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ARIZ

Arizona 3 at Washington 49

WASH
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 6 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Pregame prior+11.6Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:14: Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +2.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:29: Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +7.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:54: Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +6.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:06: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 31 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +11.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:40: Jake Browning run for 12 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ARIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ARIZ 4th & 4 at WASH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    33.0%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39ARIZ 4th & 9 at WASH 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:32WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:07WASH 4th & 11 at ARIZ 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:36ARIZ 4th & 4 at ARIZ 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00WASH 4th & 7 at ARIZ 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:41ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:23ARIZ 4th & 20 at ARIZ 9, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:41WASH 4th & 14 at ARIZ 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:48ARIZ 4th & 6 at WASH 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.8%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:01ARIZ 4th & 13 at WASH 41, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:51WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 17, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:40ARIZ 4th & 3 at ARIZ 45, down 32
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00ARIZ 4th & 4 at WASH 17, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:42ARIZ 4th & 4 at ARIZ 43, down 46
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 1:14WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:29WASH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:54WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:06WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:40WASH Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:43WASH Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:50WASH Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 5:2138% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.6%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.6%
Jared Baker run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
61.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 9 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
61.6%
Samajie Grant run for 6 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+14
61.6%
Anu Solomon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 43 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Travis Feeney) to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
61.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 4 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
61.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 5 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-3
61.6%
Anu Solomon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 36 Anu Solomon fumbled, recovered by Ariz Anu SolomonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+6
61.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 6 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
61.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 3 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+2
61.6%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+14
61.6%
Solomon, A. pass incomplete to Grant, S. (Clay, Brian), PENALTY WASH pass interference (Clay, Brian) 14 yards to the WASH11, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
61.6%
Jared Baker run for 1 yd to the Wash 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
61.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Josh KernSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
61.6%
Jared Baker run for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
61.0%
Casey Skowron 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
61.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
61.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
61.2%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
61.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nate Phillips at the Ariz 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3INT
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
60.8%
Jared Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 19Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-9
60.9%
Baker, J. rush for 11 yards to the ARIZ30 (McIntosh, JoJo), PENALTY ARIZ holding (Bundage, C.) 9 yards to the ARIZ10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+17
60.9%
Anu Solomon pass intercepted Sidney Jones return for 17 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
61.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
61.4%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
60.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
60.4%
Jake Browning punt for 32 yds, downed at the Ariz 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:3539% → 40%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
60.6%
Jared Baker run for 8 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+7
60.5%
Jared Baker run for 7 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
60.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 14 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.3%
Jared Baker run for no gain to the Ariz 35Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
59.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 6 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
59.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Johnny JacksonSimilar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
60.1%
Drew Riggleman punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4359% → 64%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
59.1%
Chico McClatcher run for 21 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
60.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+36
60.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 36 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
61.0%
Jeff Lindquist run for 4 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+1
61.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Ariz 13Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
63.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.4%
Jerrard Randall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.5%
Jerrard Randall run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
62.9%
Jerrard Randall pass intercepted JoJo McIntosh return for 8 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2864% → 63%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
64.2%
Jake Browning sacked by DeAndre' Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+1
63.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 49
+9
62.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 9 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
63.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.5%
Jerrard Randall pass incomplete to Nate Phillips, broken up by JoJo McIntoshSimilar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
62.7%
Anu Solomon run for 5 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
62.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Nate PhillipsSimilar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+11
63.6%
Drew Riggleman punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 47 , Dante Pettis returns for 11 yds to the Wash 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:2364% → 72%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
64.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 21 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
64.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+1
64.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Ariz 27Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+8
64.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 8 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
64.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
64.7%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Ariz 13Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+13
72.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
70.5%
Jared Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 18Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+2
70.8%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 9
OWN 20
-11
71.3%
Anu Solomon sacked by Cory Littleton for a loss of 11 yards to the Ariz 9Similar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 20
OWN 9
0
72.0%
Drew Riggleman punt for 45 yds , Chico McClatcher returns for no gain to the Wash 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
73.3%
Deontae Cooper pass complete to Jake Browning for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
50
+7
73.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 7 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
73.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 4
OPP 37
-10
73.4%
Gaskin, Myles rush for 6 yards to the ARIZ31 (Magloire Jr., P), PENALTY WASH holding (Daniels,Darrell) 10 yards to the ARIZ47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
72.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
72.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Brayden LeniusSimilar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
71.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 41 yds, downed at the Ariz 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 57 yds · 0:0028% → 29%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
