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STAN

Stanford 30 at Washington State 28

WSU
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-34.6WSU 16.8%Conrad Ukropina 19 Yd Field GoalAWAY 30 - HOME 28 · Q4 1:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:54 · Conrad Ukropina 19 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 178Pregame prior−1.2Home team on offense−19.8Garbage-time factor−5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score differential−5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:15: Remound Wright 2 Yd Run (Conrad Ukropina Kick) — STAN win probability +18.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 2:17: Kevin Hogan 59 Yd Run (Conrad Ukropina Kick) — STAN win probability +24.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 14:19: Kevin Hogan 6 Yd Run (Conrad Ukropina Kick) — STAN win probability +23.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:56: River Cracraft 1 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — WSU win probability +26.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:54: Conrad Ukropina 19 Yd Field Goal — STAN win probability +34.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 12 of 12STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:35STAN 4th & 11 at WSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    77.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:10WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:08STAN 4th & 12 at WSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:40WSU 4th & 21 at WSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:09WSU 4th & 9 at STAN 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:28WSU 4th & 8 at STAN 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:29STAN 4th & 21 at STAN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:41WSU 4th & 6 at STAN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:12STAN 4th & 8 at WSU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:45WSU 4th & 21 at STAN 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−2.1
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:03STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:53WSU 4th & 7 at STAN 11, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−10.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:39STAN 4th & 4 at WSU 14, down 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−7.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:29WSU 4th & 22 at WSU 23, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−6.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:55WSU 4th & 1 at STAN 12, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%−3.8
    86% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−20.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:08STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 39, down 1
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:54STAN 4th & 2 at WSU 2, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−2.3
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.2%
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−31.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:45WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.3%−14.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:15WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 41, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.7%−7.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00WSU 4th & 1 at STAN 27, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−19.5
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−43.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 9:15STAN Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:52WSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:17STAN Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:19STAN Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:56WSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.7%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2082% → 82%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
17.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 16 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
18.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Dalton SchultzSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
18.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
18.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
18.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 36 yds, downed at the WshSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2119% → 19%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
18.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
18.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
18.5%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 10
OWN 10
+3
18.6%
Zach Charme punt for 41 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 3 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:5681% → 80%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
18.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 17 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
18.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+16
19.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 16 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
19.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the WshSt 12Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-9
19.7%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Darryl Paulo for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 21Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 19
OPP 21
+7
20.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Francis Owusu for 7 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
20.4%
Conrad Ukropina 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 2:0821% → 21%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
20.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 2 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-5
20.9%
Luke Falk sacked by Brennan Scarlett for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-5
20.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Eklund) to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 18
OWN 28
-3
21.0%
Luke Falk sacked by Kevin Anderson for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
20.9%
Zach Charme punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:2179% → 79%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
21.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Bryce Love for 11 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
21.1%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Destiny Vaeao for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 48 Kevin Hogan fumbled, recovered by WshSt Shalom Luani , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5522% → 22%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
22.2%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
22.5%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
22.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
21.7%
Zach Charme punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:0978% → 77%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
22.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-2
22.4%
Kevin Hogan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
23.0%
Kevin Hogan pass intercepted Parker Henry return for no gain to the Stanf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4024% → 25%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
24.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 5
OPP 26
-3
24.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
23.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
24.6%
Erik Powell 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · -1 yds · 3:2976% → 73%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
23.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
24.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
23.9%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
24.0%
McCaffrey, Christian rush for loss of 1 yard to the STANFORD44, PENALTY STANFORD holding 10 yards to the STANFORD35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 35
0
25.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for no gain to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 20
OWN 35
-3
25.6%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Kache Palacio for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 23
OWN 32
+2
26.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 21
OWN 34
0
27.2%
Alex Robinson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:3728% → 33%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
27.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+11
28.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
29.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
30.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 3
50
+13
30.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 13 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
30.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for no gain to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
31.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 15 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
32.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
32.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
33.1%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
33.2%
Erik Powell 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1269% → 66%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
30.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
31.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+10
32.0%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST holding (Parker, Kirkland) 10 yards to the WASHST46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
31.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
32.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+3
33.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
34.4%
Jake Bailey punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:1935% → 42%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
35.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+17
