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WASH

Washington 14 at Stanford 31

STAN
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:07 · Korey Durkee punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+26.8Home team on offense+8.4Score differential+2.9Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:44: Remound Wright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +2.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:49: Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +5.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:21: Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 50 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +7.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:51: Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:36: K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +3.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:54WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:27STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:55WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55STAN 4th & 3 at WASH 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    84.9%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:08WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:26STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:07WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:04STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:10WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00STAN 4th & 11 at WASH 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:58STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.3%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:45WASH 4th & 5 at STAN 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:13WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 12, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:00STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:44STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:49WASH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:21STAN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:51STAN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:36WASH Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:3889% → 89%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
88.8%
Kevin Hogan run for 7 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
88.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
88.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+15
88.5%
Kevin Hogan run for 15 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
88.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+21
88.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 21 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4412% → 12%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
88.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
88.2%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
88.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2088% → 88%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 20Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
88.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Francis OwusuSimilar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 7
OWN 23
-3
87.9%
Alex Robinson punt for 47 yds , Dante Pettis returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0812% → 13%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
88.0%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 5 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+7
87.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.7%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
87.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+4
87.5%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 4 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
87.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
17 plays · 90 yds · 8:0088% → 90%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
87.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+2
87.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
87.4%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
87.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-12
87.4%
Hogan, Kevin pass complete to Irwin, Trenton for 4 yards to the STANFORD29, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Rector, Michael) 12 yards to the STANFORD13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 19
OWN 13
+24
87.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 24 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
87.3%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete to Hooper, Austin, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference (Jones, Sidney) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector, broken up by Kevin KingSimilar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+12
87.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Bryce Love for 12 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
87.6%
Kevin Hogan run for 4 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
87.5%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
87.2%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+7
86.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
87.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 19 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
87.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.2%
Remound Wright run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.1%
Remound Wright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2411% → 11%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Brayden Lenius, broken up by Aziz ShittuSimilar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
89.4%
Korey Durkee punt for 58 yds, downed at the Stanf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:3390% → 90%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
89.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Daniel Marx for 15 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
90.0%
Remound Wright run for 1 yd to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-4
90.0%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Psalm Wooching and Cory Littleton for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+9
89.6%
Kevin Hogan run for 9 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
89.7%
Alex Robinson punt for 46 yds , Dante Pettis returns for no gain to the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1311% → 10%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
89.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 13 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
89.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+1
88.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-5
89.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Marvin Hall) to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
89.4%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
89.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:4290% → 89%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
89.7%
Barry Sanders run for 4 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+1
89.7%
Barry Sanders run for 1 yd to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 5
OWN 23
-8
89.4%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Cory Littleton and Psalm Wooching for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 15Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
89.0%
Alex Robinson punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4311% → 11%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
89.3%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 8 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
88.8%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Peter KalambayiSimilar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
88.8%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Joshua Perkins, broken up by Alijah HolderSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
89.4%
Korey Durkee punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11END OF HALF
15 plays · 66 yds · 4:0190% → 92%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
89.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
90.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 7 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+9
90.0%
Kevin Hogan run for 9 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
90.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+14
90.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 14 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
90.3%
Remound Wright run for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+10
90.4%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 10 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
90.4%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Francis Owusu for 17 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
90.4%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Dalton Schultz, broken up by JoJo McIntoshSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
90.4%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon Cajuste, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
90.0%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 13Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
89.9%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
92.0%
Conrad Ukropina 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:568% → 15%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
91.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+12
91.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+28
91.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 28 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
90.8%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Stanf 14Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
84.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1588% → 95%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
87.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
87.4%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.8%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
87.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Francis OwusuSimilar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
87.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 9 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+5
87.2%
Remound Wright run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
50
+50
95.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 50 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:257% → 6%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
93.3%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 11 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
93.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
93.2%
Jeff Lindquist run for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+9
93.8%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 9 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
93.7%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+4
94.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
94.0%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Jaydon Mickens, broken up by Mike TylerSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
94.1%
Korey Durkee punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:3695% → 99%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
95.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Barry Sanders for 11 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
95.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
95.5%
Kevin Hogan run for 5 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+22
95.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 22 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
96.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 8 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+3
96.1%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
96.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Greg Taboada for 18 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:521% → 4%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
98.7%
K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 18Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+3
98.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+14
98.7%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 14 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
98.8%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 24 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
98.8%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 47Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 16
OPP 47
+10
98.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 10 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+33
98.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Dante Pettis for 33 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
98.7%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 7Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.7%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q4 11:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.8%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17INT
15 plays · 53 yds · 7:3597% → 98%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-11
96.9%
McCaffrey, Christian rush for 7 yards to the STANFORD30, PENALTY STANFORD illegal block (Schultz, Dalton) 11 yards to the STANFORD12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 21
OWN 12
+2
96.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 19
OWN 14
+21
96.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 21 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.0%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
97.2%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete to Rector, Michael (Gardenhire, Darren), PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference (Gardenhire, Darren) 10 yards to the STANFORD48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
97.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 15 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
97.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+6
97.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-5
97.5%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Kyle Murphy) to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+16
97.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Bryce Love for 16 yds to the Wash 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
97.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-15
98.0%
McCaffrey, Christian rush for 6 yards to the WASHINGTON11, PENALTY STANFORD illegal block (Garnett, Joshua) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 23
OPP 32
+8
98.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 15
OPP 24
0
98.1%
Kevin Hogan pass intercepted Budda Baker return for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:052% → 2%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
98.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 8Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+4
98.3%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 4 yds to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.2%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Brayden Lenius, broken up by Bobby OkerekeSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
98.2%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Brayden LeniusSimilar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
98.3%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Chico McClatcher, broken up by Terrence AlexanderSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
98.3%
Korey Durkee punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:4498% → 99%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
98.4%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
98.6%
Barry Sanders run for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+3
98.7%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Wash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:21
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 50 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q3 12:49
Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-5.9
TD · Q4 11:36
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com