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WASH

Washington 17 at USC 12

USC
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2015 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:38 · Kris Albarado punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+19.7Home team on offense−3.0Garbage-time factor−1.2Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:24: Marvin Hall pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 27 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +15.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:21: Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +15.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:02: Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — USC win probability +21.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:02: Alex Wood kickoff for 65 yds , Chico McClatcher return for 18 yds to the Wash 18 — WASH win probability +7.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:27: Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 30 — WASH win probability +10.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 9
  1. Q1 11:13WASH 4th & 4 at USC 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.4%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:05USC 4th & 20 at USC 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:45WASH 4th & 10 at USC 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:54WASH 4th & 4 at USC 4, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:42USC 4th & 5 at USC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:34WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:09USC 4th & 3 at WASH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    76.3%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07USC 4th & 1 at WASH 11, tied
    Close callWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.3%−0.5
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    73.7%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:10WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 41, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:38USC 4th & 4 at USC 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:00WASH 4th & 15 at WASH 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−4.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:59USC 4th & 10 at USC 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−2.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:13WASH 4th & 6 at USC 42, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%−2.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:59USC 4th & 4 at USC 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:58WASH 4th & 18 at WASH 10, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−6.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:02USC 4th & 6 at USC 36, down 5
    Close callPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:59WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 36, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.0 ptsPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%−6.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:44USC 4th & 9 at WASH 28, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−10.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 0 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 11:24WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:21WASH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:02USC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    44.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1190% → 90%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
90.2%
Cody Kessler sacked by Azeem Victor for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 15Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+5
90.2%
Tre Madden run for 5 yds to the USC 20Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
89.8%
Cody Kessler pass intercepted Darren Gardenhire return for no gain to the USC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:2710% → 11%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
89.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-5
89.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 36Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
89.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+16
89.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 16 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
89.4%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
89.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+3
89.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 3 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
89.1%
Cameron Van Winkle 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:0189% → 89%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
89.1%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 22 USC Penalty, Face Mask (11 yards) (Zach Banner) to the USC 11Similar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 19
OWN 11
-6
89.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 5Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 25
OWN 5
0
88.9%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Isaac WhitneySimilar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 25
OWN 5
+5
88.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 5 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 20
OWN 10
+25
88.7%
Kris Albarado punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the 50 yard line USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cameron Smith) to the USC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1612% → 11%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
88.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
88.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
88.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
88.7%
Jake Browning punt for 29 yds, downed at the USC 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5INT
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:5889% → 88%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
88.7%
Tre Madden run for 9 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+12
88.6%
Tre Madden run for 12 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
88.6%
Tre Madden run for 8 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-5
88.5%
Jones II, Ronald rush for 2 yards to the USC37, fumble by Jones II, Ronald recovered by USC Jones II, Ronald at USC37, PENALTY USC illegal shift 5 yards to the USC30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+8
88.2%
Ronald Jones II run for 8 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Ronald Jones IISimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-6
88.2%
USC Penalty, False Start (Jalen Greene) to the USC 32Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 16
OWN 32
0
88.0%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+4
87.8%
Cody Kessler pass intercepted Sidney Jones return for 4 yds to the USC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6INT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:4513% → 13%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
87.4%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the USC 21 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USC 31Similar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+3
87.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+1
87.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 1 yd to the USC 27Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 16
OPP 27
+7
87.2%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Iman Marshall return for 7 yds to the USC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:5187% → 87%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
87.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Justin Davis for 17 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
87.5%
Justin Davis run for 6 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+11
87.6%
Tre Madden run for 11 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
87.5%
Tre Madden run for 5 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+12
87.5%
Tre Madden run for 12 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+23
87.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Dominic Davis for 23 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
87.4%
Dominic Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 4Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
87.2%
USC Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the Wash 9Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
87.2%
Tre Madden run for 3 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-11
86.8%
Cody Kessler sacked by Keishawn Bierria for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+34
86.7%
Alex Wood 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8FG
19 plays · 79 yds · 6:4113% → 18%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
86.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+9
86.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
86.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 19 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
85.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 7 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
85.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
85.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
85.0%
Dwayne Washington run for no gain to the USC 39Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+11
85.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 11 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
84.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 8 yds to the USC 20Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
84.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+2
84.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
83.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+6
83.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
83.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the USC 4Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
83.0%
Dwayne Washington run for no gain to the USC 4Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
83.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 9:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
82.2%
Cameron Van Winkle 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0284% → 83%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
83.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 7 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
84.4%
Justin Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 30Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
83.3%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Adoree' JacksonSimilar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
82.7%
Kris Albarado punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:5918% → 21%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
82.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
