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WASH

Washington 17 at Arizona State 27

ASU
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.7ASU 37.9%Zane Gonzalez 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 3 · Q2 2:21
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Q2 2:21 · Zane Gonzalez 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense−11.0Pregame prior+7.1Garbage-time factor−3.3Score differential−6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:20: Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 29 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +14.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:56: Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +15.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:52: Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 32 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +26.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:25: Zane Gonzalez 23 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +9.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:59: Kalen Ballage run for 48 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +29.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 9 of 13WASH made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00WASH 4th & 14 at ASU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:32ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:57WASH 4th & 8 at ASU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:51ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 19, down 3
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:43ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:55WASH 4th & 7 at ASU 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00ASU 4th & 18 at ASU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:35WASH 4th & 4 at ASU 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:26ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:49WASH 4th & 1 at ASU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−1.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:20ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:18WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−2.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:21ASU 4th & 4 at WASH 22, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−4.5
    average punt
  14. Q2 2:21WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, up 14
    Close callPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:27ASU 4th & 25 at ASU 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 15:00ASU 4th & 16 at ASU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−2.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 12:59WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−4.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 9:56WASH 4th & 1 at ASU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%−3.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−4.9
    average punt
  19. Q3 6:36ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  20. Q3 0:49WASH 4th & 16 at ASU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−2.9
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−7.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 13:52WASH 4th & 20 at WASH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−8.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:25ASU 4th & 5 at WASH 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−21.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:39ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−0.2
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:28ASU 4th & 10 at WASH 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:50WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:20WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:56ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:52ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:59ASU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
63.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 21 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
63.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 5 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+17
63.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 17 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
63.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
63.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon Mickens, broken up by Kweishi BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 31
-5
63.4%
[NHSG], PENALTY WASH false start (Shelton, C.) 5 yards to the ASU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 36
0
63.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 36
+8
63.4%
Jake Browning punt for 30 yds , Jordan Simone returns for 8 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
63.3%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+3
63.3%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 3
OWN 21
-7
63.2%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Brian Clay and Travis Feeney for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
63.1%
Matt Haack punt for 51 yds, downed at the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:0337% → 37%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+46
63.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Marvin Hall for 46 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
62.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
62.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
62.8%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
62.8%
Cameron Van Winkle 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
62.8%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+3
62.8%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
62.6%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 3
OWN 19
+2
62.5%
Matt Haack punt for 50 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 2 yds to the Wash 21 WASHINGTON Penalty, illegal block (Jordan Miller) to the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:3737% → 41%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
62.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
62.5%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
62.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
62.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 3 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
62.2%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+53
62.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 53 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
59.8%
Bercovici, Mike pass incomplete to Lucien, Devin, PENALTY ASU illegal block (Teofilo, Vi) 9 yards to the ASU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+4
59.7%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+21
59.7%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 21 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
59.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 5 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-1
60.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
59.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
59.7%
Matt Haack punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0041% → 42%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
58.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the Wash 23Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+13
58.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 13 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
58.2%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+19
58.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Marvin Hall for 19 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
57.8%
Marvin Hall run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
57.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Marvin HallSimilar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
57.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 7
OPP 42
+22
58.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 32 yds, downed at the ArzSt 10 WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:2856% → 54%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
56.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 6 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-2
56.4%
Mike Bercovici run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 26 Mike Bercovici fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Mike BercoviciSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+10
56.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 10 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
56.5%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 5 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
56.9%
Gump Hayes run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
56.9%
[NHSG], Wilkins, Manny pass complete to Hayes, D. for no gain to the ASU46 (Clay, Brian), PENALTY ASU illegal block (Kelly, Nick) 15 yards to the ASU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+2
56.1%
D.J. Foster run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 23
OWN 33
+5
56.1%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 38
0
54.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Kalen BallageSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 38
0
54.1%
Matt Haack punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:1345% → 48%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
55.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 12 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
55.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Marvin Hall, broken up by Ismael Murphy-RichardsonSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
55.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+7
55.0%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
54.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 17 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
54.3%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+7
54.3%
Marvin Hall run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
51.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
52.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
51.3%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
51.5%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
51.1%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
50.5%
Matt Haack punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:1649% → 65%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
51.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 12 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
50.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+11
50.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 11 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
50.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Marvin HallSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
50.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 6 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+3
50.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 3 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+2
49.2%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
34.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 29 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.5%
Mike Bercovici run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
40.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 6 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
40.7%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
40.9%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-2
40.6%
Mike Bercovici run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+4
40.0%
Matt Haack punt for 45 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 4 yds to the Wash 48 WASHINGTON Penalty, illegal block (Jordan Miller) to the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
34.4%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 6Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+5
