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CAL

California 24 at Utah 30

UTAH
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:26 · Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius Powe
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 189Pregame prior+0.1Home team on offense+14.0Garbage-time factor+5.0Score differential−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:26: Travis Wilson pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 54 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +10.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:47: Devontae Booker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:26: Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +9.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:03: Tre Watson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +17.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:07: Andy Phillips 39 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +6.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 9 of 10CAL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:01UTAH 4th & 4 at CAL 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:51UTAH 4th & 18 at CAL 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UTAH 4th & 1 at CAL 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:25UTAH 4th & 16 at CAL 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:50CAL 4th & 17 at CAL 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:17CAL 4th & 5 at UTAH 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.5%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:05UTAH 4th & 6 at CAL 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:53CAL 4th & 8 at UTAH 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−7.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:48UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:07CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 34, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:07UTAH 4th & 8 at CAL 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−12.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:49CAL 4th & 14 at CAL 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−2.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:19UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:52UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:26CAL 4th & 5 at UTAH 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−7.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−9.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:09CAL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:18UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:26UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:47UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:26CAL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:03CAL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:3135% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
64.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 9 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
64.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 3 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
64.7%
Jared Goff run for 8 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+9
64.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 9 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
64.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 13 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
64.3%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
64.1%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+18
64.2%
Jared Goff pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for 18 yds to the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2865% → 65%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
64.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
64.9%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
64.8%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
64.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
64.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+4
64.7%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
64.6%
Tom Hackett punt for 39 yds, downed at the Cal 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
64.2%
Daniel Lasco run for 10 yds to the Cal 18 Daniel Lasco fumbled, forced by Gionni Paul, recovered by Utah Marcus WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FG
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:5865% → 65%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
65.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Joe Williams for 2 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-5
65.2%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (J.J. Dielman) to the Cal 21Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 13
OPP 21
-10
65.0%
Wilson, Travis rush for 1 yard to the CALIFORNIA20, PENALTY UTAH holding (Asiata, Isaac) 10 yards to the CALIFORNIA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 23
OPP 31
+1
64.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 1 yd to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 22
OPP 30
+4
64.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 4 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 18
OPP 26
+44
64.6%
Andy Phillips 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4235% → 39%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 8 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+21
64.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 21 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
64.2%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+13
64.5%
Goff, Jared pass incomplete to Lawler, Kenny, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Hatfield, Dominique) 13 yards to the UTAH35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
60.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 35 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5162% → 66%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.9%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
61.8%
Devontae Booker run for 18 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
62.8%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
62.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 4 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+9
62.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 9 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
66.0%
Devontae Booker run for 40 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1135% → 35%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.9%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
65.0%
Jared Goff pass intercepted Dominique Hatfield return for no gain to the Cal 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:4266% → 64%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.3%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
66.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 9 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
65.8%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
65.2%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
66.4%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Cal 23Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-7
66.5%
Britain Covey run for a loss of 7 yards to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 16
OPP 30
0
64.9%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 16
OPP 30
+48
63.7%
Andy Phillips 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:3535% → 34%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
64.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 2 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
64.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 3 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+14
64.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 14 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
63.2%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+4
63.0%
Vic Enwere run for 4 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-15
62.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Cal 42Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 17
OWN 42
0
64.9%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Tre WatsonSimilar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 17
OWN 42
+20
65.6%
Cole Leininger punt for 51 yds , Britain Covey returns for 20 yds to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4465% → 67%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
64.7%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
64.8%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+9
64.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 9 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
65.8%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
67.1%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted Trey Turner return for no gain to the Utah 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:4937% → 41%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
62.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 7 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+30
62.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 30 yds to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
61.7%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
61.6%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q2 6:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.5%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
58.7%
Matt Anderson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2163% → 62%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
62.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 6 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+1
63.1%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
61.9%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted Devante Downs return for no gain to the Utah 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
56.0%
Jared Goff pass intercepted Justin Thomas return for 4 yds to the Utah 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14TD
6 plays · 95 yds · 1:2162% → 74%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+14
62.4%
Devontae Booker run for 14 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
62.2%
Devontae Booker run for 17 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
63.1%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+8
63.4%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Scott, Kenneth, PENALTY CALIFORNIA pass interference 8 yards to the UTAH46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
