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USC

USC 31 at Notre Dame 41

ND
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:29 · Kris Albarado punt for 44 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 25 yds to the USC 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense+5.7Garbage-time factor+0.3Pregame prior+3.7Score differential+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:41: Jalen Greene pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK) — USC win probability +7.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:17: Adoree' Jackson 83 Yd pass from Cody Kessler (Alex Wood Kick) — USC win probability +12.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:40: Cody Kessler pass complete to Taylor McNamara for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK) — USC win probability +14.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:20: C.J. Prosise run for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +25.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:06: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Robinson for 10 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +23.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 7USC made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 8:46USC 4th & 4 at ND 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:04USC 4th & 8 at USC 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:04USC 4th & 12 at ND 38, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%
    38% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:29USC 4th & 6 at USC 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:59ND 4th & 15 at USC 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:04ND 4th & 3 at ND 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:47ND 4th & 19 at ND 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−2.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:15USC 4th & 2 at ND 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−1.0
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:15ND 4th & 11 at ND 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:57ND 4th & 2 at ND 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:20USC 4th & 5 at ND 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−2.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:21USC 4th & 13 at ND 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−2.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    43.7%−1.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:39ND 4th & 3 at USC 15, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%−0.9
    83% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−7.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:35ND 4th & 12 at USC 34, up 10
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:19USC 4th & 4 at USC 7, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:01USC 4th & 5 at USC 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:53USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:38ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:20ND Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 5:04ND Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:41USC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:17USC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:40USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:20ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:06ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:4744% → 46%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
55.6%
Tre Madden run for 10 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
55.6%
Tre Madden run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 38Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+17
55.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 17 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
55.6%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
55.5%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+37
55.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 37 yds to the NDame 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
55.4%
Tre Madden run for 3 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
54.3%
Cody Kessler 3 Yd Run for a TD (Alex Wood Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
56.0%
Will Fuller 75 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:2545% → 45%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
55.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to De'Quan Hampton for 8 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
55.4%
Tre Madden run for no gain to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+15
55.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 15 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
55.3%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
55.3%
Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+3
55.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Justin Davis for 3 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+42
55.3%
Alex Wood 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0655% → 59%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
55.4%
C.J. Prosise run for 31 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
56.2%
Kizer, DeShone pass complete to Carlisle, Amir for loss of 3 yards to the USC47, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding 10 yards to the NOTREDAME46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+19
55.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 19 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+5
56.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 5 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
56.6%
USC Penalty, Defensive Offside (Noah Jefferson) to the USC 25Similar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+25
58.5%
C.J. Prosise run for 25 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5PUNT TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5942% → 39%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
57.6%
Dominic Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 18Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+5
57.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 5 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
58.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Jahleel PinnerSimilar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+5
61.2%
Amir Carlisle 5 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:5240% → 36%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
60.5%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Darreus RogersSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
60.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 6 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
60.7%
USC Penalty, False Start (Viane Talamaivao) to the USC 32Similar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
61.9%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Darreus RogersSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+32
62.1%
Justin Davis run for 32 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
61.2%
Justin Davis run for no gain to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
61.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 2 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-15
61.9%
Kessler, Cody pass complete to Davis, Justin for 17 yards to the NOTREDAME17, PENALTY USC pass interference (Hampton, De'Quan) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 23
OPP 49
+11
63.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 11 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
63.9%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Justin Davis, broken up by James OnwualuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7FUMBLE
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:0565% → 69%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
64.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
64.9%
DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
65.2%
C.J. Prosise run for 3 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+7
64.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 7 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
67.0%
DeShone Kizer run for 16 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
67.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Alize Jones for 3 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
67.8%
DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
67.5%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
68.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 9 yds Torii Hunter Jr. fumbled, forced by Adoree' Jackson, recovered by USC Cameron SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1834% → 31%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
66.4%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
66.7%
USC Penalty, False Start (Chad Wheeler) to the USC 17Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
67.0%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Ronald Jones IISimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+7
68.0%
Tre Madden run for 7 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+25
68.6%
Kris Albarado punt for 44 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 25 yds to the USC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9FG
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:2470% → 73%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
69.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. ProsiseSimilar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-5
69.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Alex Bars) to the USC 48Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+6
69.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 6 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+12
69.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 12 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
69.9%
C.J. Prosise run for 1 yd to the USC 29Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+26
70.9%
Josh Adams run for 26 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
71.0%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 5Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
71.2%
Kizer, DeShone pass complete to Adams, Josh for no gain to the USC5, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Luatua, Tyler) 10 yards to the USC15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
71.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. ProsiseSimilar
Q2 6:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
70.6%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Alize Jones, broken up by Marvell Tell IIISimilar
Q2 5:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
73.3%
Justin Yoon 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
65.8%
Jalen Greene pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1767% → 67%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
67.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Alize Jones for 4 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
68.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 3 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
68.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. ProsiseSimilar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
66.7%
DeShone Kizer punt for 43 yds, downed at the USC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12TD
2 plays · 84 yds · 0:3534% → 46%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
66.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tyler Petite for 1 yd to the USC 17Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+83
54.2%