34.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 5 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
34.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+4
35.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 47 yds , Gump Hayes returns for 4 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:2538% → 38%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
37.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+24
38.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gary Chambers for 24 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
39.2%
Frederick Gammage sacked by Keishawn Bierria for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 14
OPP 32
0
38.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Gary ChambersSimilar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+10
37.2%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 10 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
37.9%
Zane Gonzalez 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.0%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
35.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
35.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+28
36.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gump Hayes at the ARIZONAST 25 WASHINGTON Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
36.3%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Kody KohlSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
35.5%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 11 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
37.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
37.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. Foster, broken up by Azeem VictorSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
36.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 10
OPP 49
-15
35.7%
Haack, Matt punt 40 yards to the WASH9, fair catch by Pettis, Dante, PENALTY ASU illegal use of hands (Sam, Christian) 15 yards to the ASU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 25
OWN 36
+10
34.4%
Matt Haack punt for 54 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 10 yds to the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
32.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
32.5%
Deontae Cooper run for 11 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
33.6%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 12 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
34.5%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
35.2%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-8
34.2%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Cory Littleton for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+17
33.0%
Matt Haack punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 25 , Dante Pettis returns for 17 yds to the Wash 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
30.1%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
30.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Ismael Murphy-Richardson for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
31.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Marvin HallSimilar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+12
31.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 51 yds , Gump Hayes returns for 12 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:2931% → 49%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
31.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 26 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
33.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 20 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
33.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 5 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+6
33.3%
D.J. Foster run for 6 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
48.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:0059% → 60%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
41.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 15 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
38.6%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+9
38.4%
Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
38.0%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+10
38.1%
Jake Browning run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
38.1%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
39.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
41.3%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
43.1%
Mike Bercovici run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
42.1%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+6
40.0%
Matt Haack punt for 55 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 6 yds to the Wash 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23MISSED FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:3163% → 66%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
37.3%
[SG], PENALTY WASH false start (Adams, Trey) 5 yards to the WASH6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+1
37.7%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd to the Wash 7Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 14
OWN 7
+8
38.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 8 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+8
38.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 8 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+43
37.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 43 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
33.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+6
33.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
33.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
33.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua Perkins, broken up by James JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-9
33.9%
Jake Browning sacked by Antonio Longino for a loss of 9 yards to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 0:49
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+45
34.3%
Cameron Van Winkle 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:5737% → 65%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
37.2%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 8 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+12
39.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
40.7%
Mike Bercovici run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+8
38.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 8 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+5
38.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
38.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+32
65.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 32 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0045% → 42%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Marvin Hall, broken up by Christian SamSimilar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
55.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Deontae CooperSimilar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
56.5%
Jake Browning sacked by Tashon Smallwood for a loss of 10 yards to the Wash 15Similar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
58.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 54 yds, downed at the ArzSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:3260% → 72%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
59.5%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
59.5%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+6
59.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 6 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
62.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 14 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
63.7%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
63.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+14
62.6%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 14 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
64.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gump Hayes for 7 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (Psalm Wooching) to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
64.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
64.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 4 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
62.9%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Keishawn Bierria for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 5Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
72.4%
Zane Gonzalez 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 27INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0034% → 37%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
66.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
64.1%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+28
65.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 28 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-8
59.9%
Jake Browning sacked by Antonio Longino for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 18
OPP 44
+26
63.4%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Kweishi Brown return for 26 yds to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 28TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
92.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 48 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 29INT
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:009% → 12%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
91.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 18 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
89.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 13 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
88.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 5 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
87.8%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Christian Sam return for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 30PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:2092% → 94%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.8%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
92.1%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
92.4%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
94.2%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+2
94.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Matt Haack punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 31FUMBLE
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
96.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 8 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+23
96.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 23 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
95.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 7 yds Joshua Perkins fumbled, forced by James Johnson, recovered by ArzSt Edmond BoatengSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 32PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3496% → 97%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
96.3%
D.J. Foster run for 2 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-3
96.7%
Mike Bercovici run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+1
96.6%
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
97.2%
Matt Haack punt for 31 yds, downed at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 33INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
97.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 11 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Marcus Ball return for no gain to the Wash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 34END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:59
Kalen Ballage run for 48 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+29
TD · Q4 13:52
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 32 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+26.4
TD · Q3 9:56
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com