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WSU

Washington State 45 at Arizona 42

ARIZ
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:36 · Drew Riggleman punt for 49 yds , Gabe Marks returns for 10 yds to the WshSt 41 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the WshSt 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+20.9Home team on offense−2.1Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:34: Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +23.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:22: Jerrard Randall pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 3 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +11.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:07: Jared Baker run for 6 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +25.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 2:03: Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +25.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:44: Jerrard Randall pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 20 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +35.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:28ARIZ 4th & 3 at ARIZ 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:54WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:36ARIZ 4th & 16 at ARIZ 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:02WSU 4th & 17 at WSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:24WSU 4th & 4 at ARIZ 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.6
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−5.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:34ARIZ 4th & 2 at WSU 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−1.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−10.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:56WSU 4th & 21 at ARIZ 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−2.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    77.7%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00WSU 4th & 10 at ARIZ 33, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    69.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:18ARIZ 4th & 2 at WSU 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−1.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−9.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:01WSU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−7.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−27.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:28WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:46WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:30ARIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:19WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:51WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:22ARIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:34WSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:22ARIZ Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:07ARIZ Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:03WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:44ARIZ Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:3225% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 23 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+4
74.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
74.6%
Luke Falk run for 1 yd to the Ariz 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+13
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 13 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
74.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+4
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 4 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+13
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 13 yds to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 5 yds to the Ariz 6Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
71.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 9 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
72.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 5 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
72.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 8 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
72.7%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 47Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-1
72.6%
Nick Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 46Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 3
OWN 46
+2
72.3%
Drew Riggleman punt for 50 yds , Gabe Marks returns for 2 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:2129% → 31%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
71.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+3
71.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+11
71.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 11 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
70.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 20 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
70.5%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the WshSt 40Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
70.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+4
68.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive offside (4 Yards) to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
68.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River Cracraft, broken up by Paul Magloire Jr.Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
69.0%
Zach Charme punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
69.0%
Anu Solomon run for 4 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+11
69.2%
Anu Solomon run for 11 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
69.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 20
OWN 27
0
69.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+4
69.0%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 16
OWN 31
0
68.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+10
68.5%
Drew Riggleman punt for 49 yds , Gabe Marks returns for 10 yds to the WshSt 41 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:0932% → 38%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
68.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 31 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
66.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 6 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
66.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyrin PriesterSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+43
61.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 43 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:1662% → 67%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.4%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
62.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 5 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+23
62.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 23 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
63.4%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
63.4%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+13
63.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 13 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
63.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 10 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
63.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
63.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+14
63.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 14 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
63.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (4 Yards) to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
63.7%
Jared Baker run for no gain to the WshSt 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
61.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive holding (1 Yards) to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.3%
Jared Baker run for no gain to the WshSt 1Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.1%
Jared Baker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:2836% → 30%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
64.4%
Luke Falk run for 13 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
63.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
63.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-5
63.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-7
64.2%
Luke Falk sacked by Reggie Gilbert and Jeff Worthy for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 31 Luke Falk fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 17
OWN 31
+69
70.3%
Zach Charme punt for 38 yds , Nate Phillips returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:3831% → 43%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
69.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 16 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
68.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+11
68.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
67.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
67.4%
Keith Harrington run for 5 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+30
66.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 30 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
66.6%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 2 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by WshSt Luke FalkSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
57.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:2144% → 54%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
55.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+9
55.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 9 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
55.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 6 yds to the Ariz 6Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
46.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 6 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:2148% → 60%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+19
48.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 19 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
49.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 37Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+34
48.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 34 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
50.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb Jones, broken up by Marcellus PippinsSimilar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
50.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (7 Yards) to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
50.7%
Jared Baker run for 3 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+6
