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UTAH

Utah 30 at Arizona 37

ARIZ
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:46 · Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Jared Baker
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTPlay 58Pregame prior−8.1Home team on offense+4.0Time remaining+0.0Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:10: Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 59 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +13.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:01: Anu Solomon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +19.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Andy Phillips 40 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +14.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Casey Skowron 35 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +20.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Nate Phillips 25 Yd pass from Jerrard Randall (Casey Skowron Kick) — ARIZ win probability +27.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:54ARIZ 4th & 7 at UTAH 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:54UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:46ARIZ 4th & 6 at UTAH 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:39UTAH 4th & 9 at ARIZ 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−5.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:25ARIZ 4th & 21 at UTAH 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−2.6
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:19UTAH 4th & 2 at ARIZ 20, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%−1.6
    75% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−12.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:01UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−3.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:06ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−4.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00UTAH 4th & 22 at UTAH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−7.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:10ARIZ 4th & 13 at ARIZ 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−5.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:01UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−2.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:49ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−4.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:10ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:42UTAH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:16ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:45UTAH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:10UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:01ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:0639% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
39.3%
Anu Solomon run for 9 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+23
39.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 23 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
39.3%
UTAH Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
39.3%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
39.3%
Nick Wilson run for 8 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-5
39.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
39.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
40.3%
Casey Skowron 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.3%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
40.2%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
40.3%
Travis Wilson sacked by Tellas Jones and Jeff Worthy for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
40.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:5441% → 44%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
41.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 7 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
41.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
41.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 5 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
41.4%
Nick Wilson run for 11 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
41.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 8 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+7
41.5%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (7 Yards) to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
41.6%
Anu Solomon run for 16 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (7 Yards) to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
44.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 7 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2857% → 57%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
43.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
43.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 11 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
43.0%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
43.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 7 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+12
43.0%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
42.9%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+10
42.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 10 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
42.6%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+10
42.6%
Britain Covey run for 10 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
42.6%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
42.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
42.9%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.0%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:2045% → 51%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
44.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 22Similar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+16
44.3%
Anu Solomon run for 16 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
44.9%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+45
44.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 45 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
51.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 17 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:1650% → 49%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Harrison Handley, broken up by Tellas JonesSimilar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
50.0%
Devontae Booker run for 13 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
49.3%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-10
48.8%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+40
50.8%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted Jamar Allah return for 25 yds to the ARIZONA 39 ARIZONA Penalty, IB (15 Yards) to the Ariz 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
52.2%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
51.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 11 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
52.3%
Jared Baker run for 7 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-11
52.3%
Jared Baker run for 4 yds to the Utah 34 ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
52.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 9 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
52.3%
Jared Baker run for 3 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
52.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Trey Griffey, broken up by Dominique HatfieldSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
52.2%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Tyrell JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+4
51.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Jared Baker for 4 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
50.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Jared BakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 6:0847% → 45%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
53.2%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
52.9%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+5
53.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 5 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
52.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 9 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+4
51.7%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
52.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 9 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
51.0%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
51.3%
Joe Williams run for 8 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+6
51.0%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
51.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-15
51.1%
UTAH Penalty, IB (-15 Yards) to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 25
OPP 32
+6
52.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 6 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 19
OPP 26
+10
57.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Joe Williams for 10 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
54.9%
Andy Phillips 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 3:1457% → 61%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.9%
Anu Solomon run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
57.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 4 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
56.9%
Anu Solomon run for 9 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
58.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+46
58.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 46 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
60.7%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 12Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
60.7%
Nick Wilson run for 8 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-19
59.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 21
OPP 23
+40
61.2%
Casey Skowron 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4038% → 54%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+46
62.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 46 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