Adoree' Jackson 83 Yd pass from Cody Kessler (Alex Wood Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:1458% → 56%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
58.4%
C.J. Prosise run for no gain to the NDame 36Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
57.7%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Greg Townsend Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 35Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-8
55.8%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Scott Felix for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 27Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
56.2%
Tyler Newsome punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:2448% → 49%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
52.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 2 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+15
52.0%
Cody Kessler run for no gain to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Sheldon Day) to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
50.8%
Kessler, Cody pass complete to Smith-Schuster, JuJu for 2 yards to the NOTREDAME40, PENALTY USC personal foul (Lobendahn, Toa) 15 yards to the USC43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 25
OWN 43
+14
53.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Justin Davis for 14 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+16
51.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Jalen Greene for 16 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
49.5%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Jalen GreeneSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
49.6%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+8
50.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tyler Petite for 8 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
50.9%
Alex Wood 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
57.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:2958% → 55%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
57.7%
C.J. Prosise run for 6 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
58.9%
DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-9
58.6%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Delvon Simmons for a loss of 9 yards to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 19
OWN 28
+8
57.1%
DeShone Kizer run for 8 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
56.0%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
55.1%
Tyler Newsome punt for 44 yds, downed at the USC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2646% → 66%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
53.9%
Jones II, Ronald rush for 8 yards to the USC28, PENALTY USC holding (Banner, Zach) 10 yards to the USC10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 20
OWN 10
-1
54.2%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 9Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+19
54.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 19 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+65
53.9%
Ronald Jones II run for 65 yds to the NDame 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
48.7%
Tre Madden run for 3 yds to the NDame 4Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Taylor McNamara for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2841% → 39%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
40.6%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 35Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+11
38.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 11 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
41.3%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
39.4%
DeShone Kizer punt for 38 yds, downed at the USC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 40 yds · 5:2864% → 69%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
36.0%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 8 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
34.5%
Adoree' Jackson run for 6 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
34.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Jalen Greene for 6 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
33.6%
Adoree' Jackson run for 3 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
32.7%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
32.0%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-5
31.8%
USC Penalty, False Start (Zach Banner) to the USC 38Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+10
32.9%
Justin Davis run for 10 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
31.2%
Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
29.4%
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
29.1%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the NDame 44Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
29.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Jalen Greene, broken up by Isaac RochellSimilar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
30.7%
Kris Albarado punt for 34 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 2:5335% → 64%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
35.0%
C.J. Prosise run for 5 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
35.0%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Corey Robinson, broken up by Su'a CravensSimilar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+23
33.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 23 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
36.5%
C.J. Prosise run for 10 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
38.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 1 yd to the NDame 49Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+15
35.7%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Fuller, Will, PENALTY USC pass interference (Seymour, Kevon) 15 yards to the USC36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
37.1%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Fuller, Will, PENALTY USC pass interference (Jackson, Adoree') 15 yards to the USC21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
38.9%
C.J. Prosise run for 3 yds to the USC 18Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+12
38.8%
DeShone Kizer run for 12 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
38.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
63.7%
C.J. Prosise run for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:4248% → 46%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
51.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 28 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
47.9%
Tre Madden run for no gain to the NDame 38Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
47.8%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-3
49.1%
Cody Kessler sacked by Isaac Rochell for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
54.2%
Kris Albarado punt for 32 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 3:0856% → 87%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
56.3%
C.J. Prosise run for 17 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
57.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 25 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
62.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 2 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+35
62.5%
Torii Hunter Jr. pass complete to Alize Jones for 35 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
63.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
64.0%
C.J. Prosise run for 2 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
87.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Robinson for 10 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3019% → 20%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
80.8%
Tre Madden run for 4 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
80.3%
Cody Kessler pass intercepted KeiVarae Russell return for no gain to the NDame 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24FG
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:1987% → 91%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+45
86.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 45 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
88.5%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 24Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 12
OPP 24
0
89.5%
C.J. Prosise run for no gain to the USC 24Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+9
88.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 9 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
90.9%
Justin Yoon 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:109% → 9%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.6%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Tre MaddenSimilar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+19
91.0%
Cody Kessler pass intercepted Max Redfield return for 19 yds to the USC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:4192% → 93%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
92.2%
C.J. Prosise run for 5 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+1
92.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 1 yd to the USC 26Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 4
OPP 26
-8
93.0%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Porter Gustin for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 34Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 12
OPP 34
0
93.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 33 yds, downed at the USC 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 27END OF GAME
15 plays · 58 yds · 3:236% → 3%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
94.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 6 yds to the USC 7Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+3
95.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 3 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 10
-3
95.3%
Tre Madden run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 7Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 4
OWN 7
+8
96.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 8 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
96.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tyler Petite for 17 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
96.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 4 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
96.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Robby Kolanz for 1 yd to the USC 37Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
96.3%
Cody Kessler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+9
96.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 9 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.3%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Tyler Petite, broken up by Elijah ShumateSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
96.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 11 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
95.9%
Cody Kessler run for 2 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-6
95.8%
Cody Kessler sacked by Romeo Okwara for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 47Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+6
96.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Justin Davis for 6 yds to the NDame 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:20
C.J. Prosise run for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+25
TD · Q4 9:06
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Robinson for 10 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+23
TD · Q3 9:40
Cody Kessler pass complete to Taylor McNamara for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com