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WSU

Washington State 28 at California 34

CAL
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:04 · Cole Leininger punt for 35 yds, downed at the WshSt 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+7.4Home team on offense+11.7Garbage-time factor+9.2Score differential+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:34: Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson PAT MISSED) — CAL win probability +9.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q3 12:46: Zach Charme run for a loss of 4 yards, Zach Charme fumbled, forced by Tony Mekari, recovered by Cal Stefan McClure , return for 45 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +14.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:29: Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +17.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:21: Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 20 yds for a TD, (Jared Goff intercepted ) — CAL win probability +21.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:42: Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 24 yds for a TD (Jared Goff pass to Bryce Treggs for Two-Point Conversion) — CAL win probability +17.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:35WSU 4th & 14 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:37CAL 4th & 1 at WSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.0%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:32WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:47CAL 4th & 17 at CAL 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:31WSU 4th & 1 at CAL 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−7.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:46WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.9%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:04CAL 4th & 17 at CAL 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−4.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:09WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 41, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:38CAL 4th & 4 at WSU 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.4%−1.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    86.0%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:12CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:03WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:48CAL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:24WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:31WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:34CAL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:29WSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:42CAL Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    75.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:2885% → 85%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
84.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 15 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
84.9%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
84.8%
Jared Goff pass intercepted Marcellus Pippins return for 9 yds to the Cal 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4515% → 16%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
84.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Kyle Kragen for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+3
84.7%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 12
OPP 48
-2
84.5%
Luke Falk sacked by James Looney and Jonathan Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 14
50
+16
84.3%
Zach Charme punt for 41 yds , Trevor Davis returns for 16 yds to the Cal 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:4384% → 83%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 9 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
84.3%
Daniel Lasco run for 5 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.1%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Tre WatsonSimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
84.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 9 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
84.1%
Daniel Lasco run for 4 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
84.1%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
84.0%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+12
83.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 12 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
83.9%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 37Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+8
83.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 8 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
83.6%
Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 1
OPP 27
-2
83.2%
Daniel Lasco run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:2717% → 22%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
82.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 7 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+23
82.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 23 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
82.1%
Keith Harrington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 43Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
82.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+21
82.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 21 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-6
81.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Jalen Jefferson for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 28Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+21
81.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 21 yds to the Cal 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
81.2%
Keith Harrington run for 3 yds to the Cal 4Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 2:5779% → 82%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
79.2%
Daniel Lasco run for 4 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+10
79.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 10 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
78.9%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
78.8%
Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-5
78.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Rigsbee) to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+14
77.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 14 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
78.7%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the Cal 46Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+20
77.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 20 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
81.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 34 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1320% → 20%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
80.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+1
80.0%
Luke Falk run for 1 yd to the WshSt 13Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
80.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:32
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
80.5%
Zach Charme punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trevor Davis at the Cal 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1381% → 79%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
81.1%
Daniel Lasco run for no gain to the Cal 46Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
80.7%
Daniel Lasco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 44Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 12
OWN 44
-5
79.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Daniel Lasco) to the Cal 39Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
79.6%
Goff, Jared pass complete to Lawler, Kenny for 28 yards to the WASHST33, PENALTY CALIFORNIA illegal touching (Lawler, Kenny) 0 yards to the CALIFORNIA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
79.1%
Cole Leininger punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Gabe Marks at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:1821% → 30%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
79.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+12
79.0%
Keith Harrington run for 12 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
78.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 11 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
78.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 13 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
77.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 6 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+24
76.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 24 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
76.2%
Keith Harrington run for 9 yds to the Cal 10Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
75.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+3
76.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the Cal 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
70.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4772% → 72%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
72.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for a loss of 1 yard Maurice Harris fumbled, forced by Robert Barber, recovered by Cal Aaron CochranSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+12
71.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 12 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
71.6%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
71.4%
Daniel Lasco run for 9 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
71.9%
Jared Goff run for no gain to the Cal 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 47 yds · 5:4932% → 46%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
68.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 5 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-3
66.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 45Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+16
66.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 16 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
64.9%
Keith Harrington run for 1 yd to the Cal 28Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
64.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+17
64.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 17 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
63.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 5 yds to the Cal 6Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
62.8%
Luke Falk run for 4 yds to the Cal 2Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
62.7%
Luke Falk run for 1 yd to the Cal 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.5%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the Cal 1Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.6%