73.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 54 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4629% → 29%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
70.8%
Jared Goff sacked by Filipo Mokofisi for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 13
OWN 21
0
71.3%
Jared Goff pass intercepted Gionni Paul return for no gain to the Cal 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:5374% → 81%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
73.9%
Travis Wilson run for 8 yds to the Cal 12Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+8
74.3%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the Cal 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.2%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:2121% → 31%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
79.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 9 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
78.2%
Jared Goff run for 8 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
78.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Tre Watson for 11 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-12
77.3%
Jared Goff sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 12 yards to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 22
OWN 41
+50
81.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 50 yds to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
78.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 8 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18END OF HALF
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:2675% → 75%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
75.2%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
74.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+7
73.9%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+33
74.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 33 yds to the Cal 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:5573% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
73.0%
Travis Wilson run for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
74.8%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+12
75.2%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
75.5%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
75.6%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+13
74.9%
Devontae Booker run for 13 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
76.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
76.5%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Cal 18Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
75.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
78.5%
Andy Phillips 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20MISSED FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:1222% → 21%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
77.9%
Vic Enwere run for 6 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
77.6%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
78.2%
Tre Watson run for 12 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
77.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Tre Watson for 16 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
76.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 16 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
75.4%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
76.0%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
77.4%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
78.9%
Matt Anderson 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0580% → 80%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
79.8%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-3
81.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+7
80.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-5
80.2%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
79.5%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds , Kanawai Noa returns for no gain to the Cal 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4120% → 19%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
80.2%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 23Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
80.7%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Maurice HarrisSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
82.4%
Jared Goff run for 11 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
80.7%
Harry Adolphus punt for 57 yds, downed at the Utah 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:2280% → 80%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
80.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 11 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
81.2%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
81.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+5
80.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 5 yds Devontae Booker fumbled, forced by Devante Downs, recovered by Cal Caleb ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:4224% → 42%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
76.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 17 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
76.1%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
58.5%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:5666% → 80%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
66.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 12 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
67.5%
Travis Wilson run for 11 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
69.7%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+6
70.5%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
70.6%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+8
74.8%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
74.9%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
75.0%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Cal 20Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-2
73.8%
Travis Wilson sacked by Kyle Kragen for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 22Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
80.0%
Andy Phillips 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:1827% → 24%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.8%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
73.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 13 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
70.8%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Cal 39Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
71.0%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
72.3%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 9
OWN 39
-5
75.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 34Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
75.8%
Cole Leininger punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3083% → 82%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
83.0%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
84.1%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-2
83.3%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 35 Travis Wilson fumbled, recovered by UtahSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
82.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 28INT
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:5526% → 32%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
74.5%
Vic Enwere run for 10 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
73.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 22 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
69.7%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
68.9%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
70.4%
Jared Goff run for 8 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
67.7%
Jared Goff pass intercepted Dominique Hatfield return for 8 yds to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3285% → 87%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
84.6%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+10
85.4%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
88.1%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
88.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+3
87.7%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
86.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 51 yds, downed at the Cal 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 30DOWNS
16 plays · 74 yds · 4:2621% → 19%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
79.1%
Jared Goff run for 11 yds to the Cal 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
78.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 5 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 21
-7
78.6%
Jared Goff sacked by Kylie Fitts for a loss of 7 yards to the Cal 14 Jared Goff fumbled, forced by Kylie Fitts, recovered by Cal Dominic Granado , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+32
81.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 17 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
74.9%
Jared Goff run for 6 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
72.7%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius PoweSimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
73.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 5 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
74.4%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius PoweSimilar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
74.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 8 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+9
72.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 9 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
67.7%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
69.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 5 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
77.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 5
OPP 21
0
81.4%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius PoweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 31END OF GAME
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:2695% → 96%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 20Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-1
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-1
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:03
Tre Watson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
-17.7
TD · Q2 3:26
Travis Wilson pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 54 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+10.1
TD · Q2 0:26
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com