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ORST

Oregon State 31 at Washington State 52

WSU
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:27 · Nick Porebski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Gabe Marks at the WshSt 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Home team on offense+12.2Score differential+8.0Pregame prior+16.2Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:48: Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +5.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:52: Erik Powell 30 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:39: Erik Powell kickoff for 65 yds , Victor Bolden return for 100 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ORST win probability +7.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:27: Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +8.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:21: Seth Collins run for 12 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ORST win probability +6.7 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ORST made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:15ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:42ORST 4th & 16 at WSU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:48ORST 4th & 15 at ORST 20, down 18
    Numbers favored punt by 2.3 ptsWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:52WSU 4th & 9 at ORST 13, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−4.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:27ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00ORST 4th & 18 at ORST 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:55WSU 4th & 23 at WSU 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:22ORST 4th & 10 at WSU 30, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:48ORST 4th & 2 at WSU 9, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:47ORST 4th & 4 at WSU 9, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:40WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 38, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:15WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:20WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:48WSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:39ORST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:27WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:11WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:21ORST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:17WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:47ORST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:45WSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:3674% → 75%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
73.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+13
73.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
73.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-5
73.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+11
73.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+12
73.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 12 yds to the OrgSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
73.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 14 yds to the OrgSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.1%
Seth Collins run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
74.0%
Seth Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
74.2%
Seth Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
74.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Gabe Marks at the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4274% → 78%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
74.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 18 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
74.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 26 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
74.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 4 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
74.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+5
74.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
74.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 11 yds to the OrgSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4FG
17 plays · 51 yds · 5:3223% → 24%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
76.8%
Seth Collins run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
76.6%
Seth Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+6
76.7%
Seth Collins run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
76.7%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 6 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
76.4%
Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 6 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
76.5%
Seth Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
76.6%
Seth Collins run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+11
76.6%
Seth Collins pass complete to Rahmel Dockery for 11 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
76.3%
Paul Lucas run for 1 yd to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+17
76.3%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 17 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-14
75.9%
Seth Collins run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 29 OREGON ST Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 39Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 24
OPP 39
+7
76.5%
Seth Collins pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 17
OPP 32
+1
76.3%
Storm Woods run for 1 yd to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 16
OPP 31
0
76.6%
Seth Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+50
76.2%
Garrett Owens 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 1:4976% → 82%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
75.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 8 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+6
75.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 6 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
76.4%
Keith Harrington run for 18 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
76.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
76.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-5
76.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+5
75.7%
OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Lavonte Barnett) to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+18
76.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 18 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
77.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Dwayne WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
82.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
81.8%
OREGON ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+2
81.9%
Victor Bolden run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
82.1%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden, broken up by Logan TagoSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
82.1%
Seth Collins pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 5 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-6
82.2%
Nick Porebski run for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3483% → 88%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
82.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 9 yds to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 1
OPP 5
-15
83.2%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Marks, Gabe for 5 yards to the OSU0, clock 12:46, PENALTY WSU pass interference (Lewis, Robert) 15 yards to the OSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 16
OPP 20
0
83.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 16
OPP 20
+7
82.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 7 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
88.1%
Erik Powell 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:1281% → 89%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
50
+28
81.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 28 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
81.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 10 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
81.2%
OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive offside (4 Yards) to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 6
OPP 8
+8
89.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.9%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 8 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
87.2%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Hunter JarmonSimilar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
87.6%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
88.1%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
88.2%
Nick Porebski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Gabe Marks at the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:4190% → 95%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
90.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
90.4%
Keith Harrington run for 4 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+7
90.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 7 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
90.8%
Tavares Martin Jr. run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
90.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 21 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
95.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 22 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:454% → 11%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+42
95.6%
Seth Collins run for 42 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
95.0%
Storm Woods run for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
94.5%
