Try the model
ORE

Oregon 26 at Washington 20

WASH
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-1.9WASH 32.7%Cameron Van Winkle 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 16 - HOME 6 · Q3 11:43
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:43 · Cameron Van Winkle 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Home team on offense−10.7Score differential−4.9Garbage-time factor−3.0Pregame prior+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:30: Bralon Addison run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +7.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:12: Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Darren Carrington for 9 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +17.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:39: Myles Gaskin run for 72 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +9.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:04: Aidan Schneider 24 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +11.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:35: Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +21.3 pts (now 29%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:55WASH 4th & 1 at ORE 39, down 6
    Close callPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:55ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:16WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ORE 4th & 12 at ORE 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:45WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−0.5
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:11ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 30, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:41WASH 4th & 24 at WASH 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:06WASH 4th & 7 at ORE 22, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:43WASH 4th & 27 at ORE 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−4.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:36ORE 4th & 1 at WASH 4, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.8%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    61.0%−2.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−10.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:32WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 28, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:22ORE 4th & 25 at ORE 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−4.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:06ORE 4th & 14 at WASH 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−3.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−9.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:06WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 27, down 10
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:04ORE 4th & 7 at WASH 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−10.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:25ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:00ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    41.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:30ORE Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:12ORE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:39WASH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:35WASH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:0045% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
54.7%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
54.7%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+48
54.7%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 48 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
54.7%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-1
54.7%
Taj Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+36
54.4%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Darren Carrington for 36 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
54.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
54.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+11
54.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 11 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
54.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+8
54.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
54.7%
Chico McClatcher run for 1 yd to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+10
54.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
54.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
54.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 5 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
54.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 2 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
54.6%
Jake Browning punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
54.0%
OREGON Penalty, false start (Darren Carrington) to the Oregn 5Similar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+6
54.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Bralon Addison for 6 yds to the Oregn 11Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
54.0%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+2
54.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+5
54.4%
[PUNT], PENALTY WASH offside defense (Wooching, Psalm) 5 yards to the ORE21, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
53.9%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+14
53.6%
Royce Freeman run for 14 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
53.3%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 42Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
53.5%
Kani Benoit run for 3 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
53.4%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
53.9%
Ian Wheeler punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+34
52.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 34 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
53.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 7 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
53.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for no gain to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-8
53.7%
Jake Browning sacked by Henry Mondeaux for a loss of 8 yards to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+41
52.3%
Korey Durkee punt for 31 yds, downed at the WASHINGTON 31 OREGON Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Oregn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:5348% → 48%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
51.7%
OREGON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 11Similar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+1
51.8%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 12Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 19
OWN 12
+9
51.8%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 9 yds to the Oregn 21Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+24
52.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Darren Carrington for 24 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
50.5%
Royce Freeman run for 9 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-5
49.6%
Taj Griffin run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-6
50.1%
Vernon Adams Jr. sacked by Keishawn Bierria and Psalm Wooching for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 43
+3
51.8%
Ian Wheeler punt for 45 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 3 yds to the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
51.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 4 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
51.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
50.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
50.1%
Korey Durkee punt for 57 yds, downed at the Oregn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
49.6%
Bralon Addison run for 5 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
48.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Evan Baylis for 3 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
49.2%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd to the Oregn 30Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
49.9%
Ian Wheeler punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
49.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 9 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+1
51.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
50.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 35 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding (Joshua Perkins) to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 17
OWN 25
+4
49.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 17
OWN 25
0
49.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Brayden Lenius, broken up by DeForest BucknerSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 13
OWN 29
-10
48.8%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Perkins, Joshua for 10 yards to the WASH39, out-of-bounds (Springs, Arrion), PENALTY WASH holding (Adams, Trey) 10 yards to the WASH19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 23
OWN 19
+9
48.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 9 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 14
OWN 28
-10
48.5%
Durkee, Korey punt 60 yards to the ORE12, downed, PENALTY WASH holding (Lindquist, Jeff) 10 yards to the WASH18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 24
OWN 18
+3
48.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 33 yds , Bralon Addison returns for 3 yds to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:2957% → 64%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
43.5%
Taj Griffin run for 3 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-5
43.5%
Adams Jr., V. pass incomplete to Carrington, D. (Jones, Sidney), PENALTY ORE ineligible downfield on pass (Griffin, Taj) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 12
50
0
43.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Bralon Addison, broken up by Kevin KingSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 12
50
+29
44.7%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Darren Carrington for 29 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
43.2%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+2
43.2%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+7
43.6%
Taj Griffin run for 7 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
36.1%
Bralon Addison run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 3:2037% → 39%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
37.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 18 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
38.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
38.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+12
37.6%
Jake Browning run for 12 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
39.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 16 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Deontae CooperSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
40.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Trey Adams) to the Oregn 30Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+12
