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UTAH

Utah 34 at Washington 23

WASH
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:55 · Travis Wilson run for 7 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Home team on offense−0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior+3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:31: Devontae Booker 4 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick) — UTAH win probability +7.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:10: Gionni Paul 54 Yd Fumble Return (Andy Phillips Kick) — UTAH win probability +4.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:14: Drew Sample 1 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +9.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:38: Myles Gaskin 10 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +20.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 3:27: Travis Wilson 2 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick) — UTAH win probability +25.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:42UTAH 4th & 4 at WASH 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:30UTAH 4th & 13 at WASH 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:02WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 44, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55UTAH 4th & 1 at WASH 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%−0.9
    70% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:47WASH 4th & 15 at UTAH 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:43UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:03UTAH 4th & 5 at WASH 25, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:38WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:14UTAH 4th & 7 at WASH 37, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.2%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    65.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:27WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 47, down 11
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:33UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:15WASH 4th & 13 at UTAH 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:40UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−4.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:45WASH 4th & 1 at UTAH 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−4.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−14.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:11WASH 4th & 15 at UTAH 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:56WASH 4th & 16 at WASH 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−4.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:57UTAH 4th & 7 at WASH 18, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:01UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:31UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:10UTAH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:14WASH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:38WASH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:27UTAH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−3.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:0845% → 45%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
54.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 21 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
54.8%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
54.7%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-3
54.7%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
54.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:1055% → 56%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+23
55.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 23 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
55.2%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
55.5%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+15
55.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
55.8%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-5
55.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Brayden Lenius) to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+19
55.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 19 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
56.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 1 yd to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+18
56.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 18 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
56.1%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Mickens, Jaydon for 4 yards to the UTAH0, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference (Lenius, Brayden) 15 yards to the UTAH19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
-6
56.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Lowell Lotulelei for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
0
56.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 25
0
55.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 0
OPP 25
+42
56.4%
Cameron Van Winkle 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 3:4944% → 43%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
56.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+15
56.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Keishawn Bierria) to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
56.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 1 yd to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
56.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 9 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
56.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 21 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
55.8%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+8
55.4%
Travis Wilson run for 8 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
55.4%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete, PENALTY UTAH holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 20
OPP 34
0
55.7%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 20
OPP 34
0
56.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 20
OPP 34
+7
56.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 7 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+45
57.5%
Andy Phillips 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · -10 yds · 2:2157% → 57%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
56.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+9
56.3%
Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
57.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
57.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+6
56.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 6 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 5
OWN 44
-27
56.7%
Korey Durkee run for a loss of 27 yards to the Wash 17 Korey Durkee fumbled, recovered by Wash Will DisslySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0145% → 49%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-15
55.1%
UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Boobie Hobbs) to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
55.3%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
55.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Bubba PooleSimilar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+5
55.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 5 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+7
56.5%
Travis Wilson run for 7 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
55.1%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
50.8%
Travis Wilson 4 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4453% → 53%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
53.0%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+27
52.6%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Gionni Paul return for 27 yds to the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3349% → 57%
Q2 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
50.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
43.1%
Devontae Booker 4 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4545% → 45%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
45.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
44.7%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+13
43.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 13 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
45.1%
McClatcher, Chico rush for loss of 4 yards to the WASHINGTON34, PENALTY UTAH offside (Fitts, Kylie) 5 yards to the WASHINGTON43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+5
45.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 5 yds Dwayne Washington fumbled, forced by Chase Hansen, recovered by Utah Stevie Tu'ikolovatuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
42.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wash Travis FeeneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3146% → 41%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
45.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Marvin HallSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
45.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+25
44.6%
Jake Browning run for 25 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
45.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 3 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-8
44.1%
Dante Pettis sacked by Gionni Paul for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
41.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
41.4%
Cameron Van Winkle 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4258% → 57%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
41.8%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
41.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
42.1%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
43.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 52 yds, downed at the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:2441% → 36%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+32
41.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 32 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-54
36.3%
Gionni Paul 54 Yd Fumble Return (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:4534% → 45%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
34.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
34.0%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+12