Seth Collins run for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
94.7%
Seth Collins run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
94.7%
Seth Collins pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 7 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 3
OPP 20
-5
94.5%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+13
94.7%
Seth Collins run for 13 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
89.0%
Seth Collins run for 12 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:5993% → 98%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
92.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-12
92.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Titus Failauga for a loss of 12 yards to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 19
OWN 19
+25
92.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 25 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
92.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
92.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
92.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 15 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
92.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+23
92.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 23 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
92.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 1 yd to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
98.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 11 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14Uncategorized
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
97.2%
Collins, Seth pass complete to VanderVeen, B. for 20 yards to the WSU47, PENALTY OSU ineligible downfield on pass (Harlow, Sean) 5 yards to the OSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
97.6%
Storm Woods run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 22 Storm Woods fumbled, forced by Peyton Pelluer, recovered by OrgSt Storm WoodsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
97.6%
Storm Woods run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.2%
Seth Collins run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
97.5%
Seth Collins pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-10
97.4%
Collins, Seth rush for 1 yard to the WSU49 (Henry, Parker), PENALTY OSU holding (Woods,Storm) 10 yards to the OSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+2
97.6%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 42
0
97.6%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 42
0
97.6%
Seth Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 42
0
97.7%
Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Gabe Marks at the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
98.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 4 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+9
98.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 9 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
98.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 18 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
98.9%
Keith Harrington run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 3 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
99.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 1 yd to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 6
OPP 36
-17
99.0%
Luke Falk sacked by Jonathan Willis for a loss of 17 yards to the WshSt 47 Luke Falk fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 23
OWN 47
0
98.9%
Zach Charme punt for 38 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for no gain to the OrgSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 62 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.3%
Damien Haskins run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+8
99.3%
Seth Collins run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Ryan Nall run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 40 OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Villamin) to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.2%
Victor Bolden run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+18
99.2%
Damien Haskins run for 18 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.3%
Seth Collins run for 1 yd to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+15
99.3%
Ryan Nall run for 15 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.2%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+4
99.2%
Chris Brown run for 4 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 3
OPP 23
-2
99.2%
Chris Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 5
OPP 25
-5
99.0%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.0%
Seth Collins run for 7 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18INT
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+9
99.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 9 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 5 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
99.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
99.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.6%
Keith Harrington run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
99.6%
Luke Falk run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
99.6%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Rommel Mageo return for 23 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.7%
Seth Collins run for 7 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+6
99.7%
Seth Collins run for 6 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.7%
Seth Collins run for 1 yd to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+12
99.7%
Seth Collins run for 12 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.7%
Storm Woods run for 5 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+7
99.7%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 7 yds to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
99.8%
Seth Collins run for 2 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+4
99.8%
Storm Woods run for 4 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+1
99.7%
Seth Collins run for 1 yd to the WshSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20INT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+14
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 14 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
99.8%
Morrow, Jamal rush for 7 yards to the WSU34 (Strong, Justin), PENALTY WSU holding (Dahl, Joe) 10 yards to the WSU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 20
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Keith HarringtonSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+7
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+21
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 21 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
99.8%
Harrington, K. rush for 5 yards to the 50 yardline (Decoud, Treston), PENALTY WSU holding (Sorenson, Riley) 10 yards to the WSU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 20
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyrin PriesterSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 20
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 20
OWN 35
+30
99.8%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Brandon Arnold return for 30 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:430% → 1%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
99.9%
Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 12 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin, broken up by Kirkland ParkerSimilar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.1%
Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds for a TD, (Victor Bolden pass to Jordan Villamin for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23INT TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:591% → 0%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.2%
Seth Collins pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 6 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+13
99.3%
Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 13 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
99.2%
Seth Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+20
99.2%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 20 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+84
99.9%
Seth Collins pass intercepted for a TD Shalom Luani return for 84 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 25INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
100.0%
Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 7 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-7
99.9%
Seth Collins sacked by Darryl Paulo for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Seth Collins pass intercepted Shalom Luani return for no gain to the WshSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
100.0%
Keith Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to River Cracraft, broken up by Cyril Noland-LewisSimilar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 2 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Zach Charme punt blocked by Chris Brown blocked by Chris Brown Jonathan Willis return for 6 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 27TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:130% → 0%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
100.0%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 21 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Chris Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:27
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+8.1
TD · Q2 11:39
Erik Powell kickoff for 65 yds , Victor Bolden return for 100 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
-7.8
TD · Q2 4:21
Seth Collins run for 12 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
-6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com