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COLO

Colorado 17 at Oregon State 13

ORST
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:28 · Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the OREGONST 35 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Carrell) to the Colo 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Home team on offense−12.9Garbage-time factor−8.8Score differential−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.4Pregame prior+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:11: Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 15 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +5.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:31: Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +23.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 9:12: Garrett Owens 34 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +7.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:39: Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 34 — COLO win probability +14.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:24: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 36 — COLO win probability +16.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 6:26COLO 4th & 2 at ORST 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:51COLO 4th & 17 at COLO 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ORST 4th & 1 at COLO 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:44ORST 4th & 14 at COLO 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:39COLO 4th & 16 at COLO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−2.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:16ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:32COLO 4th & 8 at COLO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:06ORST 4th & 11 at COLO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−7.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:06COLO 4th & 1 at ORST 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−2.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−10.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:13COLO 4th & 15 at ORST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−3.6
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−10.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:13ORST 4th & 15 at COLO 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:08COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 35, up 4
    Close callPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:38ORST 4th & 10 at COLO 31, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−5.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:39COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−4.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:28ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 25, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:39COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 34, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−2.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:33ORST 4th & 6 at COLO 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−4.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−8.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:58ORST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:11COLO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:31COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1FG
18 plays · 73 yds · 8:3447% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
53.0%
Carr, Patrick rush for 13 yards to the COLO38, out-of-bounds (Strong, Justin), PENALTY COLO holding 10 yards to the COLO15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
53.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+5
53.0%
OREGON ST Penalty, offside defense (Baker Pritchard) to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
53.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 10 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
53.0%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
53.0%
Donovan Lee run for 6 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
53.0%
Liufau, Sefo rush for 3 yards to the COLO47 (Saulo, Caleb), PENALTY OSU offside defense (Chappell, Devin) 5 yards to the COLO49, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
53.0%
Donovan Lee run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
53.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+4
53.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 4 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+19
53.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 19 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
53.0%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Sam Kronshage) to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
53.0%
Donovan Lee run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-8
53.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 5 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding (Phillip Lindsay) to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+8
53.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 8 yds to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
53.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q1 6:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+21
52.7%
Diego Gonzalez 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:2153% → 58%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
53.0%
Seth Collins run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+27
53.0%
Seth Collins run for 27 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
54.0%
Seth Collins pass complete to Paul Lucas for 7 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
54.1%
Damien Haskins run for no gain to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+24
53.9%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 24 yds to the Colo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
54.4%
Seth Collins pass complete to Nick Mitchell for 11 yds to the Colo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
54.9%
Storm Woods run for 1 yd to the Colo 1Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.2%
Ryan Nall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
57.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+3
56.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 3
OWN 31
-15
57.0%
Liufau, Sefo pass complete to Spruce, Nelson for 7 yards to the COLO38 (Williams, D.), PENALTY COLO personal foul (Nembot,Stephane) 15 yards to the COLO16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 18
OWN 16
+6
57.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 12
OWN 22
-5
58.0%
Kinney, Alex punt 50 yards to the OSU28, Dockery, Rahmel return to the OSU27 (White, Evan), PENALTY COLO illegal formation 5 yards to the COLO17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 17
OWN 17
0
58.0%
Alex Kinney punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:2158% → 58%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
58.1%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
57.7%
Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+10
57.8%
Seth Collins run for 10 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
58.6%
Victor Bolden run for 5 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
58.6%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
58.3%
Seth Collins run for 4 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
57.8%
Ryan Nall run for no gain to the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:1142% → 50%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
57.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 5 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
56.7%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+2
56.9%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
56.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
57.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 10 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
56.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 10 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
56.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 24 yds to the OrgSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
55.6%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Jonathan Huckins) to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+4
55.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 4 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-1
55.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+15
50.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 15 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:2053% → 56%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
52.7%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+3
54.1%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
53.5%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Jordan Villamin for no gain to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
53.2%
Chris Brown run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+36
54.0%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for 36 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-9
56.1%
Nick Mitchell sacked by Kenneth Olugbode for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 29 OREGON ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Nick Mitchell) to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 19
OPP 29
+5
54.7%
Chris Brown run for 5 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 14
OPP 24
0
53.3%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+42
55.9%
Garrett Owens 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
53.3%
Christian Powell run for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
51.9%
Christian Powell run for 5 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
52.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
52.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Donovan LeeSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-6
53.2%
Sefo Liufau run for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 32 Sefo Liufau fumbled, recovered by Colo Sefo LiufauSimilar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
54.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 58 yds, downed at the OrgSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:3057% → 53%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
56.8%
Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+21
56.9%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 21 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
