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ORST

Oregon State 12 at Utah 27

UTAH
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:30 · Nick Porebski punt for 51 yds , Britain Covey returns for no gain to the Utah 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior+38.6Home team on offense+1.3Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:47: Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 39 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:23: Garrett Owens 31 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +2.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:21: Travis Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:07: Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — ORST win probability +4.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 3:29: Andy Phillips 45 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ORST made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:01UTAH 4th & 1 at ORST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:30ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:41ORST 4th & 15 at ORST 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:42UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:11ORST 4th & 5 at UTAH 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:24UTAH 4th & 1 at ORST 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−1.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:23ORST 4th & 2 at UTAH 13, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:05UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 44, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:53ORST 4th & 8 at midfield, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:38UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 14, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−2.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:17ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 36, down 8
    Close callPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:20UTAH 4th & 13 at ORST 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−1.9
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:40ORST 4th & 17 at ORST 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:29UTAH 4th & 4 at ORST 27, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:47ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 33, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:28ORST 4th & 11 at UTAH 17, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ORST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 8:08UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:47UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:21UTAH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:07ORST Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:4793% → 92%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.0%
Devontae Booker run for 14 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
92.9%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+11
92.8%
Travis Wilson run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
92.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
92.5%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+3
92.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
92.1%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
92.1%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+7
91.9%
Travis Wilson run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
91.8%
Travis Wilson run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
91.6%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.3%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:198% → 9%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.9%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
91.8%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
91.7%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for 9 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-1
91.4%
Victor Bolden run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
91.3%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Ryan Nall, broken up by Reginald PorterSimilar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
91.5%
Nick Porebski punt for 51 yds , Britain Covey returns for no gain to the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:3592% → 93%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
91.5%
Devontae Booker run for 14 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
91.4%
Bubba Poole run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 26 Bubba Poole fumbled, recovered by Utah Bubba Poole Bubba Poole run for 6 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+14
91.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 14 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
91.5%
Devontae Booker run for 21 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
92.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 39 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:548% → 8%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
92.5%
Nick Mitchell run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+9
92.3%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 9 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
92.1%
Mitchell, Nick pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGONST holding (Mitchell, Josh) 10 yards to the OREGONST31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+4
92.2%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Rahmel Dockery for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+5
92.2%
Nick Mitchell run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-4
92.2%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
92.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:5292% → 92%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
92.4%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 13Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+13
92.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 13 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
92.4%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
92.4%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
92.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain Covey, broken up by Jaswha JamesSimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
92.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Rahmel Dockery at the OrgSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6FG
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:248% → 9%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
92.0%
Nick Mitchell run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
91.7%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
91.4%
Victor Bolden run for 10 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
91.2%
Nick Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+11
91.3%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 11 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
91.1%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
90.7%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Hunter JarmonSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+5
91.9%
Bolden, Victor rush for 4 yards to the UTAH30, PENALTY UTAH offside (Taumoepenu, Pita) 5 yards to the UTAH29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+10
91.8%
Mitchell, Nick pass incomplete to Bolden, Victor, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Williams, Marcus) 10 yards to the UTAH19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGONST.Similar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
91.5%
Nick Mitchell run for 9 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+7
91.5%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 7 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
91.5%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
91.4%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for 1 yd to the Utah 5Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
91.8%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q2 8:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
91.0%
Garrett Owens 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3892% → 92%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.8%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
91.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 8 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
91.9%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
91.5%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the OrgSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:559% → 11%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
91.1%
Victor Bolden run for 7 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+14
90.4%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Ryan Nall for 14 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
90.1%
Nick Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+4
90.8%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+9
91.1%
Nick Mitchell run for 9 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
90.4%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Storm Barrs-Woods) to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+5
90.9%
Victor Bolden run for 5 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
90.6%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Ryan Nall for 4 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+4
90.8%
Paul Lucas run for 4 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
88.6%
Garrett Owens 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:1390% → 90%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
89.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
90.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 9 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
90.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+2
90.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+4
89.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 4 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
90.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
90.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:5411% → 12%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
88.9%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for 6 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
88.4%
Nick Mitchell run for no gain to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+9
88.9%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for 9 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
88.1%
Mitchell, Nick pass complete to Villamin, Jordan for 34 yards to the UTAH30, PENALTY OREGONST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the OREGONST31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-3
88.5%
Nick Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+4
88.6%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 4 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+16
89.0%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 16 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
86.9%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Hunter JarmonSimilar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
87.2%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 8
50
0
87.2%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 8
50
0
88.1%
Nick Porebski punt for 45 yds , Britain Covey returns for no gain to the Utah 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 4:0889% → 88%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
88.5%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+2
88.3%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+7
87.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
88.6%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 19Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+5
88.4%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-10
88.0%
Travis Wilson sacked by Lavonte Barnett for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 14Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 14
OWN 14
0
88.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2112% → 12%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
87.6%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Drew Clarkson) to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+12
87.9%
Victor Bolden run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
86.4%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-1
87.4%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Noah Togiai for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
88.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:5190% → 91%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+26
90.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 26 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
90.8%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+10
90.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 10 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
91.4%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+3
91.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+13
90.9%
Travis Wilson run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 28 Travis Wilson fumbled, forced by Lavonte Barnett, recovered by Utah for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
91.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-4
91.6%
Bubba Poole run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+1
90.5%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+49
90.9%
Andy Phillips 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:2510% → 8%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
90.5%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Noah TogiaiSimilar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
90.7%
Victor Bolden run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+11
91.2%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for 11 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
89.7%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
89.8%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-9
90.5%
Nick Mitchell sacked by Chase Hansen for a loss of 9 yards to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 17
OWN 25
+14
92.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 38 yds , Britain Covey returns for 14 yds to the Utah 39 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dre'Vian Young) to the Utah 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:1392% → 98%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
91.9%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
93.1%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+37
93.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 37 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
93.5%
Travis Wilson run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.1%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:013% → 7%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+74
97.5%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 74 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
96.8%
Nick Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 2Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.8%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.7%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:3395% → 98%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.7%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+25
95.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 25 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
96.0%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Smith, Tyrone, PENALTY OREGONST pass interference (Williams, Dwayne) 15 yards to the OREGONST33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
96.1%
Bubba Poole run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+5
96.1%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+2
96.5%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
97.7%
Andy Phillips 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19DOWNS
15 plays · 58 yds · 1:563% → 3%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.1%
Nick Mitchell run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
96.8%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor Bolden, broken up by Kylie FittsSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+10
96.8%
Victor Bolden run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.7%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Paul Lucas, broken up by Justin ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
96.7%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
96.8%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Rahmel Dockery, broken up by Reginald PorterSimilar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+15
97.2%
Mitchell, Nick pass incomplete to Villamin, Jordan, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Williams, Marcus) 15 yards to the UTAH42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGONST.Similar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+26
96.4%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 26 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
95.9%
Nick Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-1
95.9%
Storm Barrs-Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 17Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 11
OPP 17
0
97.3%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 11
OPP 17
0
97.5%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4199% → 99%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
98.5%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+6
98.8%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
98.8%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:21
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q4 8:07
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-4.1
FG · Q2 1:23
Garrett Owens 31 yd FG GOOD
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com