35.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 17 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
36.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 27 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
38.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 17 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
39.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Keith HarringtonSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
39.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-11
39.2%
Luke Falk sacked by Aziz Shittu for a loss of 11 yards to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 21
OPP 30
+47
42.4%
Erik Powell 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 2:1757% → 53%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
42.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 4 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+10
42.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 10 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
42.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 47
-9
43.8%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Robert Barber for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 20
OWN 38
+7
46.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 7 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 13
OWN 45
+20
46.7%
Alex Robinson punt for 55 yds , Gabe Marks returns for 20 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 64 yds · 0:5845% → 55%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
45.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
45.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 15 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+24
46.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 24 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
48.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+17
48.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 17 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
49.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
49.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Alijah Holder) to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+28
54.6%
Erik Powell 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 2:5251% → 64%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
51.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 14 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
53.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+11
54.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 11 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
55.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 11 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
55.9%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
56.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
56.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
57.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyrin PriesterSimilar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
58.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
63.9%
Erik Powell 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:1139% → 59%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
60.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Bryce Love for 14 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
60.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
60.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Bryce LoveSimilar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+39
61.3%
Kevin Hogan run for 39 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
60.3%
Remound Wright run for no gain to the WshSt 2Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
41.5%
Remound Wright 2 Yd Run (Conrad Ukropina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0850% → 72%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
50.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+33
52.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 33 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
55.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 16 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
72.4%
Gabe Marks 19 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:4032% → 33%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
68.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+7
70.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 5
50
+16
69.0%
Kevin Hogan run for 16 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
67.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+9
68.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 9 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
69.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
69.6%
Kevin Hogan run for 6 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
71.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
67.4%
Conrad Ukropina 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:5170% → 69%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
70.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-10
71.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamal Morrow) to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 22
OWN 23
0
71.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 22
OWN 23
0
69.9%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 22
OWN 23
0
69.1%
Zach Charme punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
1 play · 59 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
45.0%
Kevin Hogan 59 Yd Run (Conrad Ukropina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:2750% → 50%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
49.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+14
50.4%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Quenton Meeks return for 14 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 2:0058% → 79%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
42.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
42.8%
Kevin Hogan run for 7 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
45.2%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
21.5%
Kevin Hogan 6 Yd Run (Conrad Ukropina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
17 plays · 81 yds · 6:1429% → 65%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
28.7%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
28.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+22
27.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 22 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
32.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 2 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+9
32.1%
Luke Falk run for 9 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
33.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
34.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
34.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 41Similar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+9
32.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 9 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+11
36.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 11 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
37.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 3
OPP 14
0
37.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+2
35.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q4 8:55
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+8
33.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
38.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the Stanf 1Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.0%
River Cracraft 1 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2044% → 42%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
53.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
53.3%
Kevin Hogan run for 1 yd to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
54.6%
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
55.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
58.3%
Alex Robinson punt for 33 yds, downed at the WshSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2761% → 65%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
60.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
61.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+10
61.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
65.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
65.3%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Quenton Meeks return for 9 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 26FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 1:2448% → 83%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+30
52.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 30 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
50.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
52.5%
Kevin Hogan run for 1 yd to the WshSt 4Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
53.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
16.8%
Conrad Ukropina 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27DOWNS
15 plays · 48 yds · 1:4832% → 21%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
32.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
29.7%
Keith Harrington run for no gain to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
25.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
23.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 3 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
24.0%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
22.7%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+23
20.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 23 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
27.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
24.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 7 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
29.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+43
20.9%
Erik Powell 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:54
Conrad Ukropina 19 Yd Field Goal
-34.6
TD · Q4 7:56
River Cracraft 1 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+26.3
TD · Q3 2:17
Kevin Hogan 59 Yd Run (Conrad Ukropina Kick)
-24.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com