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ASU

Arizona State 18 at Utah 34

UTAH
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGSAFETYFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.1UTAH 63.1%Zane Gonzalez 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 7 · Q1 2:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:18 · Zane Gonzalez 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior+13.0Home team on offense−1.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:49: Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 11 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q3 5:04: Zane Gonzalez kickoff for 65 yds. UTAH Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (SAFETY) — ASU win probability +7.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:30: Zane Gonzalez 44 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +8.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:41: Devontae Booker run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +25.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:35: Andy Phillips 43 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +11.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ASU made the numbers' call on 8 of 13
  1. Q1 13:42UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:43ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:01UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:55ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:03UTAH 4th & 27 at UTAH 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:18ASU 4th & 13 at UTAH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:50ASU 4th & 9 at UTAH 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:49UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:35ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:14UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:07ASU 4th & 11 at ASU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:38UTAH 4th & 21 at UTAH 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−2.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:52ASU 4th & 21 at ASU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−2.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:33UTAH 4th & 17 at ASU 37, up 4
    Close callPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    70.8%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:04ASU 4th & 10 at UTAH 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−7.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:30ASU 4th & 2 at UTAH 26, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%−2.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−15.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:04ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 12, up 4
    Close callPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:25ASU 4th & 23 at ASU 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−5.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:35UTAH 4th & 13 at ASU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−4.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−17.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:20UTAH 4th & 4 at ASU 17, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%−0.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−8.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:54ASU 4th & 10 at UTAH 49, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.8%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:33ASU 4th & 16 at UTAH 42, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    5.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:56UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:42ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:49UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:41UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:11UTAH Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1367% → 66%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
66.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+12
66.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 12 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
66.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
66.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Gump Hayes at the ArzSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5534% → 34%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
66.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
66.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
66.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
66.4%
Matt Haack punt for 51 yds, downed at the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2066% → 66%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
66.3%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
66.2%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+11
66.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 11 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
66.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Caleb ReppSimilar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
65.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0634% → 34%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
66.1%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+1
66.1%
Mike Bercovici run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 13
OWN 6
+6
66.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 6 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 7
OWN 12
-2
66.1%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 9
OWN 10
0
66.2%
Matt Haack punt for 59 yds , Britain Covey returns for no gain to the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:3466% → 70%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
65.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+8
65.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 8 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+16
65.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 16 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
66.4%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+21
66.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 21 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
66.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 21 yds to the ArzSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -17 yds · 1:3265% → 64%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Caleb ReppSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.0%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-10
64.4%
Travis Wilson sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 17Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-9
64.0%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the Utah 8Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 27
OWN 8
+48
63.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 53 yds , Gump Hayes returns for 48 yds to the Utah 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8FG
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:4037% → 37%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
62.8%
Mike Bercovici run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 13
OPP 16
0
62.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 13
OPP 16
0
63.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Kalen BallageSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+34
63.1%
Zane Gonzalez 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1363% → 68%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
63.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
62.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 3 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
62.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
62.7%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+9
62.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 9 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+42
63.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 42 yds to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
68.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 11 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3534% → 34%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
66.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
66.1%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+22
66.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
50
0
64.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
50
-3
64.3%
Mike Bercovici run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+4
65.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gary Chambers for 4 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
65.9%
Matt Haack punt for 39 yds, downed at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:5266% → 66%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
66.2%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+6
66.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 6 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+6
65.5%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+29
66.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Ken Hampel for 29 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
68.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-4
68.3%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 48 Travis Wilson fumbled, recovered by Utah Travis WilsonSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 14
OWN 48
0
66.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
66.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:0034% → 35%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
66.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+1
65.6%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 1 yd to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+14
66.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
65.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
65.1%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
66.3%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+10
67.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 10 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+8
65.4%
Matt Haack punt for 47 yds , Britain Covey returns for 8 yds to the Utah 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:0667% → 67%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
67.3%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-6
67.4%
