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WASH

Washington 52 at Oregon State 7

ORST
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Home team on offense−51.8Pregame prior−11.5Score differential−29.8Garbage-time factor−13.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:38: Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 18 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +1.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:40: Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 19 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +1.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 9:35: Cameron Van Winkle 32 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +0.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:08: Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 10 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:06: Deontae Cooper run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 4 of 8WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:49ORST 4th & 12 at ORST 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:00WASH 4th & 1 at ORST 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:05ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:16ORST 4th & 18 at WASH 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ORST 4th & 3 at ORST 27, down 28
    Close callPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:35WASH 4th & 12 at ORST 14, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:35ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 34, down 38
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:29WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 47, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:18ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 28, down 38
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 29, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00WASH 4th & 1 at ORST 16, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:55WASH 4th & 3 at ORST 20, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:55WASH 4th & 10 at ORST 15, up 45
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:05ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 20, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:09WASH 4th & 8 at ORST 21, up 45
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:09WASH 4th & 10 at ORST 11, up 45
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:55WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:45WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:38WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:40WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:08WASH Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:06WASH Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:30ORST Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:0586% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
13.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+23
13.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 23 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
13.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
13.9%
Nick Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-2
13.9%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
13.9%
Nick Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
13.9%
Nick Porebski punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 6:1586% → 86%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
14.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-2
14.0%
Jake Browning sacked by Jaswha James for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+9
14.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 9 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
14.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
-2
14.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+14
14.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 14 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
14.0%
Chico McClatcher run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+1
14.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+5
14.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 5 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+4
14.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
14.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+5
14.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.7%
Chico McClatcher run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3215% → 12%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
14.5%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
14.6%
Paul Lucas run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
14.7%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+89
11.7%
Nick Porebski punt for 48 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 89 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 1:4412% → 12%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
11.5%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+76
11.5%
Paul Lucas run for 76 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
12.4%
Nick Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
12.4%
Woods,Storm rush for 3 yards to the WASH5 (Victor, Azeem), PENALTY OSU holding (Lauina, Fred) 10 yards to the WASH18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
12.3%
Nick Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
0
12.0%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor Bolden, broken up by Azeem VictorSimilar
Q1 3:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+36
11.8%
Garrett Owens 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:3889% → 91%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
10.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 16 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
10.9%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
10.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
11.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
10.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+6
10.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 6 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
10.9%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+23
10.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 23 yds to the OrgSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
9.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 18 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:337% → 7%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
7.3%
Paul Lucas run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
7.2%
Paul Lucas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
7.2%
Nick Mitchell run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
6.9%
Nick Porebski punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:3791% → 93%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
9.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
9.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
9.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
9.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 25 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
8.8%
Jaydon Mickens pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
8.9%
Jake Browning run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
7.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 19 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
6.2%
Nick Mitchell run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 12 Nick Mitchell fumbled, forced by Azeem Victor, recovered by Wash Sidney Jones , return for 10 yds to the OrgSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5393% → 93%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
7.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-5
7.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+2
7.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 12Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-2
7.5%
Jake Browning sacked by Treston Decoud for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
6.6%
Cameron Van Winkle 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.9%
Ryan Nall run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
4.7%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
4.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Noah Togiai for 1 yd to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
4.6%
Nick Porebski punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wash 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
5.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+7
5.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
5.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 6
50
+3
5.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 3 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-5
5.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, delay of game (Jake Browning) to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-10
5.4%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Perkins, Joshua for 38 yards to the OSU14 (Ovgard, Gabe), PENALTY WASH holding (Kirkland, A.) 10 yards to the WASH38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+9
5.5%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
5.8%
Korey Durkee punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
2.2%
Marcus McMaryion run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
2.2%
Damien Haskins run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+8
2.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 8 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
2.2%
Nick Porebski punt for 39 yds , Dante Pettis returns for no gain to the Wash 28 OREGON ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:1996% → 98%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
4.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 8
50
+17
4.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 17 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
4.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+14
4.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 14 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
2.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 10 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
1.4%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.8%
Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
1.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
1.7%
Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:5798% → 99%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
2.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 4 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+8
2.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
2.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+8
2.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
2.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
2.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
2.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 7 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
2.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
1.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+10
1.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
1.2%
Deontae Cooper run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 2:301% → 1%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
0.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-3
0.5%
Ryan Nall run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 13
OWN 13
+19
0.6%
Victor Bolden run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 17 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.6%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+37
0.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ryan Nall for 37 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
0.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 4 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
0.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 24 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 5:2499% → 100%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
0.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+10
0.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 10 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
0.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
0.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+7
0.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
0.8%
Jomon Dotson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
0.8%
Jomon Dotson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+3
0.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-2
0.5%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20INT
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
0.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
0.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Brent VanderVeenSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+12
0.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 12 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.3%
Marcus McMaryion run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
0.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 4 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+6
0.3%
Marcus McMaryion run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
0.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 19 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+55
0.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass intercepted Jordan Miller return for 55 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
0.3%
Jomon Dotson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 22 Jomon Dotson fumbled, forced by Jaswha James,Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
0.3%
Jomon Dotson run for no gain to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+2
0.3%
Jomon Dotson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+5
0.4%
Jomon Dotson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
0.3%
Jomon Dotson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
0.3%
Jomon Dotson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-5
0.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+1
0.3%
Jomon Dotson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+4
0.4%
Jomon Dotson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
0.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Storm Barrs-WoodsSimilar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
0.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+9
0.1%
Marcus McMaryion run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+38
0.2%
Nick Porebski punt for 41 yds , Chico McClatcher returns for 38 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
0.2%
Ralph Kinne run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 11
OPP 24
-4
0.2%
K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Ricky Ortiz for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 15
OPP 28
+7
0.2%
Ralph Kinne run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+10
0.2%
Ralph Kinne run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
0.2%
Ralph Kinne run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+3
0.2%
Ralph Kinne run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-1
0.2%
Ralph Kinne run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+2
0.2%
Ralph Kinne run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
0.1%
Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+3
0.1%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+12
0.1%
Ryan Nall run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:38
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 18 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-1.7
TD · Q2 11:40
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 19 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-1.6
TD · Q2 0:08
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 10 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com