Try the model
WSU

Washington State 31 at UCLA 27

UCLA
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Rose Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:46 · Zach Charme punt for 55 yds, downed at the UCLA 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Pregame prior+24.9Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:30: Dom Williams 7 Yd pass from Peyton Bender (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +14.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:59: Gabe Marks 4 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +18.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:40: Erik Powell 25 Yd Field Goal — WSU win probability +11.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:09: Josh Rosen 37 Yd Run (Josh Rosen Pass to Thomas Duarte for Two-Point Conversion) — UCLA win probability +59.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:03: Gabe Marks 21 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +59.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:46WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:44UCLA 4th & 4 at WSU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:51WSU 4th & 5 at UCLA 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:19UCLA 4th & 5 at WSU 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−3.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:54WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:42UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:49WSU 4th & 16 at UCLA 43, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:07WSU 4th & 20 at WSU 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:11UCLA 4th & 7 at WSU 20, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:11UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 47, up 2
    Close callPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:02WSU 4th & 9 at UCLA 43, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−1.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:38UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 24, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00WSU 4th & 6 at UCLA 37, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−1.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:40WSU 4th & 7 at UCLA 8, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−16.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:10UCLA 4th & 15 at WSU 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−6.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−11.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:31WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:14UCLA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:30WSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:59WSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:09UCLA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    74.4%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:03WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:4424% → 25%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
75.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 17Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 17
-9
75.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Takkarist McKinley and Deon Hollins for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 8Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 21
OWN 8
-4
75.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-4 Yards) to the WshSt 4Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 25
OWN 4
+16
75.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 16 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
75.4%
Zach Charme punt for 55 yds, downed at the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:0275% → 75%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
75.3%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Jake Brendel) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+13
75.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Paul Perkins for 13 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+45
75.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 45 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
75.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 14 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
75.5%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
75.4%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-5
75.3%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 7Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 0
OPP 7
-5
75.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 12Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 0
OPP 12
+5
75.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 7Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
75.1%
Josh Rosen run for 3 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
75.3%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5125% → 29%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
74.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 11 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 5 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
74.5%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Matt Dickerson) to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-11
74.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Takkarist McKinley for loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 41 Luke Walk fumbled, recovered by WshSt WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Luke Falk) to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 21
OWN 41
0
74.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 21
OWN 41
+16
74.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 16 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+8
74.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 8 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
73.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 9 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+12
73.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 12 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
73.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 6 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+6
73.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.7%
Gerard Wicks 2 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4FG
18 plays · 74 yds · 3:4171% → 72%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
71.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 3 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+8
71.4%
Paul Perkins run for 8 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
71.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
71.3%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+17
70.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 17 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
72.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 9 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+4
72.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 4 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
72.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
71.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for no gain to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+16
71.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 16 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
72.2%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+19
72.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 19 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+1
72.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (1 Yards) to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
72.0%
Nate Iese run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
71.2%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
71.8%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 4:0830% → 30%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
70.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 19 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
70.0%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+10
70.2%
Keith Harrington run for 10 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
69.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-12
69.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 3 yds to the WshSt 46 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 22
OWN 31
-10
69.8%
Luke Falk sacked by Kenny Clark for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 32
OWN 21
+3
69.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 3 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 29
OWN 24
+11
70.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 11 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
70.3%
Zach Charme punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5670% → 70%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.2%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
70.4%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
69.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Thomas DuarteSimilar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
69.6%
TEAM punt for 21 yds, downed at the WshSt 48 (blocked by Dylan Hanser)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2633% → 32%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
67.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+10
66.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 10 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
66.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-6
65.4%
Tavares Martin Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 16
OPP 43
0
66.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
67.7%
Zach Charme punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
12 plays · 94 yds · 3:1768% → 80%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
68.2%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+18
68.2%
Paul Perkins run for 18 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
68.6%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+8
68.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 8 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
69.1%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+18
69.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 18 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
70.4%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-5
71.4%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Caleb Benenoch) to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+14
70.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 14 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
71.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
71.1%
Soso Jamabo run for 12 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
79.6%
Nate Starks 14 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:5723% → 22%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
77.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 16 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
75.9%
UCLA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
74.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Jacob Seydel) to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+4
76.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-9
75.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Jacob Tuioti-Mariner for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 46 Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 20