Luke Falk run for no gain to the Cal 1Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.4%
Luke Falk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:3954% → 64%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
53.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 40 yds to the CALIFORNIA 40 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
56.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 11 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
55.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 8 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+7
55.2%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 7 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
54.7%
Goff, Jared pass sacked for loss of 10 yards to the WASHST24 (Paulo, Darryl), PENALTY WASHST offside (Vaeao, Destiny) 5 yards to the WASHST9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 5
OPP 9
+9
63.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
55.9%
Luke Falk sacked by James Looney and Kyle Kragen for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5946% → 33%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
53.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 3 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-2
53.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Kyle Kragen for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 41Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+8
53.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+45
67.2%
Zach Charme run for a loss of 4 yards, Zach Charme fumbled, forced by Tony Mekari, recovered by Cal Stefan McClure , return for 45 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 6:0532% → 58%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
67.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 10 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
67.3%
Luke Falk sacked by Mustafa Jalil for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 16
OWN 25
0
67.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 16
OWN 25
+19
68.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 19 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
64.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-3
63.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 4
50
+13
63.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 13 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
62.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Daniel Lilienthal for 9 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
61.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
60.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
60.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+10
61.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 10 yds to the Cal 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
59.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 2 yds to the Cal 4Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 6:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
42.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:5647% → 47%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
47.2%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
46.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 7 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+14
46.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 14 yds Kenny Lawler fumbled, forced by Shalom Luani, recovered by WshSt Marcellus PippinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16MISSED FG
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:4160% → 61%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
40.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 35 yds to the Cal 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
39.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
38.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-9
39.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Stefan McClure for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:3941% → 67%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
40.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 19 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
43.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 5 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+8
44.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 8 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
44.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 17 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
45.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 8 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+20
67.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 20 yds for a TD, (Jared Goff intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:2866% → 84%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
65.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 20 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
67.0%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
66.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Vic Enwere for 3 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+24
84.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 24 yds for a TD (Jared Goff pass to Bryce Treggs for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:2223% → 29%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+38
75.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 38 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
71.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Cal 30Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+10
70.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 10 yds Gabe Marks fumbled, forced by Darius White, recovered by Cal Michael BartonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:5682% → 84%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
82.4%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 19Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
82.0%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+11
81.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 11 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
82.7%
Jared Goff sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 24Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+7
83.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 7 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-8
84.6%
Jared Goff sacked by Hercules Mata'afa and Jeremiah Allison for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 23Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
83.9%
Cole Leininger punt for 35 yds, downed at the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4325% → 19%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
75.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
76.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Keith HarringtonSimilar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
79.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+44
80.6%
Zach Charme punt for 44 yds, downed at the CALIFORNIA 15 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:2186% → 89%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
85.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 9 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+6
86.5%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 6 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
86.2%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 11
OWN 29
-5
85.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Bryce Treggs) to the Cal 24Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 16
OWN 24
-20
86.2%
Jared Goff sacked by Kache Palacio for a loss of 20 yards to the Cal 4 Jared Goff fumbled, forced by Kache Palacio, recovered by Cal Dominic Granado , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 36
OWN 4
+42
85.7%
Vic Enwere run for 42 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
89.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 9 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+4
89.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 4 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
89.9%
Jared Goff run for 2 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+4
90.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 4 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
89.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 4
OPP 35
-3
88.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Vic Enwere for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:0122% → 24%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
77.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 10 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
76.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 8
50
0
76.0%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Damariay Drew return for no gain to the Cal 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24PUNT
14 plays · 30 yds · 3:0091% → 96%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
91.3%
Vic Enwere run for 6 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 4
OWN 16
0
91.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Vic EnwereSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+6
92.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 6 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
92.6%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Cal 22Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
93.7%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+12
94.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 12 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
95.4%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+4
95.1%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 4 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+4
96.5%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 4 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
96.0%
Cole Leininger punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:039% → 10%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
91.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 13 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
90.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds to the WshSt 48 lat. to River Cracraft for 6 yds River Cracraft fumbled, recovered by Cal James LooneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:21
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 20 yds for a TD, (Jared Goff intercepted )
+21.6
TD · Q3 0:42
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 24 yds for a TD (Jared Goff pass to Bryce Treggs for Two-Point Conversion)
+17.4
TD · Q3 6:29
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-17.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com