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UTAH

Utah 24 at USC 42

USC
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+8.7USC 77.6%Cameron Smith 54 Yd InterceptionReturn (Alex Wood Kick)AWAY 14 - HOME 28 · Q2 1:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:07 · Cameron Smith 54 Yd Interception Return (Alex Wood Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Home team on offense+8.9Pregame prior+7.3Score differential+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:49: Bubba Poole 2 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick) — UTAH win probability +6.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:47: Soma Vainuku 1 Yd Run (Alex Wood Kick) — USC win probability +7.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:40: Ronald Jones II 18 Yd Run (Alex Wood Kick) — USC win probability +8.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:07: Cameron Smith 54 Yd Interception Return (Alex Wood Kick) — USC win probability +8.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:37: Cody Kessler 1 Yd Run (Alex Wood Kick) — USC win probability +11.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:59UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:53USC 4th & 16 at USC 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:22USC 4th & 6 at USC 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:54UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:26USC 4th & 4 at USC 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:47USC 4th & 1 at UTAH 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−9.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:35UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:07UTAH 4th & 2 at USC 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−1.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:55USC 4th & 9 at USC 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:30UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 40, down 11
    Close callPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:37USC 4th & 1 at UTAH 1, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−2.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−7.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:06UTAH 4th & 20 at UTAH 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:57USC 4th & 19 at UTAH 19, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:49USC 4th & 2 at UTAH 26, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:59USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:53UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:49UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:47USC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:40USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:07USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:37USC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:58USC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:00UTAH Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:5336% → 36%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.3%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
64.2%
Travis Wilson run for 5 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
64.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 13 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
64.1%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 48 Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-4
64.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+3
64.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 3 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
64.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:4464% → 67%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-4
64.1%
Cody Kessler sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 8Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+10
64.0%
Justin Davis run for 10 yds to the USC 18Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+19
63.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 19 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
64.1%
Adoree' Jackson run for 2 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+9
64.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Jalen Greene for 9 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
64.5%
Ronald Jones II run for 20 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
64.8%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+21
64.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Dominic Davis for 12 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Jason Whittingham) to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
67.0%
Justin Davis 9 Yd Run (Alex Wood Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 3:5034% → 38%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
66.2%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+6
66.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 6 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+8
66.5%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
66.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
66.0%
USC Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kenny Bigelow Jr.) to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
66.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 1 yd to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+8
66.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 8 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+5
66.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 5 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
66.1%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
61.7%
Britain Covey 30 Yd pass from Travis Wilson (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4763% → 62%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
63.1%
Justin Davis run for 6 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-3
63.2%
Adoree' Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 12Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 7
OWN 12
-9
62.7%
Cody Kessler sacked by Hunter Dimick and Jason Whittingham for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 3Similar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 16
OWN 3
+40
62.2%
Kris Albarado punt for 39 yds , Britain Covey returns for 40 yds to the USC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.2%
Bubba Poole 2 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:1358% → 56%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
57.8%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the USC 18Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+18
57.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 18 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
57.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Dominic Davis for 8 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-1
58.5%
Dominic Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 43Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-3
57.9%
Justin Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 40Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
56.3%
Kris Albarado punt for 30 yds, downed at the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2044% → 43%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
55.9%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
55.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-5
56.4%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
56.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 44 yds, downed at the USC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:2256% → 56%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
56.1%
Jalen Greene pass incomplete to Tyler PetiteSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
55.8%
Ronald Jones II run for 11 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
56.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 6 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
57.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
56.6%
Cody Kessler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+18
55.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Cory Butler-Byrd. Downed at Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:1446% → 46%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
54.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
54.3%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3758% → 64%
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
57.8%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
57.8%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to De'Quan HamptonSimilar
Q2 10:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
56.7%
Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.7%
Soma Vainuku 1 Yd Run (Alex Wood Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5939% → 39%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
61.1%
Travis Wilson run for 12 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
60.7%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
60.4%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
59.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain Covey, broken up by Lamar DawsonSimilar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
60.8%
Tom Hackett punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:4663% → 74%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
62.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 14 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
63.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 9 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+5
64.7%
Justin Davis run for 5 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
64.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 9 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-1
65.0%
Justin Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
64.5%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
65.0%
Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+29
64.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to De'Quan Hampton for 29 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
65.6%