OWN 46
0
77.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 20
OWN 46
+12
78.0%
Zach Charme punt for 52 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 12 yds to the UCLA 14 Ishmael Adams fumbled, recovered by WshStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:3326% → 40%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
73.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
73.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+7
74.3%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (7 Yards) to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
59.7%
Dom Williams 7 Yd pass from Peyton Bender (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 1:0766% → 72%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
66.0%
Paul Perkins run for 11 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
66.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
66.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+11
64.8%
Josh Rosen run for 11 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
68.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Thomas DuarteSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
66.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+8
68.6%
Paul Perkins run for 8 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
68.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
67.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 15 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
69.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Paul Perkins for 2 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
69.0%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+1
67.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Paul Perkins for 1 yd to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
71.6%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+50
69.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Keith Harrington for 50 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:1871% → 71%
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
71.0%
Nate Starks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+6
70.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+9
70.5%
Paul Perkins run for 9 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
72.4%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+12
70.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Paul Perkins for 12 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-1
71.9%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
70.5%
Kenneth Walker III punt for no gain, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:0834% → 55%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
66.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
66.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-5
66.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+13
67.5%
Luke Falk run for 13 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
64.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
64.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 7 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+16
65.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 16 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
63.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+2
63.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
65.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
63.6%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 4Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.8%
Gabe Marks 4 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15FUMBLE
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:0951% → 54%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
51.4%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+5
51.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 5 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
50.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+8
50.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 8 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
51.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 2 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
52.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+10
50.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 10 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
53.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 10 yds Darren Andrews fumbled, forced by Hercules Mata'afa, recovered by WshSt Darrien MoltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:1755% → 54%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
44.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+9
44.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
42.9%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
41.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Keith HarringtonSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-5
42.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
42.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
45.8%
Zach Charme punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1747% → 43%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
46.9%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 2Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+9
46.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 9 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+5
44.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 5 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
46.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for no gain to the UCLA 16Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
45.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 8 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
45.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
43.3%
Matt Mengel punt for 29 yds, downed at the WshSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FG
18 plays · 45 yds · 4:4362% → 76%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
38.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
37.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
37.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 4 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
36.2%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
37.3%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-5
36.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Cole Madison) to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
37.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+10
39.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 10 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
34.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyrin PriesterSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
35.2%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
34.2%
Luke Falk sacked by Kenny Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+2
34.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+5
35.4%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+7
34.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 7 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
32.2%
Luke Falk sacked by Kenny Clark for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
32.6%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+7
35.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 7 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
23.6%
Erik Powell 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 4:1827% → 33%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
26.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+14
26.3%
Paul Perkins run for 14 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
26.6%
Josh Rosen run for 5 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+17
28.2%
Paul Perkins run for 17 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
30.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+16
29.6%
Paul Perkins run for 16 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
32.2%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 15
OPP 34
-5
29.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Alex Redmond) to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 20
OPP 39
+10
26.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Starks for 10 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+14
26.5%
Josh Rosen run for 14 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
29.9%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
28.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-5
25.6%
UCLA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 15
OPP 20
0
22.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+38
33.4%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20INT
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:4573% → 86%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
26.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 21Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
26.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
25.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
21.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 12 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
18.3%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
18.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 8 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+21
17.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 21 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
13.8%
Luke Falk pass intercepted, touchback. Jaleel Wadood return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 1:5727% → 91%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
26.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
25.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 5 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+12
25.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
27.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
26.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+13
24.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
50
+9
30.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
33.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Nate StarksSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
31.1%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
90.9%
Josh Rosen 37 Yd Run (Josh Rosen Pass to Thomas Duarte for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:0022% → 92%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.9%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
78.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 16 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
75.5%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+30
73.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 30 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
67.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
68.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+21
8.5%
Gabe Marks 21 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
16.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Paul PerkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:09
Josh Rosen 37 Yd Run (Josh Rosen Pass to Thomas Duarte for Two-Point Conversion)
+59.7
TD · Q4 0:03
Gabe Marks 21 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)
-59.6
TD · Q3 7:59
Gabe Marks 4 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)
-18.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com