50.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 6 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+6
50.2%
Jared Baker run for 6 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
60.1%
Jared Baker run for 7 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 3:5845% → 54%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
53.8%
Keith Harrington run for no gain to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+14
54.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 14 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
52.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 6
50
+5
52.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 5 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+13
52.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 13 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
52.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard Wicks, broken up by Reggie GilbertSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
52.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 4 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+14
52.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 14 yds to the Ariz 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
52.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 3 yds to the Ariz 11Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
52.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
46.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
46.4%
Erik Powell 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
47.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-2
46.9%
Jared Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.1%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
46.9%
Anu Solomon run for 9 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
47.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ariz Anu SolomonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
45.4%
Drew Riggleman punt for 49 yds , Gabe Marks returns for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 5:1853% → 78%
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
46.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 9 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+15
46.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 15 yds Jamal Morrow fumbled, forced by - Flanniganfowles, recovered by WshSt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.2%
Luke Falk run for no gain to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
45.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 14 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
45.0%
Keith Harrington run for 5 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+15
44.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-9
44.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Jeff Worthy for a loss of 9 yards to the Ariz 35Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 19
OPP 35
0
45.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for no gain to the Ariz 35Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 19
OPP 35
+28
46.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 28 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
44.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 5 yds to the Ariz 2Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
44.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 13:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
45.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (1 Yards) to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 64 yds · 0:0026% → 29%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+59
26.2%
Jerrard Randall run for 59 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
29.7%
Jerrard Randall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
29.7%
Jerrard Randall pass incomplete to Nate PhillipsSimilar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-10
28.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 20
OPP 26
+18
27.7%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Trey Griffey for 18 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 2
OPP 8
-3
29.1%
Jared Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
22.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+7
22.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 7 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+8
23.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 8 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+41
22.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 41 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
20.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-2
20.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 12
OPP 33
0
21.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 12
OPP 33
-4
23.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the Ariz 37Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 16
OPP 37
-5
23.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 21
OPP 42
0
23.1%
Zach Charme punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:4821% → 35%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
20.8%
Samajie Grant run for 21 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
22.7%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+9
22.6%
Jerrard Randall run for 9 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
23.3%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
23.3%
Jerrard Randall run for 7 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+8
23.8%
Jerrard Randall run for 8 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
22.6%
Jerrard Randall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+25
22.3%
Cayleb Jones pass complete to Trey Griffey for 25 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
22.9%
Jerrard Randall run for 2 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
22.9%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
Q3 0:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
34.5%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 3 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 0:2270% → 69%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
29.5%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
29.2%
Keith Harrington run for 9 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
27.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
27.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WshSt Luke FalkSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+23
28.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 23 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
26.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jeremiah Allison, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
26.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
27.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 33
0
30.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Keith HarringtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:1126% → 54%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
26.4%
Jerrard Randall pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
26.2%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 6 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+8
26.2%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 8 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
28.4%
Jerrard Randall run for 11 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
29.9%
Jerrard Randall run for 1 yd to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
29.7%
Jerrard Randall pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+18
28.2%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Nate Phillips for 18 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
32.6%
Jerrard Randall run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+9
30.8%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 9 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+2
30.4%
Jerrard Randall run for 2 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+9
28.5%
Jerrard Randall run for 9 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
54.4%
Jared Baker run for 6 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 5:5862% → 94%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
37.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 8 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+21
35.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 21 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
33.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+14
33.3%
Luke Falk run for 14 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
31.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-10
31.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 15
OPP 31
+15
33.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 15 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
31.7%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 17Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+7
31.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 7 yds to the Ariz 10Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
33.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 3 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+3
36.2%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the Ariz 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
31.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 9Similar
Q4 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
5.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:197% → 43%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
7.1%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 9 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
7.7%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Samajie Grant for no gain to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
7.1%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Samajie Grant for 8 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+38
7.7%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 38 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
42.8%
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 20 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:1789% → 95%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
11.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
6.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
5.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
5.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:44
Jerrard Randall pass complete to Johnny Jackson for 20 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)
+35.1
TD · Q4 8:07
Jared Baker run for 6 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)
+25.9
TD · Q4 2:03
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-25.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com