72.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 7 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 3
OWN 13
-6
72.4%
Anu Solomon sacked by Travis Feeney for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 7 Anu Solomon fumbled, recovered by Ariz Tre Tyler , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 9
OWN 7
-3
73.4%
Solomon, A. pass complete to Phillips, N. for 16 yards to the ARIZ23 (Clay, Brian), PENALTY ARIZ holding (Bundage, C.) 3 yards to the ARIZ4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 12
OWN 4
+13
73.4%
Jared Baker run for 13 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
72.1%
Anu Solomon run for 1 yd to the Ariz 18Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
72.4%
Jared Baker run for no gain to the Ariz 18Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+41
73.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 41 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
70.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Jared Baker for 4 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
69.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
70.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Jared BakerSimilar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
71.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb Jones, broken up by Darren GardenhireSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:3176% → 84%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
75.8%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
75.5%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+17
75.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 17 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
76.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 24 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
76.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 13 yds to the Ariz 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15INT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:4516% → 11%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
83.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
84.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 8 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+4
84.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 4 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
83.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 8 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+13
83.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 13 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
88.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
88.6%
Anu Solomon pass intercepted, touchback. Budda Baker return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5485% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+40
84.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 40 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
85.2%
Chico McClatcher run for 10 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
85.0%
Jomon Dotson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 31Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 16
OPP 31
+31
96.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 31 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
94.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 13 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
94.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 6 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
94.7%
Jared Baker run for 5 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
94.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 8 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
94.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
94.5%
Jared Baker run for 3 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.6%
Anu Solomon sacked by Travis Feeney for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 42 Anu Solomon fumbled, recovered by Ariz Layth Friekh , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the Wash 42Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+6
94.6%
Jared Baker run for 6 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 14
OPP 42
0
94.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb Jones, broken up by Azeem VictorSimilar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 8
OPP 36
-5
94.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (Carter Hehr) to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
95.0%
Anu Solomon punt for 20 yds, downed at the Wash 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
97.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
97.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-6
97.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Jack Banda for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
97.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nate Phillips at the Ariz 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
96.5%
Anu Solomon run for 16 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
96.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+5
96.4%
Jared Baker run for 5 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+41
96.4%
Samajie Grant run for no gain to the Ariz 21 Samajie Grant fumbled, recovered by Wash Psalm Wooching , return for 41 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 1:1498% → 99%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
98.2%
Dwayne Washington run for 8 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+1
98.2%
Chico McClatcher run for 1 yd to the Ariz 12Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
99.4%
Jake Browning run for 12 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
98.4%
Jerrard Randall run for 2 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+8
98.4%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 8 yds to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
98.3%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 7 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+8
98.3%
Jared Baker run for 8 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
98.3%
Jerrard Randall run for 10 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.3%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
98.0%
Jared Baker run for 3 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+2
97.9%
Jerrard Randall run for 2 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
97.9%
Drew Riggleman punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.6%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 18Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+13
99.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 13 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
99.7%
Dwayne Washington run for 69 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 58 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (Gerhard de Beer) to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Orlando Bradford run for 4 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
99.8%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 12 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Orlando Bradford run for 4 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+15
99.8%
Jerrard Randall run for 15 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.8%
Randall, J. pass incomplete to Jones, C., PENALTY WASH pass interference (Miller, Jordan) 10 yards to the WASH35, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.7%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Josh Kern for 8 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
99.7%
Jerrard Randall run for 4 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.7%
Jerrard Randall run for 2 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
99.7%
Jerrard Randall run for 3 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+1
99.7%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 1 yd to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 17
0
99.7%
Jerrard Randall pass incomplete to Johnny JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 6:17100% → 100%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Marvin Hall for 11 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+12
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 12 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 8 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+6
99.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 6 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 11 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
99.8%
Jomon Dotson run for 9 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+1
99.8%
Jeff Lindquist run for 1 yd to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Jeff Lindquist run for 5 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Jeff Lindquist run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.9%
Jerrard Randall run for 2 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Orlando Bradford run for 4 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Jerrard Randall run for 12 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Johnny Jackson for no gain to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.9%
Orlando Bradford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Trey Griffey for 7 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 4
OWN 43
-8
99.9%
Jerrard Randall sacked by Connor O'Brien for a loss of 8 yards to the Ariz 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-5
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 42Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 17
OPP 42
-3
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:06
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 31 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+11.4
TD · Q2 9:29
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q2 0:54
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com