Jones II, Ronald rush for 2 yards to the UTAH6, PENALTY USC holding (Pinner, Jahleel) 10 yards to the UTAH18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
0
65.5%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Tyler Petite, broken up by Jason WhittinghamSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
73.6%
Ronald Jones II 18 Yd Run (Alex Wood Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13INT TD
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:1129% → 22%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
71.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 9 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+12
70.4%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
70.5%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
70.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+14
71.9%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Scott, Kenneth (Marshall, Iman), PENALTY USC pass interference (Marshall, Iman) 14 yards to the UTAH47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
69.0%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 45 Travis Wilson fumbled, recovered by UtahSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
70.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+10
71.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 10 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+54
77.6%
Cameron Smith 54 Yd Interception Return (Alex Wood Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14DOWNS
14 plays · 40 yds · 0:5221% → 20%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
79.8%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
79.9%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Singleton, Raelon (Marshall, Iman), PENALTY USC pass interference (Marshall, Iman) 15 yards to the USC49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
78.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 3 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+21
79.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 21 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
78.5%
Travis Wilson sacked by Delvon Simmons for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 35Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 20
OPP 35
0
81.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Bubba PooleSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 20
OPP 35
+53
80.0%
Andy Phillips 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5278% → 77%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.4%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
78.4%
Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the USC 21Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
77.8%
Cody Kessler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:55
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+3
77.0%
Kris Albarado punt for 48 yds , Britain Covey returns for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1822% → 21%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
77.7%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
77.2%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
77.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain Covey, broken up by Leon McQuay IIISimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
79.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 43 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for no gain to the USC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18TD
20 plays · 83 yds · 8:4679% → 95%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
79.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 3 yds to the USC 20Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+7
79.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 7 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
80.0%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 4 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
80.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Dominic Davis for 2 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+15
79.0%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 15 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
81.1%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 8
50
-6
81.5%
Cody Kessler sacked by Gionni Paul for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 44Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+15
79.9%
Kessler, Cody pass incomplete to Petite, Tyler, PENALTY UTAH personal foul (Tu'ikolovatu, Stevie) 15 yards to the UTAH41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
82.0%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-5
82.2%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 43 Ronald Jones II fumbled, forced by Gionni Paul, recovered by USC Soma VainukuSimilar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+16
81.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 16 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
82.7%
Dominic Davis run for 4 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
82.9%
Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+18
82.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tyler Petite for 18 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
83.5%
Justin Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 7Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
84.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 6 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.6%
Justin Davis run for no gain to the Utah 1Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.4%
Cody Kessler 1 Yd Run (Alex Wood Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:168% → 5%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
92.2%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+12
92.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 12 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
92.1%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+16
92.4%
Travis Wilson run for 16 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
92.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 49Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-5
93.2%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Jackson Barton) to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 17
OWN 46
0
94.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae Booker, broken up by Delvon SimmonsSimilar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 17
OWN 46
-3
94.3%
Travis Wilson sacked by Su'a Cravens for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 20
OWN 43
+48
94.8%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 4:0098% → 100%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
97.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 7 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+19
98.1%
Justin Davis run for 19 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
98.2%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 33Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+29
98.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 29 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
98.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Jalen Greene for 6 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
98.4%
Justin Davis run for 5 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
98.6%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+25
99.6%
JuJu Smith-Schuster 25 Yd pass from Cody Kessler (Alex Wood Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21INT
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
98.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 22 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
98.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 5 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+27
98.9%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted Cameron Smith return for 27 yds to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22MISSED FG
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:47100% → 100%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.6%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+13
99.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 13 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
99.6%
USC Penalty, False Start (Zach Banner) to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
-1
99.7%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
99.8%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-7
99.8%
Cody Kessler sacked by Kylie Fitts for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+36
99.7%
Alex Wood 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:491% → 2%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 5 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
99.2%
Travis Wilson run for 9 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
97.6%
Britain Covey 66 Yd pass from Travis Wilson (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.4%
Justin Davis run for 7 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+2
99.4%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-1
99.5%
Justin Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 2
OPP 26
-1
99.3%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:152% → 2%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for no gain to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
98.0%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+6
97.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 6 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
97.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Marcus Sanders-Williams for 17 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 6 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-7
97.7%
Travis Wilson sacked by Delvon Simmons for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 45Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+8
98.3%
Travis Wilson run for 8 yds to the USC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:37
Cody Kessler 1 Yd Run (Alex Wood Kick)
+11.7
TD · Q2 1:07
Cameron Smith 54 Yd Interception Return (Alex Wood Kick)
+8.7
TD · Q2 3:40
Ronald Jones II 18 Yd Run (Alex Wood Kick)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com