Travis Wilson sacked by Jordan Simone for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+22
66.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 22 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
68.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+7
69.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-3
68.8%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
67.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:0033% → 33%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
66.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 8 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 2
OWN 14
0
66.7%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+15
67.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
65.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-2
66.5%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Hunter Dimick and Kylie Fitts for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+2
66.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3133% → 31%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
66.6%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
67.3%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Gary ChambersSimilar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
68.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
69.1%
Matt Haack punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:1669% → 65%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
68.7%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
68.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-10
66.6%
Travis Wilson sacked by Ismael Murphy-Richardson and Antonio Longino for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 21
OWN 26
0
65.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 42 yds, downed at the ArzSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:3834% → 29%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
66.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+12
65.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 12 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
64.0%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-3
65.7%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 13
OWN 44
-8
68.9%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Jared Norris for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 21
OWN 36
+1
70.7%
Matt Haack punt for 40 yds , Britain Covey returns for 1 yd to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:1170% → 69%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
70.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 35 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
73.3%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
73.1%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+12
71.3%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference 12 yards to the ARIZONAST30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
74.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-2
74.3%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-10
73.2%
Travis Wilson sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 10 yards to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
69.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19FG
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:2131% → 37%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
69.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 28 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+42
65.5%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 42 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
63.2%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the Utah 10Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
63.1%
Devin Lucien pass incomplete to Kody KohlSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
65.3%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q3 5:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
63.2%
Zane Gonzalez 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q3 5:04
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
55.4%
Zane Gonzalez kickoff for 65 yds. UTAH Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (SAFETY) Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:1947% → 60%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
52.7%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+17
53.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 17 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
50.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Frederick GammageSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
50.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+9
50.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 9 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
48.3%
Gump Hayes run for 8 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+1
47.4%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 1 yd to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-1
48.8%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+44
39.9%
Zane Gonzalez 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:4745% → 46%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.5%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
44.1%
Travis Wilson run for 5 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
43.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 12 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
46.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 1 yd to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
46.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 4 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
46.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0261% → 58%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
39.5%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 5
OWN 10
+2
38.8%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 3
OWN 12
0
38.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 3
OWN 12
0
40.8%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
41.7%
Matt Haack punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 1:0752% → 78%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
52.3%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+1
52.1%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+25
77.7%
Devontae Booker run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:1130% → 27%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.9%
D.J. Foster run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
70.6%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-8
71.6%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Pasoni Tasini for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+21
72.6%
Matt Haack punt for 36 yds, downed at the ArzSt 48 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Dasmond Tautalatasi) to the ArzSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26FG
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:4079% → 88%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
79.3%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
79.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
77.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
79.5%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-8
79.2%
Travis Wilson sacked by Jordan Simone for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 18
OPP 30
+5
75.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+43
87.5%
Andy Phillips 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 27FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
82.7%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 23 Kalen Ballage fumbled, recovered by Utah Tevin CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2891% → 92%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
90.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
91.3%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 2
OPP 15
-2
90.7%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
91.5%
Andy Phillips 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 29DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 2:388% → 5%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 15 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 5 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
90.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 6 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.6%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Gary ChambersSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
90.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
92.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 10
OPP 49
+13
92.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 13 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
92.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+6
93.4%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gump Hayes for 6 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 9
OPP 35
-7
93.4%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 16
OPP 42
+9
95.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gump Hayes for 9 yds to the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 30TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 0:1795% → 99%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
95.4%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+6
95.7%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+62
98.8%
Devontae Booker run for 62 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 31INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:001% → 1%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-7
99.1%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+15
99.2%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 15 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+13
99.2%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 13 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.1%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Ellis JeffersonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
99.1%
Mike Bercovici pass intercepted Cory Butler-Byrd return for 17 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:41
Devontae Booker run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+25.6
FG · Q4 6:35
Andy Phillips 43 yd FG GOOD
+11.8
FG · Q3 1:30
Zane Gonzalez 44 yd FG GOOD
-8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com