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ASU

Arizona State 24 at Washington State 38

WSU
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD+9.7WSU 97.1%Luke Falk pass complete to DomWilliams for 75 yds for a TD, (ErikPowell KICK)AWAY 24 - HOME 38 · Q4 4:00
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Q4 4:00 · Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Home team on offense+27.2Pregame prior−0.3Garbage-time factor+14.3Score differential+12.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:26: Dom Williams 11 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:57: Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +15.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:27: Mike Bercovici run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +23.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:12: Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +29.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:01: Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 12 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — WSU win probability +15.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:10ASU 4th & 2 at WSU 3, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.6%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:22WSU 4th & 1 at ASU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−1.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:10WSU 4th & 5 at ASU 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:26WSU 4th & 24 at ASU 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:35ASU 4th & 13 at ASU 8, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−2.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:26WSU 4th & 5 at ASU 11, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:26ASU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 4
    Close callPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:43WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54ASU 4th & 10 at WSU 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    54.0%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:52ASU 4th & 12 at WSU 40, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.0%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    39.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:52ASU 4th & 1 at WSU 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    38.5%−3.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−14.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.7%−3.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:12ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:57ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:37WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:13ASU 4th & 1 at WSU 4, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%−2.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−5.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:54ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:48ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:23ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:26WSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:57WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:27ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:12WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:01WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:00WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
44.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+42
44.9%
Zach Charme punt for 42 yds, downed at the WASHST 29 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:1355% → 56%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
45.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 9 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-1
45.0%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+8
45.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 8 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
45.0%
Demario Richard run for 26 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
45.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
45.0%
Demario Richard run for 7 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+15
45.0%
Demario Richard run for 15 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
44.1%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
44.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
44.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
44.4%
Zach Charme punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 2:2056% → 60%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
44.1%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
44.2%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
50
0
43.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
50
+6
43.9%
Mike Bercovici run for 6 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+7
43.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 7 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
43.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
43.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 7 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+10
43.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 10 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
42.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 11 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
40.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 9 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
41.2%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Kareem Orr return for 22 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
40.3%
Demario Richard run for 11 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
40.3%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
40.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 7 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 1
OPP 2
-1
40.5%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 3Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 2
OPP 3
0
40.7%
Mike Bercovici run for no gain to the WshSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7FG
18 plays · 92 yds · 7:1240% → 39%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
40.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+29
40.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 29 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
40.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+16
40.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 16 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
41.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 7 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
41.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
41.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
41.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
41.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
41.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Keith HarringtonSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+11
41.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
41.4%
Keith Harrington run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+7
41.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-14
41.6%
Luke Falk sacked by JoJo Wicker for a loss of 14 yards to the ArzSt 20 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by WshSt Cole Madison , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+13
41.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 13 yds to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
37.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
39.2%
Erik Powell 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:0061% → 62%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
38.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
38.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 10 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
38.0%
Demario Richard run for 12 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Devin LucienSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
37.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 21 yds Devin Lucien fumbled, forced by Kirkland Parker, recovered by WshSt Marcellus Pippins , return for 9 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
37.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
38.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
38.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 6 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
38.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 6 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
39.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Ismael Murphy-Richardson for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
38.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard Wicks, broken up by Viliami MoeakiolaSimilar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 13
OPP 37
-11
38.0%
Luke Falk sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 11 yards to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 24
OPP 48
0
37.2%
Zach Charme punt for 37 yds , Gump Hayes returns for no gain to the ArzSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
35.9%
D.J. Foster run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 15
OWN 6
+2
36.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 2 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 13
OWN 8
0
36.7%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 13
OWN 8
+30
37.1%
Matt Haack punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 16 , Gabe Marks returns for 30 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4437% → 44%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
36.5%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
36.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+3
35.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+11
44.4%
Dom Williams 11 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.6%
Kalen Ballage run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
41.6%
Kalen Ballage run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
40.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
41.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-5
41.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+7
42.5%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 5
50
0
42.0%
Matt Haack punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3943% → 42%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
42.5%
Keith Harrington run for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
42.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 2 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
41.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
43.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
42.8%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+3
42.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
41.6%
Zach Charme punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
42.8%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
42.3%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
41.7%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
41.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 11 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
40.3%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+14
40.3%
D.J. Foster run for 14 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
39.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 13
OPP 45
-5
40.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 18
50
+8
41.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 8 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
40.5%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim White, broken up by Marcellus PippinsSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
42.7%
Mike Bercovici punt for 36 yds, downed at the WshSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 3:4743% → 64%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
42.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 6 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 4
OWN 12
0
43.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+12
41.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 12 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+38
43.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 38 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
47.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
45.4%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+6
45.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 6 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+10
46.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 10 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
49.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 4 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
64.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17TD
18 plays · 65 yds · 6:2543% → 68%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
56.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
53.7%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
54.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
53.8%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
53.6%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+7
54.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 7 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
53.5%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Kache Palacio for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 46Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 18
OPP 46
-2
55.5%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Parker Henry for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 20
OPP 48
+8
57.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 8 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
51.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Raymond EppsSimilar
Q3 7:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
51.8%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the WshSt 1Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 12
OPP 40
+27
58.4%
Matt Haack pass complete to D.J. Foster for 27 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
51.8%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
51.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 2 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+7
53.4%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 7 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
55.3%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.0%
Mike Bercovici run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:0939% → 74%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
39.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 1 yd to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-3
38.9%
Keith Harrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+11
36.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+16
39.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 16 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
44.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
44.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+36
44.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 36 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
73.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
65.4%
Demario Richard run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
63.1%
Mike Bercovici run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
60.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 2 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-1
61.3%
Mike Bercovici run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
64.7%
Matt Haack punt for 54 yds, downed at the WshSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 2:5270% → 91%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+12
70.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
70.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 2 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+47
70.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 47 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
75.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 7 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+19
76.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 19 yds to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
76.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
91.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 12 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
89.8%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
90.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+7
90.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 7 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
89.3%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
89.8%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
90.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Kody KohlSimilar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+5
90.7%
Matt Haack punt for 49 yds , Gabe Marks returns for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
91.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Kweishi BrownSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
90.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
90.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 6:37
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
89.9%
Zach Charme punt for 6 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:0411% → 15%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
89.4%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+24
90.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gary Chambers for 24 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
89.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 6 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
89.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. Foster, broken up by Shalom LuaniSimilar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+3
89.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 3 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+22
84.7%
Zane Gonzalez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25INT
10 plays · 49 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
97.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 16 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.8%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
96.9%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+12
97.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gary Chambers for 12 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+13
96.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 13 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.7%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 5 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
96.6%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Devin LucienSimilar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+6
96.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 6 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.4%
Mike Bercovici pass intercepted Darrien Molton return for no gain to the WshSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:1098% → 99%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
98.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
98.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+7
98.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:12
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+29.3
TD · Q3 1:27
Mike Bercovici run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
-23.3
TD · Q3 7:57
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com