58.9%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Scott, Kenneth, PENALTY ARIZ pass interference 15 yards to the ARIZ14, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
58.9%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+6
58.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (6 Yards) to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.6%
Jared Baker run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
53.0%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:4349% → 62%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
50.9%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+59
37.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 59 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13INT
9 plays · 58 yds · 0:0041% → 45%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
41.1%
Anu Solomon run for 2 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+10
41.1%
Anu Solomon run for 10 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
41.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 13 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
44.3%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
44.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 14 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
46.6%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
46.5%
Anu Solomon run for 4 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
44.7%
Anu Solomon pass intercepted, touchback. Brian Allen return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:4960% → 72%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
39.7%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
38.9%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
38.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 5 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
37.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
37.5%
Travis Wilson run for 9 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+8
36.5%
Travis Wilson run for 8 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
36.9%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+10
36.9%
Travis Wilson run for 10 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
35.5%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
36.0%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-1
36.8%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+38
28.3%
Andy Phillips 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:1033% → 58%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+50
32.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 50 yds to the Utah 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
38.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 16 yds to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
57.7%
Anu Solomon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.0%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
47.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 2 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
48.3%
Travis Wilson sacked by Reggie Gilbert for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nate Phillips at the Ariz 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0053% → 49%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.0%
Jared Baker run for no gain to the Ariz 35Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
52.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
50.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
49.3%
Drew Riggleman punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 13 yds · 0:5351% → 48%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
48.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Joe Williams for 4 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
48.3%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+10
49.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 10 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
47.8%
Joe Williams run for 9 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-6
44.3%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 48 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
46.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Joe WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
47.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
45.4%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
44.8%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
50
0
44.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kylie FittsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
50
-15
44.7%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-15 Yards) to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 35
-1
51.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Joe Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 34
0
52.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19INT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:1754% → 55%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
54.2%
Jared Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 19Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+10
53.6%
Anu Solomon run for 10 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
52.7%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
54.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+18
53.4%
Jared Baker run for 18 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
58.2%
Jerrard Randall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 13
OWN 41
0
54.8%
Jerrard Randall pass intercepted Justin Thomas return for no gain to the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0051% → 55%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
48.9%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+4
49.4%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
49.4%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
47.8%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
47.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 10 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
44.6%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line Devontae Booker fumbled, forced by Jeff Worthy, recovered by Ariz Parker Zellers , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0061% → 52%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
50
-5
60.6%
Jerrard Randall run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+2
56.1%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 13
OWN 47
0
54.0%
Jerrard Randall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 13
OWN 47
-2
52.1%
Drew Riggleman punt for 44 yds , Britain Covey returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 45 UTAH Penalty, personal foul (3 Yards) to the Utah 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
48.9%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+7
49.6%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+12
50.0%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.8%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
48.1%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
47.3%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
50.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 49 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:1955% → 54%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
55.1%
Jared Baker run for 19 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
58.2%
Jared Baker run for 4 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
61.0%
Jerrard Randall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
58.1%
Jerrard Randall pass incomplete to Cayleb Jones, broken up by Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
54.4%
Drew Riggleman punt for 51 yds , Britain Covey returns for no gain to the Utah 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
49.4%
N/A run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 11
OWN 5
0
50.1%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 4 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
40.5%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Ariz 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-1
43.0%
Travis Wilson sacked by Anthony Lopez for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 22Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
28.5%
Andy Phillips 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 26FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0041% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
41.3%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the Utah 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
41.3%
Jerrard Randall run for 4 yds to the Utah 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+1
37.8%
Jerrard Randall run for 1 yd to the Utah 18Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
58.7%
Casey Skowron 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 27TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.4%
Nate Phillips 25 Yd pass from Jerrard Randall (Casey Skowron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28DOWNS
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:0020% → 8%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Harrison Handley, broken up by Jamar AllahSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
82.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 3 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-1
86.9%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 23Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+12
91.2%
Travis Wilson run for 12 yds to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
80.4%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-9
79.3%
Travis Wilson sacked by Sani Fuimaono and Sir Thomas Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the Ariz 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 17
0
89.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 17
0
92.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT2 0:00
Nate Phillips 25 Yd pass from Jerrard Randall (Casey Skowron Kick)
+27.8
FG · OT 0:00
Casey Skowron 35 yd FG GOOD
+20.9
TD · Q3 4:01
Anu Solomon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)
+19.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com