33.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 12 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+53
35.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 53 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.5%
Drew Sample 1 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:5760% → 66%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.7%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
39.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
38.5%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
37.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 34 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
34.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
34.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+6
34.6%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
33.9%
Andy Phillips 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1835% → 33%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
34.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
34.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
33.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
33.2%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:1868% → 67%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
32.2%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
32.4%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
32.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Caleb ReppSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
33.0%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
36.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1336% → 35%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
36.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
37.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-1
36.3%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
34.6%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 49 yds, downed at the Utah 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4265% → 65%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
34.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
34.4%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
35.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Philip AfiaSimilar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 8
OWN 6
0
35.5%
Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:3735% → 54%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
35.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 9
50
+13
35.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 13 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
35.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+9
36.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
35.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
34.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+12
32.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 12 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
53.6%
Myles Gaskin 10 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:2255% → 57%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
45.5%
Devontae Booker run for 18 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
43.1%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line Devontae Booker fumbled, forced by Taniela Tupou, recovered by Wash Keishawn Bierria , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3351% → 44%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
50
0
51.2%
Jaydon Mickens run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
50
0
50.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 10
50
+16
48.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 16 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
53.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
52.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 6
OPP 30
-7
49.8%
Jake Browning sacked by Gionni Paul for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 37Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 13
OPP 37
0
44.0%
Jake Browning punt for 24 yds, downed at the Utah 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:2256% → 59%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+23
43.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 23 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
42.0%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
40.5%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
40.1%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
37.2%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 7
50
-7
36.1%
Travis Wilson sacked by Psalm Wooching for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
39.6%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
40.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 4:2442% → 47%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
42.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+20
41.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
45.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+6
46.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 6 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
46.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+4
47.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+2
45.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+1
43.1%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
47.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-10
47.7%
Gaskin, Myles rush for 22 yards to the UTAH1, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Shelton, Coleman) 10 yards to the UTAH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 16
OPP 33
+1
44.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 1 yd to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 15
OPP 32
0
41.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+49
46.6%
Cameron Van Winkle 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25INT
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:5753% → 61%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.5%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
46.1%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
46.2%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Handley, Harrison, PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UTAH30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+22
47.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 22 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
42.4%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
42.2%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+7
41.8%
Travis Wilson run for 7 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
39.5%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted Sidney Jones return for 35 yds to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4951% → 45%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
51.0%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 34 Jake Browning fumbled, recovered by Wash Jake BrowningSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-15
49.0%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Perkins, Joshua for 21 yards to the UTAH45, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference 15 yards to the WASHINGTON19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 27
OWN 19
-6
48.5%
Jake Browning sacked by Stevie Tu'ikolovatu for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 33
OWN 13
+17
46.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 17 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 16
OWN 30
+13
44.6%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 43 yds , Britain Covey returns for 13 yds to the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:1860% → 93%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
39.6%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Utah 42, lateral to Bubba Poole 7 yds to the Utah 49 Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+10
36.7%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
36.3%
Travis Wilson run for 13 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
33.6%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
33.5%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+18
34.9%
Devontae Booker run for 18 yds to the Wash 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
32.7%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Wash 1Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
32.3%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.4%
Travis Wilson 2 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 28FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:2113% → 14%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
13.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 11 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
14.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Kylie Fitts for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 35 Jake Browning fumbled, forced by Kylie Fitts, recovered by Utah Stevie Tu'ikolovatu , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 29FG
10 plays · 17 yds · 1:2494% → 97%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
5.7%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+5
4.3%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
3.4%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+2
3.1%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 3
OPP 14
-4
3.2%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
2.6%
Andy Phillips 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 30END OF GAME
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:443% → 4%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
2.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 4 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+19
3.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 19 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
3.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Brayden Lenius) to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+9
3.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 9 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
3.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 5 yds to the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:27
Travis Wilson 2 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)
-25.1
TD · Q3 9:38
Myles Gaskin 10 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+20.7
TD · Q2 4:14
Drew Sample 1 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com