39.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 12 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-4
38.8%
Jake Browning sacked by Tui Talia for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 22Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
39.3%
Cameron Van Winkle 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 0:5961% → 74%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
39.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (Darrell Daniels) to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
38.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Bralon Addison for 12 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
37.3%
Vernon Adams Jr. sacked by Ben Burr-Kirven for a loss of 10 yards to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+7
38.3%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+44
36.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Bralon Addison for 44 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
34.4%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Darren CarringtonSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
31.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+28
26.5%
Aidan Schneider 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:1734% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
33.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 31 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
35.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 3 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
35.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon Mickens WASHINGTON Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+30
35.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 30 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
37.1%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 12
-7
37.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Alex Balducci and DeForest Buckner for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 19
-9
34.5%
Jake Browning sacked by DeForest Buckner for a loss of 9 yards to the Oregn 28Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 27
OPP 28
+46
32.7%
Cameron Van Winkle 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 5:2465% → 85%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
34.6%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 22Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+17
34.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 17 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
32.9%
Royce Freeman run for 18 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
32.8%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
32.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Bralon Addison for 13 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
32.4%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+13
32.3%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 13 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
32.3%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Kirk MerrittSimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
32.3%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the Wash 5Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
33.3%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Wash 4Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+1
34.2%
Bralon Addison run for 1 yd to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
32.7%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 4Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
32.3%
OREGON Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Doug Brenner) to the Wash 9Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
14.6%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Darren Carrington for 9 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3418% → 17%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
18.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
18.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
18.7%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+15
17.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 47 yds , Bralon Addison returns for 15 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-9
13.1%
Taj Griffin run for 1 yd to the Oregn 41 OREGON Penalty, Offensive holding (Cameron Hunt) to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 19
OWN 31
+18
14.1%
Royce Freeman run for 18 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+7
12.5%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
12.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. sacked by Travis Feeney for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+3
13.0%
Taj Griffin run for 3 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 8
OPP 42
-15
13.1%
Adams Jr., V. pass complete to Carrington, D. for 20 yards to the WASH22 (Baker, Budda), PENALTY ORE pass interference (Addison, Bralon) 15 yards to the ORE43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 23
OWN 43
-2
13.7%
Taj Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 41 OREGON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 25
OWN 41
0
14.6%
Ian Wheeler punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:3915% → 24%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
14.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 13 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
23.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 72 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18MISSED FG
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2179% → 75%
Q3 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
20.6%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 5 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
20.4%
Taj Griffin run for a loss of 10 yards to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
21.7%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Dwayne Stanford OREGON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
24.8%
Aidan Schneider 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
21.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 7 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
22.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
21.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+11
20.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 52 yds , Bralon Addison returns for 11 yds to the Oregn 33 Bralon Addison fumbled, forced by Travis Feeney, recovered by Oregn Juwaan Williams WASHINGTON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Oregn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:0578% → 92%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
22.5%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Bralon Addison for 3 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
21.8%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Oregn 41 Dwayne StanfordSimilar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
21.6%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
20.7%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Bralon AddisonSimilar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
21.0%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+17
21.2%
Royce Freeman run for 17 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
20.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 34 Vernon Adams Jr. fumbled, recovered by Oregn Vernon Adams Jr.Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
20.1%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Darren CarringtonSimilar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+31
20.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Darren Carrington for 27 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (Brian Clay) to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
19.5%
Bralon Addison run for 1 yd to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
19.8%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
20.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Bralon AddisonSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
8.3%
Aidan Schneider 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 5:2212% → 29%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
11.6%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 29 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, personal foul (DeForest Buckner) to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
12.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
12.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
13.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Joe WalkerSimilar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+16
12.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 16 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
15.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+11
15.9%
Jake Browning run for 11 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
15.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Oregn 13Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
15.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua Perkins, broken up by DeForest BucknerSimilar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+7
14.4%
Browning, Jake sacked for loss of 15 yards to the ORE28 (Coleman, Tyson), PENALTY ORE personal foul (Buckner, De.) 7 yards to the ORE6, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
15.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Oregn 2Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
15.9%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 3Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
29.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:1087% → 94%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.5%
Royce Freeman run for 9 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
12.9%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
12.5%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
8.5%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 39Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
5.3%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Johnny MundtSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
6.0%
Ian Wheeler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:3812% → 13%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
11.7%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 6 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
12.3%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 10 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
12.2%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 6 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
12.5%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass intercepted Ugo Amadi return for 6 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:35
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+21.3
TD · Q3 6:12
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Darren Carrington for 9 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
-17.7
FG · Q4 9:04
Aidan Schneider 24 yd FG GOOD
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com