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COLO

Colorado 23 at Arizona State 48

ASU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:10 · Mike Bercovici punt for 33 yds, downed at the Colo 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior+20.8Home team on offense+10.3Score differential+5.4Garbage-time factor+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:13: Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 38 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +6.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:05: Diego Gonzalez 27 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +5.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:39: Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 45 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +8.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:05: Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 68 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +3.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:13: Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — COLO win probability +3.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00COLO 4th & 2 at ASU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:10COLO 4th & 18 at COLO 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:46ASU 4th & 2 at COLO 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.3%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:13COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:10ASU 4th & 3 at COLO 44, up 17
    Close callPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:11COLO 4th & 8 at COLO 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:02ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:39ASU 4th & 2 at COLO 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−1.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:52ASU 4th & 7 at COLO 8, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:21COLO 4th & 24 at COLO 24, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:56ASU 4th & 1 at COLO 43, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:49COLO 4th & 8 at ASU 22, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:02ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:33ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:12COLO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:13ASU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:39ASU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:28ASU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:05COLO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:13COLO Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:21ASU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
79.9%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Demetrius Cherry and Antonio Longino for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
79.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 7 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
79.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 18 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
79.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
79.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
79.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
79.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 36 yds, downed at the ArzSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:3079% → 80%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
79.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 6 yds to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+53
79.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 38 yds to the ARIZONAST 47 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ryan Moeller) to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
79.6%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+28
80.2%
Kody Kohl 28 Yd Run (Zane Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+30
79.9%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted Kareem Orr return for 30 yds to the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:0880% → 82%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
80.2%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 5 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
80.2%
Mike Bercovici run for 3 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+4
80.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 4 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
80.2%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 4Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 4 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2119% → 21%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
81.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+42
81.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Sean Irwin for 42 yds to the ArzSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
78.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 16 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
79.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 8 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 2
OWN 27
0
80.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Kody KohlSimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+14
79.7%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gary Chambers for 14 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
80.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
80.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+6
80.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 6 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
80.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 4 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
80.3%
Mike Bercovici pass intercepted Ahkello Witherspoon return for no gain to the Colo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
79.6%
[SG], Lindsay,Phillip rush for no gain to the COLO22 (Longino, A.), PENALTY COLO illegal formation 5 yards to the COLO17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 15
OWN 17
0
79.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-3
79.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 14Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 18
OWN 14
0
80.0%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the Colo 14Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 18
OWN 14
+1
80.2%
TEAM punt blocked by Dasmond Tautalatasi blocked by Dasmond Tautalatasi Dasmond Tautalatasi return for 1 yd to the Colo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3180% → 80%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
80.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Demario Richard, broken up by Rick GamboaSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
80.4%
D.J. Foster run for 4 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+4
80.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 4 yds to the Colo 3Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+22
80.1%
Zane Gonzalez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4620% → 19%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.2%
Christian Powell run for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
80.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Donovan LeeSimilar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-4
80.4%
Sefo Liufau sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+15
80.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds , Gump Hayes returns for 15 yds to the Colo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:3881% → 87%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
80.9%
Demario Richard run for 9 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+38
86.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 38 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
85.4%
[NHSG], PENALTY COLO false start (Spruce, Nelson) 5 yards to the COLO26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
85.7%
Donovan Lee run for 5 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
85.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 10 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.4%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-10
85.5%
[NHSG], Liufau, Sefo pass complete to Powell,Christia for 11 yards to the ASU48 (Simone, Jordan), PENALTY COLO holding (Lisella, John) 10 yards to the COLO31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+1
85.8%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 19
OWN 32
+9
85.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 9 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
85.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gump Hayes at the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
88.1%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
88.1%
Mike Bercovici run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
87.9%
Jay Jay Wilson run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
88.1%
Mike Bercovici run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-7
88.6%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Chidobe Awuzie for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 34 Mike Bercovici fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Mike Bercovici , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
87.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Devin LucienSimilar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+15
87.5%
Haack, Matt punt 49 yards to the COLO17, fair catch by Spruce, Nelson, PENALTY COLO roughing the kicker (Awuzie, Chidobe) 15 yards to the ASU49, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
88.6%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
88.6%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Devin Lucien, broken up by Ken CrawleySimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+4
88.3%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
87.9%
Mike Bercovici punt for 33 yds, downed at the Colo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
87.6%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 9Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+22
88.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 22 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
87.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
87.5%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
87.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
87.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 50 yds, downed at the ArzSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.6%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+24
89.5%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 24 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Kody KohlSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
89.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
89.5%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
89.0%
Matt Haack punt for 40 yds, downed at the Colo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 2:3511% → 14%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
88.6%
Nelson Spruce pass complete to Sefo Liufau for 12 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
88.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+9
88.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 9 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
88.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 17 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
87.4%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+8
86.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
86.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-3
87.1%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Antonio Longino for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+9
87.7%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, roughing passer (DJ Calhoun) to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+12
88.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 12 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-7
89.2%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Lloyd Carrington for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
92.0%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Lloyd Carrington) to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
86.4%
Diego Gonzalez 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2188% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.6%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
87.6%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
87.2%
Mike Bercovici run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
87.8%
Mike Bercovici run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
88.1%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+10
87.5%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gary Chambers for 10 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+45
95.7%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 45 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
95.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 11 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
94.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
94.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 40Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-8
94.8%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Antonio Longino for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 35 Sefo Liufau fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Viliami Latu , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:0997% → 100%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
96.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 7 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 3
OPP 28
-1
96.5%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+15
96.5%
[NHSG], Bercovici, Mike pass incomplete to Lucien, Devin, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Crawley, Ken) 15 yards to the COLO14, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
96.5%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 4 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
96.5%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
99.6%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 10 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:231% → 4%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to George Frazier for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 5 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+68
96.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 68 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 6:0697% → 99%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
97.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
97.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
97.0%
Mike Bercovici run for 7 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
97.0%
D.J. Foster run for 6 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
97.0%
D.J. Foster run for 4 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+3
97.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 3 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+21
97.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 21 yds to the Colo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
97.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
97.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the Colo 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
98.5%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. Foster, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
98.5%
Zane Gonzalez 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:392% → 5%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
98.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+67
98.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 67 yds to the ArzSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:4797% → 100%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
97.1%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+63
97.1%
D.J. Foster run for 63 yds to the Colo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.4%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Eric Lauderdale for no gain to the Colo 18Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
97.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 6 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
99.6%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 12 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.4%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Tashon Smallwood for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-12
99.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 3 yds to the Colo 39 COLORADO Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Colo 24Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 24
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Christian Powell COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 24
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 28 yds, downed at the ArzSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
99.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-5
99.6%
[NHSG], PENALTY ASU delay of game (Wilkins, Manny) 5 yards to the COLO49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
99.7%
Manny Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+37
99.7%
Matt Haack punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 12 COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Samson Kafovalu) to the Colo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 64 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+21
99.3%
Patrick Carr run for 21 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to George Frazier for 9 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay Fields, broken up by Alani LatuSimilar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
99.3%
Christian Powell run for 2 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.2%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+10
99.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 10 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 25 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-7
99.0%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Chad Adams for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 17
OPP 31
+9
99.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Patrick Carr for 9 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Christian PowellSimilar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 8
OPP 22
-8
99.2%
Sefo Liufau sacked by DJ Calhoun and James Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Gump Hayes run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Jacom Brimhall run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Manny Wilkins run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:39
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 45 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q2 14:13
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 38 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+6
FG · Q2 0:05
Diego Gonzalez 27 yd FG GOOD
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com