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WSU

Washington State 45 at Oregon 38

ORE
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:03 · Zach Charme punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Bralon Addison at the Oregn 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 132Pregame prior+18.3Home team on offense−5.5Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score differential−3.1Time remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:39: Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +12.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:55: Jeff Lockie pass complete to Royce Freeman for 17 yds for a TD WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +9.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:20: Royce Freeman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +12.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:01: Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +46.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jeff Lockie run for 2 yds to the WshSt 24 — WSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 6 of 10WSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 8:22ORE 4th & 4 at WSU 9, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.1%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:22WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:06WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:06WSU 4th & 23 at ORE 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:51ORE 4th & 16 at ORE 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00WSU 4th & 2 at ORE 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:51ORE 4th & 4 at WSU 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:00WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:42WSU 4th & 3 at ORE 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:39ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:18WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−1.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:59ORE 4th & 11 at WSU 38, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    67.4%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    67.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:03WSU 4th & 25 at WSU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−6.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:33WSU 4th & 13 at ORE 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.8%
    42% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.5%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00ORE 4th & 14 at WSU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−1.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:09WSU 4th & 14 at WSU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−3.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:28ORE 4th & 14 at ORE 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:53WSU 4th & 5 at ORE 5, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.9%−3.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−5.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:01ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 28, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−1.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:13WSU 4th & 3 at ORE 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−5.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−6.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:42WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:06ORE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:44ORE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:09WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:39WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:55ORE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:20ORE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:01WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:189% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
90.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 20 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
90.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+10
90.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 10 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
90.8%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+28
90.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 28 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
90.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for no gain to the Oregn 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
90.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 1 yd to the Oregn 7Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:2090% → 89%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+30
89.5%
Royce Freeman run for 30 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
89.6%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
89.6%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
89.6%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
89.6%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 16 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
89.6%
Taj Griffin run for no gain to the WshSt 15Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
89.6%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 6 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
89.6%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Taj GriffinSimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
88.6%
Aidan Schneider 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
88.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
88.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
88.6%
Zach Charme punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:3088% → 89%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
88.4%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+12
88.4%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Devon Allen for 12 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+31
88.5%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Royce Freeman for 31 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
89.0%
Taylor Alie run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
15 plays · 28 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
88.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
88.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 2 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
88.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 5 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
88.7%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
88.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 19 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
88.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 11 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
88.1%
Keith Harrington rush for 11 yards to the ORE23 (Robinson, Tyree), PENALTY WSU holding 10 yards to the ORE44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+12
88.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 12 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
88.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-10
88.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 13 yards to the ORE19, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WSU holding 10 yards to the ORE42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 18
OPP 42
0
88.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 18
OPP 42
-5
88.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 47Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 23
OPP 47
0
88.8%
Zach Charme punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
87.1%
Taylor Alie pass incomplete to Dwayne StanfordSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
87.1%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-10
86.9%
Alie, Taylor rush for 7 yards to the ORE34, PENALTY ORE holding 10 yards to the ORE17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 16
OWN 17
0
86.8%
Taylor Alie pass incomplete to Bralon Addison, broken up by Taylor TaliuluSimilar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
86.6%
Ian Wheeler punt for 38 yds , Gabe Marks returns for no gain to the WshSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4814% → 14%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
86.4%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+10
86.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 10 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
86.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
86.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
87.1%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-1
87.1%
Taj Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 48Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+5
86.5%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
86.6%
Ian Wheeler punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
86.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 12 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
86.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 5 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+11
85.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 11 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
85.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 6 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+9
85.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 9 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
85.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
85.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Torrodney PrevotSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-8
85.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Torrodney Prevot for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
86.4%
Zach Charme punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 68 yds · 0:0085% → 86%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.6%
Taylor Alie run for no gain to the Oregn 20Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+39
84.5%
Taj Griffin run for 39 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
85.7%
Taj Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+21
85.6%
Royce Freeman run for 21 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
86.0%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 9 yds Bralon Addison fumbled, forced by Daniel Ekuale, recovered by WshSt Peyton PelluerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 59 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
84.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 13 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
84.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 12 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
83.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+9
84.1%
Tavares Martin Jr. run for 9 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+11
83.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 11 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
82.7%
Keith Harrington run for 5 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+7
82.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 7 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
82.7%
Keith Harrington run for 7 yds to the Oregn 29 Keith Harrington fumbled, forced by Torrodney Prevot, recovered by Oregn Khalil OliverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:2283% → 89%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+42
83.2%
Royce Freeman run for 42 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
84.9%
Taj Griffin run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
84.9%
Jeff Lockie run for 2 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+11
84.3%
Jeff Lockie run for 11 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
84.9%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Charles NelsonSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+12
84.9%
Royce Freeman run for 12 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.3%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:3512% → 21%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
87.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 11 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
87.3%
Luke Falk sacked by Jalen Jelks for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 32 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by WshSt Eduardo Middleton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+28
88.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 28 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
87.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 8 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-1
86.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 33Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
87.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Charles NelsonSimilar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+25