81.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+6
80.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 6 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
80.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Greg Townsend Jr. and Lamar Dawson for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+9
80.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 9 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+3
78.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 3 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
79.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 43 yds, downed at the USC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11FG
18 plays · 81 yds · 4:2681% → 84%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+26
81.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 26 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
82.4%
Ronald Jones II run for 8 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-1
82.8%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 47Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+19
81.3%
Tre Madden run for 19 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
82.0%
Cody Kessler sacked by Elijah Qualls for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+9
80.5%
Tre Madden run for 9 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+3
81.1%
Tre Madden run for 3 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+7
79.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 7 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
81.5%
Justin Davis run for 9 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 1
OPP 11
-2
82.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 13Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+2
80.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 2 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
79.5%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
81.0%
Kessler, Cody pass incomplete to Davis, Dominic, PENALTY WASHINGTON roughing passer (Gaines, Greg) 4 yards to the WASHINGTON5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+21
83.5%
Alex Wood 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3620% → 21%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
80.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 8 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+2
79.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
79.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 8 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
78.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dwayne WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
78.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+15
79.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 54 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 15 yds to the USC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3580% → 80%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
80.1%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
79.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 7 yds JuJu Smith-Schuster fumbled, forced by Sidney Jones, recovered by Wash Taniela TupouSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
64.0%
Marvin Hall pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 27 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:2869% → 68%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+22
68.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 22 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
69.4%
Tre Madden run for 1 yd to the USC 40Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
69.0%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Jahleel PinnerSimilar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+5
67.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 5 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
68.2%
Kris Albarado punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:3334% → 33%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
66.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
66.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+22
67.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 22 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
63.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
63.7%
Browning, Jake rush for 3 yards to the WASHINGTON42, PENALTY WASHINGTON illegal formation 5 yards to the WASHINGTON34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 15
OWN 34
0
65.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 15
OWN 34
0
66.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 15
OWN 34
0
67.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 43 yds, downed at the USC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:5166% → 58%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
65.8%
Justin Davis run for 4 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
64.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 10 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
64.6%
Justin Davis run for 4 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-5
66.2%
Kessler, Cody pass complete to Jackson, Adoree' for 3 yards to the USC44, PENALTY USC illegal formation 5 yards to the USC36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+2
63.2%
Tre Madden run for 2 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-1
62.0%
Cody Kessler sacked by Travis Feeney for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 37Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
58.0%
Kris Albarado punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:3741% → 48%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
59.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
55.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
55.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 24 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
51.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
51.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
50.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
52.1%
Jake Browning punt for 36 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for no gain to the USC 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0757% → 53%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
56.7%
Tre Madden run for 9 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 1
OWN 15
-3
57.1%
Tre Madden run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 12Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
54.4%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 4
OWN 12
+15
53.4%
Kris Albarado punt for 53 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:2852% → 71%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
50
+31
47.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 31 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
45.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
45.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the USC 1Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 1:5031% → 53%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
30.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Justin Davis for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
50
+6
33.1%
Justin Davis run for 6 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
33.3%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Justin DavisSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+15
30.9%
Kessler, Cody pass incomplete to Smith-Schuster, JuJu, PENALTY WASHINGTON roughing passer (Victor, Azeem) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
33.4%
Kessler, Cody pass incomplete, PENALTY USC holding (Wheeler, Chad) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+15
29.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 15 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+23
31.4%
Ronald Jones II run for 23 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.9%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:4960% → 59%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 15
OWN 13
-1
40.5%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 16
OWN 12
-4
39.7%
Jake Browning sacked by Porter Gustin and Scott Felix for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 8Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 20
OWN 8
+2
40.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 2 yds to the Wash 10 WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 18
OWN 10
-3
40.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 55 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4743% → 40%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
43.0%
Cody Kessler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
42.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Isaac Whitney for 4 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
41.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Justin DavisSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
39.6%
Kris Albarado punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0166% → 71%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
33.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
33.5%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+8
34.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 8 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
29.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:0733% → 27%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+25
33.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 10 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Roughing Passer (Cory Littleton) to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
37.4%
Ronald Jones II run for 7 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
37.5%
Tre Madden run for 5 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
37.2%
Tre Madden run for 10 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
36.9%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
36.5%
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-3
33.1%
Cody Kessler sacked by Travis Feeney for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
26.8%
Alex Wood 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:2783% → 96%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
16.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
14.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+6
13.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 6 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
7.5%
USC Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 5
OWN 44
-1
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-1
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-4
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:02
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+21.5
TD · Q4 14:21
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-15.9
TD · Q3 11:24
Marvin Hall pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 27 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com