-6
66.8%
Jake Browning sacked by Destiny Vaeao and Darryl Paulo for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 16
OPP 20
+4
66.4%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 12
OPP 16
-5
65.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 17
OPP 21
+15
65.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 15 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q2 5:50
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+24
71.4%
Cameron Van Winkle 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
70.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+5
69.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
70.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Gabe Marks for 2 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
69.9%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
70.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Brian ClaySimilar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
71.4%
Zach Charme punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:4072% → 81%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
71.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 9 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+7
73.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
73.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+43
73.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 43 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
73.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
74.1%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Destiny Vaeao) to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0021% → 25%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
78.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
78.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 5 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+14
77.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 14 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
76.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+4
76.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
75.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 9 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 1
OPP 23
-9
75.4%
Peyton Bender sacked by Joe Mathis for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 32 Peyton Bender fumbled, recovered by Wash Jaylen Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12KICKOFF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
80.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
14 plays · 30 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
82.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-1
82.8%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-5
82.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Siosifa Tufunga) to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+14
82.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 14 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
82.9%
Jake Browning run for 8 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
83.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+5
82.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
50
+17
83.5%
Chico McClatcher run for 17 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
83.4%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
83.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 11
OPP 34
-5
82.8%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Siosifa Tufunga) to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 16
OPP 39
-9
82.6%
Jake Browning sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 25
OPP 48
0
81.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Gabe Marks at the WshSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14INT TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:3816% → 6%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
84.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
83.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to John Thompson, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+30
84.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Robert Lewis for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
50
+12
81.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 12 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
81.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Taniela TupouSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+69
94.0%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted for a TD Sidney Jones return for 69 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.4%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
94.4%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
94.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
94.6%
Zach Charme punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
95.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 12 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
95.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
95.6%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+66
95.5%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Marcellus Pippins return for 66 yds to the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:306% → 15%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
94.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 9 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
94.2%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+6
94.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 6 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
94.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 6Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
94.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:1789% → 98%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
89.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 8 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+19
89.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 19 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
89.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 8 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
90.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
90.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Marvin Hall for 8 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
90.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
89.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
90.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+13
90.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 13 yds to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
90.1%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
98.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 12 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
97.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 5 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
97.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gerard Wicks, broken up by Psalm Wooching for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Psalm Wooching) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
50
+8
97.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
97.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
97.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-5
97.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Jamal Morrow) to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
97.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:1899% → 99%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
98.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+20
98.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 20 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
98.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+1
98.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
98.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.6%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the WshSt 19Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
98.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+3
98.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
98.8%
Cameron Van Winkle 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Gabe Marks for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
98.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-5
98.8%
Peyton Bender sacked by Will Dissly for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 18 Peyton Bender fumbled, recovered by Wash Shane Bowman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.0%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-3
99.0%
Chico McClatcher run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+36
99.1%
Tristan Vizcaino 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23FUMBLE TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
99.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds for a TD Gabe Marks fumbled, forced by Kevin King, recovered by Wash Darren Gardenhire , return for 28 yds, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+27
99.9%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted for a TD Azeem Victor return for 27 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
99.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the WASHINGTON 48 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (Shane Bowman) to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
99.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 10 yds to the Wash 23 Gerard Wicks fumbled, forced by Vita Vea, recovered by Wash Kevin KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+10
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 10 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 13 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-2
99.9%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:00
Peyton Bender pass intercepted for a TD Sidney Jones return for 69 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+12.1
TD · Q3 4:14
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q4 14:55
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com