58.0%
OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (Sean Harlow) to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
57.0%
Nick Mitchell sacked by Chidobe Awuzie for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+5
55.3%
Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
54.2%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
53.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0050% → 47%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
49.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete, broken up by Baker PritchardSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
50.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
51.0%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
52.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10END OF HALF
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:3056% → 55%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
55.5%
Ryan Nall run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+16
55.5%
Ryan Nall run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
55.8%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor Bolden, broken up by Chidobe AwuzieSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
55.4%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+13
53.8%
Chris Brown run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
58.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-15
57.0%
Mitchell, Nick pass complete to Guyton, Datrin for 38 yards to the COLO17, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Guyton, Datrin) 15 yards to the OSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 25
OWN 30
+9
55.1%
Chris Brown run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:4759% → 56%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
58.5%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 45 OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Sean Harlow) to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 18
OWN 35
0
56.1%
Seth Collins run for no gain to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+5
55.9%
Seth Collins run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+35
55.3%
Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 35 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
60.1%
Seth Collins run for 2 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+1
60.1%
Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the Colo 22Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-4
59.0%
Seth Collins sacked by Leo Jackson III for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
55.6%
Garrett Owens 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 6:5347% → 46%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
52.7%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+8
52.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
51.1%
Sefo Liufau run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
49.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+4
48.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
48.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+4
48.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+3
49.1%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+1
50.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
47.7%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
48.1%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 19
-9
49.1%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Baker Pritchard and Cyril Noland-Lewis for a loss of 9 yards to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+45
54.1%
Diego Gonzalez 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0057% → 54%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
56.5%
Ryan Nall run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+20
59.1%
Ryan Nall run for 20 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
60.8%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
60.5%
Seth Collins run for 3 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-8
60.1%
Nick Mitchell sacked by Samson Kafovalu for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 15
OPP 48
0
54.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 4:2247% → 78%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
52.6%
Donovan Lee run for 7 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+4
51.3%
Donovan Lee run for 4 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
52.2%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
51.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 4 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+4
51.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 4 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
50.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+22
51.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Sean Irwin for 22 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
47.5%
Lee, Donovan rush for 4 yards to the OSU37 (Willis, J.), PENALTY OSU offside defense 5 yards to the OSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+8
47.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
45.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+12
46.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 12 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
45.6%
Donovan Lee run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+6
45.6%
Donovan Lee run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
22.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:1330% → 39%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
29.5%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+26
29.9%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 26 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
34.8%
Ryan Nall run for 16 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
36.9%
Chris Brown run for 9 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+13
36.9%
Ryan Nall run for 13 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
36.9%
Nall, Ryan rush for 4 yards to the COLO6 (Bell, Jered), PENALTY OSU holding 10 yards to the COLO20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
0
36.0%
Nick Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+4
35.5%
Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
31.8%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
39.4%
Garrett Owens 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
31.5%
Christian Powell run for 5 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
30.1%
Donovan Lee run for 2 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
31.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce Bobo, broken up by Kyle PekoSimilar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
33.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 32 yds, downed at the OrgSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
38.3%
Ryan Nall run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+6
41.5%
Ryan Nall run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
42.5%
Ryan Nall run for no gain to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
42.0%
Ryan Nall run for no gain to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+21
38.5%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 21 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
45.9%
Nick Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
45.8%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Paul LucasSimilar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
42.4%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor Bolden, broken up by Tedric ThompsonSimilar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 10
OPP 31
0
37.0%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0077% → 74%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
22.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+6
22.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 6 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-3
21.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 4
OWN 37
-5
24.6%
COLORADO Penalty, delay of game (Alex Kinney) to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
25.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 26%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.7%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Paul LucasSimilar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
29.0%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
27.3%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor Bolden, broken up by Chidobe AwuzieSimilar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+50
25.6%
Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the OREGONST 35 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Carrell) to the Colo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:2484% → 89%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
16.2%
Christian Powell run for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
11.0%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
10.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
10.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0021% → 23%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
21.1%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-7
23.6%
Nick Mitchell sacked by Terran Hasselbach for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 41 Nick Mitchell fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Ryan Nall , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+15
21.5%
Mitchell, Nick pass incomplete to Bolden,Victor, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Awuzie, Chidobe) 15 yards to the COLO44, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
26.6%
Nick Mitchell pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
24.9%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Victor Bolden for no gain to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+4
22.8%
Nick Mitchell pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 4 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
22.5%
Nick Mitchell pass intercepted Chidobe Awuzie return for no gain to the Colo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
5.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:31
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)
-23.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:24
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 36
-16.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:39
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 34
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com