88.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 25 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 0
OPP 8
+4
86.4%
OREGON Penalty, substitution infraction (4 Yards) to the Oregn 4Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
86.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
82.6%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.4%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 7 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
82.3%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
80.8%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Evan BaylisSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
80.0%
Ian Wheeler punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 45 , Gabe Marks returns for 7 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:3021% → 34%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
79.1%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 5
50
+4
78.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+19
78.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 19 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
66.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
70.7%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 15 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
71.2%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
71.1%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 36Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
70.6%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Royce Freeman, broken up by Destiny VaeaoSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+51
69.5%
Ian Wheeler punt for 41 yds WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WshSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q3 11:18
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+2
70.1%
Zach Charme punt for 40 yds , Bralon Addison returns for 2 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
68.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 15 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
68.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
67.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
68.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal Morrow, broken up by Torrodney PrevotSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
68.7%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 30Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
68.3%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Royce Freeman for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 28Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+35
67.0%
Jeff Lockie run for 35 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
72.0%
Jeff Lockie sacked by Ivan McLennan for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+1
71.5%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
69.7%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Devon AllenSimilar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
67.9%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Devon AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:0039% → 35%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
60.8%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-6
62.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Tyson Coleman for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 18
OWN 30
-7
64.4%
Luke Falk sacked by DeForest Buckner for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 25
OWN 23
0
65.5%
Zach Charme punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Bralon Addison at the Oregn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:0965% → 78%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+43
65.2%
Taj Griffin run for 43 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
68.4%
Jeff Lockie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-4
68.4%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 17Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 14
OPP 17
+17
78.3%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Royce Freeman for 17 yds for a TD WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22MISSED FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:2224% → 24%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
76.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-3
75.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+38
77.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 38 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
71.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 36Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
74.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for no gain to the Oregn 36Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
75.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River Cracraft, broken up by Juwaan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:33
4TH & 13
OPP 36
+53
76.5%
Erik Powell 53 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Henry Mondeaux N/A return for no gain to the Oregn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:3377% → 74%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
76.7%
Taj Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+2
75.5%
Jeff Lockie run for 2 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
74.5%
Jeff Lockie run for 9 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+16
75.8%
Royce Freeman run for 16 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
78.8%
Jeff Lockie sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 46
0
77.1%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Taj GriffinSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 46
+3
75.5%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Jalen Brown for 3 yds to the WshSt 43 OREGON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 43
+21
73.8%
Ian Wheeler punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 25 , Gabe Marks returns for 21 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0025% → 22%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Tyson ColemanSimilar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
75.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 12 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
74.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-10
71.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Henry Mondeaux for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
77.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
77.6%
Zach Charme punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bralon Addison at the Oregn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:4277% → 93%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
77.0%
Royce Freeman run for 9 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+49
78.7%
Royce Freeman run for 49 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
81.1%
Taj Griffin run for 6 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
81.1%
Taj Griffin run for 2 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+10
79.8%
Taj Griffin run for 10 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26FUMBLE
5 plays · 58 yds · 0:009% → 11%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 15 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
89.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 11 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
88.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard Wicks, broken up by Henry MondeauxSimilar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+32
89.1%
Keith Harrington run for 32 yds to the Oregn 17 Keith Harrington fumbled, forced by Arrion Springs, recovered by Oregn Tyree RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0092% → 90%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
91.5%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd to the Oregn 18Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+7
91.4%
Kani Benoit run for 7 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 2
OWN 25
-2
91.5%
Taj Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 23Similar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 4
OWN 23
-10
90.3%
OREGON Penalty, personal foul (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 13Similar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 14
OWN 13
0
90.1%
Ian Wheeler punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Gabe Marks at the WshSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 28FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:019% → 15%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+17
91.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 17 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
91.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 5 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+31
90.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 31 yds to the Oregn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
89.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q4 5:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
90.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
84.7%
Erik Powell 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5293% → 94%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
92.9%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
93.1%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+1
92.9%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+2
93.7%
Ian Wheeler punt for 44 yds , Gabe Marks returns for 2 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 30TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 1:5710% → 62%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-11
90.3%
Luke Falk sacked by Alex Balducci for a loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 19 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the WshSt 19Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 21
OWN 19
0
91.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 21
OWN 19
+23
92.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 23 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Charles NelsonSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
89.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+22
91.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 22 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
87.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-6
84.8%
Luke Falk sacked by DeForest Buckner for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 39Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+9
89.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+22
90.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 22 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
38.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 31END OF HALF
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 58%
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+10
40.5%
OREGON Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
40.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the Oregn 4Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-10
64.7%
Freeman, Royce rush for 3 yards to the WSU20, PENALTY ORE holding 10 yards to the WSU33, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+2
61.4%
Jeff Lockie run for 2 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+3
57.8%
Jeff Lockie pass intercepted Shalom Luani return for 3 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 32TD
13 plays · 25 yds · 0:0035% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
64.7%
Royce Freeman run for 16 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
40.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
40.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+5
40.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds to the Oregn 2Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
42.6%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the Oregn 2Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
47.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+10
40.5%
OREGON Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
40.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the Oregn 4Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+3
18.0%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the WshSt 23 Jeff Lockie pass intercepted Shalom Luani return for 3 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-10
28.1%
Freeman, Royce rush for 3 yards to the WSU20, PENALTY ORE holding 10 yards to the WSU33, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+2
20.1%
Jeff Lockie run for 2 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:01
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-46
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-20.1
TD · Q4 8:20
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
+12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com